The DOI matches its Crossref record.
Mortality Reductions, Educational Attainment, and Fertility Choice
Abstract
This paper develops a model where reductions in mortality are the main force behind economic development. The model generates a pattern of changes similar to the demographic transition, where gains in life expectancy at birth are followed by reductions in fertility and increases in the rate of human capital accumulation. The onset of the transition is characterized by a critical level of life expectancy at birth, which marks the movement of the economy from a Malthusian equilibrium to an equilibrium with investments in human capital and the possibility of long-run growth.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cited by
Disease and Development: The Effect of Life Expectancy on Economic Growth
Acemoglu, D., & Johnson, S. (2007) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/529000 · Cited by 1,290
Child mortality and fertility decline: Does the Barro-Becker model fit the facts?
Doepke, M. (2005) · Journal of Population Economics · doi:10.1007/s00148-004-0208-z · Cited by 293
The long-run determinants of fertility: one century of demographic change 1900–1999
Herzer, D., Strulik, H., & Vollmer, S. (2012) · Journal of Economic Growth · doi:10.1007/s10887-012-9085-6 · Cited by 170
The broader economic impact of vaccination: reviewing and appraising the strength of evidence
Jit, M., Hutubessy, R., Png, M. E., Sundaram, N., Audimulam, J., Salim, S., & Yoong, J. (2015) · BMC Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12916-015-0446-9 · Cited by 153
Fertility restrictions and life cycle outcomes: evidence from the one-child policy in China
Huang, W., Lei, X., & Sun, A. (2021) · The Review of Economics and Statistics · doi:10.1162/rest_a_00921 · Cited by 106
Metadata
- Authors
- Soares, R. R.
- Venue
- American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2005-06-01
- Volume
- 95
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 580-601
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1577294395
- Cited by
- 438
- References
- 0
- FWCI
- 54.93
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Mortality Reductions, Educational Attainment, and Fertility Choice. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1257/0002828054201486
- The paper
- Soares, R. R. (2005). Mortality Reductions, Educational Attainment, and Fertility Choice. American Economic Review. https://doi.org/10.1257/0002828054201486
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
