The DOI matches its Crossref record; 78 of the 80 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Causal discovery and inference: concepts and recent methodological advances
Open accessAbstract
This paper aims to give a broad coverage of central concepts and principles involved in automated causal inference and emerging approaches to causal discovery from i.i.d data and from time series. After reviewing concepts including manipulations, causal models, sample predictive modeling, causal predictive modeling, and structural equation models, we present the constraint-based approach to causal discovery, which relies on the conditional independence relationships in the data, and discuss the assumptions underlying its validity. We then focus on causal discovery based on structural equations models, in which a key issue is the identifiability of the causal structure implied by appropriately defined structural equation models: in the two-variable case, under what conditions (and why) is the causal direction between the two variables identifiable? We show that the independence between the error term and causes, together with appropriate structural constraints on the structural equation, makes it possible. Next, we report some recent advances in causal discovery from time series. Assuming that the causal relations are linear with nonGaussian noise, we mention two problems which are traditionally difficult to solve, namely causal discovery from subsampled data and that in the presence of confounding time series. Finally, we list a number of open questions in the field of causal discovery and inference.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
(1988) · Cited by 16,582
Sims, C. A. (1980) · Econometrica · doi:10.2307/1912017 · Cited by 12,841
Gaussian Processes for Machine Learning
Rasmussen, C. E., & Williams, C. K. I. (2005) · doi:10.7551/mitpress/3206.001.0001 · Cited by 11,705
Independent Component Analysis
Hyvärinen, A., Hoyer, P. O., & Inki, M. (2004) · The MIT Press eBooks · doi:10.7551/mitpress/3717.003.0014 · Cited by 7,938
Proceedings of the 25th international conference on Machine learning - ICML '08
(2008) · doi:10.1145/1390156 · Cited by 6,865
Independent Component Analysis
Hyvärinen, A., Karhunen, J., & Erkki Oja, A. (2001) · Wiley eBooks · doi:10.1002/0471221317 · Cited by 5,003
CAUSALITY: MODELS, REASONING AND INFERENCE
Hitchcock, C., & Pearl, J. (2001) · The Philosophical Review · doi:10.2307/3182612 · Cited by 4,827
Causation, Prediction, and Search
Spirtes, P., Glymour, C., & Scheines, R. (1993) · Lecture Notes in Statistics · doi:10.1007/978-1-4612-2748-9 · Cited by 4,617
Self-citationCausation, Prediction, and Search
Spirtes, P., Glymour, C., & Scheines, R. (2001) · doi:10.7551/mitpress/1754.001.0001 · Cited by 4,521
Self-citationCausality: models, reasoning, and inference
(2000) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.38-1494a · Cited by 2,968
Research works printed but not linked: 3
- Cooper GF (1995) Causal discovery from data in the presence of selection bias. In: Fifth International Workshop on AI and Statistics, p 140–150
- Lacerda G, Spirtes P, Ramsey J, Hoyer PO (2008) Discovering cyclic causal models by independent components analysis. In: Proceedings of the 24th Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI2008), Helsinki
- Zhang K, Hyvärinen A (2010) Distinguishing causes from effects using nonlinear acyclic causal models. In: JMLR Workshop and Conference Proceedings, Presented at NIPS 2008 workshop on causality. 6:157–164
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
Runge, J., Bathiany, S., Bollt, E. M., Camps‐Valls, G., Coumou, D., Deyle, E. R., Glymour, C., Kretschmer, M., Mahecha, M. D., Muñoz-Marı́, J., et al. (2019) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-019-10105-3 · Cited by 1,093
Self-citationDetecting and quantifying causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets
Runge, J., Nowack, P., Kretschmer, M., Flaxman, S., & Sejdinovic, D. (2019) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.aau4996 · Cited by 979
Detecting and quantifying causal associations in large nonlinear time series datasets
Runge, J., Nowack, P., Kretschmer, M., Flaxman, S., & Sejdinović, D. (2019) · Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) · Cited by 713
Causal network reconstruction from time series: From theoretical assumptions to practical estimation
Runge, J. (2018) · Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science · doi:10.1063/1.5025050 · Cited by 422
A Survey of Learning Causality with Data: Problems and Methods
Guo, R., Cheng, L., Li, J., Hahn, P. R., & Liu, H. (2021) · ACM Computing Surveys · doi:10.1145/3397269 · Cited by 362
Metadata
- Authors
- Spirtes, P., & Zhang, K.
- Affiliations
- Carnegie Mellon University (US)
- Max Planck Institute for Intelligent Systems (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Zhang, Kun
- Venue
- Applied Informatics
- Published
- 2016-02-18
- Volume
- 3
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 3-3
- ISSN
- 2196-0089 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4841209
- OpenAlex
- W2297288734
- Cited by
- 304
- References
- 80
- Citations by year
- 2026: 19 · 2025: 37 · 2024: 32 · 2023: 40 · 2022: 24 · 2021: 42 · 2020: 40 · 2019: 24 · 2018: 25 · 2017: 17 · 2016: 4
- FWCI
- 3.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Applied Informatics (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- National Science Foundation (1317428)
- National Institutes of Health
- National Human Genome Research Institute (U54HG008540)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
- Social Sciences › Arts and Humanities › History and Philosophy of Science › Philosophy of Biology and Scientific Explanation
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods and Inference
- Keywords
- causal discovery, causal inference, constraint-based causal discovery, conditional independence, causal models, structural equation modeling, confounding, non-Gaussian noise
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review