The DOI matches its Crossref record; 24 of the 24 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Publishing and Promotion in Economics: The Tyranny of the Top Five
Open accessAbstract
This paper examines the relationship between placement of publications in top five (T5) journals and receipt of tenure in academic economics departments. Analyzing the job histories of tenure–track economists hired by the top 35 US economics departments, we find that T5 publications have a powerful influence on tenure decisions and rates of transition to tenure. A survey of the perceptions of young economists supports the formal statistical analysis. Pursuit of T5 publications has become the obsession of the next generation of economists. However, the T5 screen is far from reliable. A substantial share of influential publications appear in non-T5 outlets. Reliance on the T5 to screen talent incentivizes careerism over creativity.( JEL A14, I23, J44, J62)
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Filders, R. (1992) · International Journal of Forecasting · doi:10.1016/0169-2070(92)90130-2 · Cited by 16,165
MANSO, G. (2011) · The Journal of Finance · doi:10.1111/j.1540-6261.2011.01688.x · Cited by 1,955
Universality of citation distributions: Toward an objective measure of scientific impact
Radicchi, F., Fortunato, S., & Castellano, C. (2008) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0806977105 · Cited by 828
Incentives and creativity: evidence from the academic life sciences
Azoulay, P., Graff Zivin, J. S., & Manso, G. (2011) · The RAND Journal of Economics · doi:10.1111/j.1756-2171.2011.00140.x · Cited by 648
Rankings of Academic Journals and Institutions in Economics
Kalaitzidakis, P., Mamuneas, T. P., & Stengos, T. (2003) · Journal of the European Economic Association · doi:10.1162/154247603322752566 · Cited by 568
The Slowdown of the Economics Publishing Process
Ellison, G. (2002) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/341868 · Cited by 510
Women in Economics: Moving Up or Falling Off the Academic Career Ladder?
Ginther, D. K., & Kahn, S. (2004) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/0895330042162386 · Cited by 429
Diversity in the Economics Profession: A New Attack on an Old Problem
Bayer, A., & Rouse, C. E. (2016) · Journal of Economic Perspectives · doi:10.1257/jep.30.4.221 · Cited by 384
Equal but Inequitable: Who Benefits from Gender-Neutral Tenure Clock Stopping Policies?
Antecol, H., Bedard, K., & Stearns, J. (2018) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.20160613 · Cited by 368
Nine Facts about Top Journals in Economics
Card, D., & DellaVigna, S. (2013) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.51.1.144 · Cited by 333
Cited by
How the publish-or-perish principle divides a science: the case of economists
van Dalen, H. P. (2021) · Scientometrics · doi:10.1007/s11192-020-03786-x · Cited by 128
The misalignment of incentives in academic publishing and implications for journal reform
Trueblood, J. S., Allison, D. B., Field, S. M., Fishbach, A., Gaillard, S. D. M., Gigerenzer, G., Holmes, W. R., Lewandowsky, S., Matzke, D., Murphy, M. C., et al. (2025) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2401231121 · Cited by 56
Metadata
- Authors
- Heckman, J. J., & Moktan, S.
- Venue
- Journal of Economic Literature
- Publisher
- American Economic Association
- Published
- 2020-06-01
- Volume
- 58
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 419-470
- ISSN
- 0022-0515 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2894029326
- Cited by
- 420
- References
- 24
- FWCI
- 35.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
How to cite
Cite CoChat for the checks on this page, and the paper for its own findings.
- This page
- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Publishing and Promotion in Economics: The Tyranny of the Top Five. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.1257/jel.20191574
- The paper
- Heckman, J. J., & Moktan, S. (2020). Publishing and Promotion in Economics: The Tyranny of the Top Five. Journal of Economic Literature. https://doi.org/10.1257/jel.20191574
Data sources
Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.