Cited by 14Sepsis Diagnosis and TreatmentInflammation biomarkers and pathwaysHyperglycemia and glycemic control in critically ill and hospitalized patients

Ground truth labels challenge the validity of sepsis consensus definitions in critical illness.

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Lindner, Holger A., Schamoni, Shigehiko, Kirschning, Thomas, Worm, Corinna, Hahn, Bianka, Centner, Franz-Simon, Schoettler, Jochen J., Hagmann, Michael +6 more·2022·Journal of Translational Medicine

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is the leading cause of death in the intensive care unit (ICU). Expediting its diagnosis, largely determined by clinical assessment, improves survival. Predictive and explanatory modelling of sepsis in the critically ill commonly bases both outcome definition and predictions on clinical criteria for consensus definitions of sepsis, leading to circularity. As a remedy, we collected ground truth labels for sepsis. METHODS: In the Ground Truth for Sepsis Questionnaire (GTSQ), senior attending physicians in the ICU documented daily their opinion on each patient's condition regarding sepsis as a five-category working diagnosis and nine related items. Working diagnosis groups were described and compared and their SOFA-scores analyzed with a generalized linear mixed model. Agreement and discriminatory performance measures for clinical criteria of sepsis and GTSQ labels as reference class were derived. RESULTS: We analyzed 7291 questionnaires and 761 complete encounters from the first survey year. Editing rates for all items were > 90%, and responses were consistent with current understanding of critical illness pathophysiology, including sepsis pathogenesis. Interrater agreement for presence and absence of sepsis was almost perfect but only slight for suspected infection. ICU mortality was 19.5% in encounters with SIRS as the "worst" working diagnosis compared to 5.9% with sepsis and 5.9% with severe sepsis without differences in admission and maximum SOFA. Compared to sepsis, proportions of GTSQs with SIRS plus acute organ dysfunction were equal and macrocirculatory abnormalities higher (p < 0.0001). SIRS proportionally ranked above sepsis in daily assessment of illness severity (p < 0.0001). Separate analyses of neurosurgical referrals revealed similar differences. Discriminatory performance of Sepsis-1/2 and Sepsis-3 compared to GTSQ labels was similar with sensitivities around 70% and specificities 92%. Essentially no difference between the prevalence of SIRS and SOFA ≥ 2 yielded sensitivities and specificities for detecting sepsis onset close to 55% and 83%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: GTSQ labels are a valid measure of sepsis in the ICU. They reveal suspicion of infection as an unclear clinical concept and refute an illness severity hierarchy in the SIRS-sepsis-severe sepsis spectrum. Ground truth challenges the accuracy of Sepsis-1/2 and Sepsis-3 in detecting sepsis onset. It is an indispensable intermediate step towards advancing diagnosis and therapy in the ICU and, potentially, other health care settings.

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  • This study used Sepsis-3 clinical criteria to label sepsis cases, an approach that has imperfect concordance with the criterion standard approach of manual physician review.

    “First, this study used Sepsis-3 clinical criteria to label sepsis cases, an approach that has imperfect concordance with the criterion standard approach of manual physician review.25,26,27,28”

    From Multicenter Prospective Validation of an Updated Proprietary Sepsis Prediction Model (2026) · cites this paper as [25]

    The Results section ('Validation of Sepsis-1/2 and Sepsis-3 clinical criteria against ground truth labels'; page unavailable) reports only fair agreement between Sepsis-3 criteria and expert sepsis-onset labels, supporting the imperfect-concordance point. The Methods describe those reference labels as daily judgments by senior physicians using a questionnaire, not sepsis labels established through manual physician chart review. The cited paper also cannot establish how the citing study labeled its own cases. (LLM, conf=0.82)

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Authors
Lindner, H. A., Schamoni, S., Kirschning, T., Worm, C., Hahn, B., Centner, F.-S., Schoettler, J. J., Hagmann, M., Krebs, J., Mangold, D., Nitsch, S., Riezler, S., Thiel, M., & Schneider-Lindner, V.
Affiliations
Heidelberg University (DE)
Corresponding author
Lindner, Holger A.
Venue
Journal of Translational Medicine
Published
2022-01-15
Volume
20
Issue
1
Pages
27-27
ISSN
1479-5876 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W4206809756
Cited by
14
References
7
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 5 · 2022: 1
FWCI
1.62
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Journal of Translational Medicine (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
  • Mspace (University of Manitoba) (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • Klaus Tschira Stiftung (00.0277.2015)
  • Ruprecht-Karls-Universität Heidelberg
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
  • Life Sciences › Immunology and Microbiology › Immunology › Inflammation biomarkers and pathways
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Hyperglycemia and glycemic control in critically ill and hospitalized patients
Keywords
sepsis, sepsis definitions, Sepsis-3, systemic inflammatory response syndrome, SOFA score, ground truth labels, intensive care unit, suspected infection, organ dysfunction, interobserver agreement, neurosurgical patients, ICU mortality, disease severity
MeSH terms
Consensus Statements as Topic, Delivery of Health Care, Humans, Prognosis, Retrospective Studies, Critical Illness, Hospital Mortality, Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome, Sepsis, Consensus, Organ Dysfunction Scores

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