The DOI matches its Crossref record; 36 of the 36 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Individual Perceptions of the Criminal Justice System
Open accessAbstract
This paper empirically examines belief updating of the perceived probability of arrest and its criminal deterrence effects using two longitudinal data sources. While beliefs about the probability of arrest are positively correlated with local official arrest rates, they are unresponsive to information acquired from random individuals and local neighborhood conditions. Importantly, perceptions respond to changes in an individual's criminal and arrest history. Young males who engage in crime without getting arrested revise their perceived probability of arrest downward, while those who are arrested revise their probability upward. Estimates suggest that beliefs about the probability of arrest significantly deter crime. (JEL K42)
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Cites
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Becker, G. S. (1968) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/259394 · Cited by 13,999
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Criminal Deterrence Research at the Outset of the Twenty-First Century
Nagin, D. S. (1998) · Crime and Justice · doi:10.1086/449268 · Cited by 947
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Sourcebook of criminal justice statistics
(2005) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.42sup-0669 · Cited by 832
Conscience, Significant Others, and Rational Choice: Extending the Deterrence Model
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Cited by
Deterrence in the Twenty-First Century
Nagin, D. S. (2013) · Crime and Justice · doi:10.1086/670398 · Cited by 820
Criminal Deterrence: A Review of the Literature
Chalfin, A., & McCrary, J. (2017) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.20141147 · Cited by 727
Determinants of College Major Choice: Identification using an Information Experiment
Wiswall, M., & Zafar, B. (2015) · The Review of Economic Studies · doi:10.1093/restud/rdu044 · Cited by 533
Deterring Delinquents: A Rational Choice Model of Theft and Violence
Matsueda, R. L., Kreager, D. A., & Huizinga, D. (2006) · American Sociological Review · doi:10.1177/000312240607100105 · Cited by 467
Procedural Justice and Legal Compliance
Nagin, D. S., & Telep, C. W. (2017) · Annual Review of Law and Social Science · doi:10.1146/annurev-lawsocsci-110316-113310 · Cited by 409
Metadata
- Authors
- Lochner, L.
- Venue
- The American Economic Review
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2007-03-01
- Volume
- 97
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 444-460
- ISSN
- 0002-8282 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W1989558503
- Cited by
- 362
- References
- 36
- FWCI
- 25.70
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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