APOE ε4 does not predict mortality, cognitive decline, or dementia in the oldest old

Abstract

Objective To examine the effect of the epsilon 4 allele on cognitive decline in the oldest old. Methods We studied all 601 citizens of the city of Vantaa age 85 years and older in 1991. A total of 553 subjects (92%) took part in the study, which used the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and assessment of dementia according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, third ed., revised (DSM-III-R) criteria. The survivors were re-examined 3 years later. APOE genotype was determined in 510 subjects, representing 83.2% of the original population. Results Approximately one-half of the subjects (n = 250) died before the follow-up, and 253 subjects (97.3% of the survivors) were re-examined. The occurrence of the APOE epsilon 4 allele did not have any significant effect on survival. Of the 187 previously nondemented subjects, 58 (31%) had developed dementia. The OR for the epsilon 4 carriers to develop dementia was not significant: OR = 1.78; 95% CI = 0.88 to 3.60. In individuals with a follow-up MMSE score (n = 222), the mean decline in the score was 3.1 points. APOE epsilon 4 carrier status did not have a significant effect on the mean MMSE change except in the previously demented subjects, among whom the drop was larger in the APOE epsilon 4 carriers. Conclusions The lack of association between APOE epsilon 4 carrier status and mortality, or development of dementia, or cognitive decline in these very elderly people, whether analyzed in the whole population or…