Cited by 180Consumer Market Behavior and PricingInnovation Diffusion and ForecastingMerger and Competition Analysis

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Deconstructing the Pioneer's Advantage: Examining Vintage Effects and Consumer Valuations of Quality and Variety

Abstract

Several studies have demonstrated an order-of-entry effect on market share, suggesting that pioneers outperform later entrants. However, other research has pointed out the limitations of these studies and found evidence that many pioneers fail or have low market share. Given this background, the purpose of this research is to understand the conditions under which pioneers are more likely and also less likely to have an advantage. We propose a game-theoretic model that includes important sources of pioneer advantages as well as disadvantages. Specifically, we incorporate a pioneer advantage due to preemption in markets with heterogeneous tastes. In addition, we incorporate a potential pioneer disadvantage due to technology vintage effects, where later entrants utilizing improved technology can have lower costs and higher quality. The model allows us to evaluate the extent of vintage effects necessary to overcome a pioneer's advantage. Key relationships are found between the magnitude of the pioneer advantage or disadvantage and consumer valuations of product attributes (e.g., variety and quality). We empirically validate the model with vintage effect data in 36 product categories, and measures of consumer valuations of product variety and quality for 12 of these 36 categories. The results show that pioneers do better in product categories where variety is more important and worse in categories where product quality is more important. Pioneers in categories with high vintage ef…

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Metadata

Authors
Bohlmann, J. D., Golder, P. N., & Mitra, D.
Affiliations
  • Michigan State University (US)
  • New York University (US)
  • University of Florida (US)
Venue
Management Science
Published
2002-09
Volume
48
Issue
9
Pages
1175-1195
ISSN
  • 0025-1909 (ISSN-L)
  • 1526-5501
OpenAlex
W2113468393
Cited by
180
References
0
Citations by year
2026: 5 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 6 · 2020: 8 · 2019: 6 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 5 · 2016: 8 · 2015: 6 · 2014: 11 · 2013: 15 · 2012: 11
FWCI
16.27
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Locations
Management Science (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Marketing › Consumer Market Behavior and Pricing
  • Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Innovation Diffusion and Forecasting
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Merger and Competition Analysis
Keywords
first-mover advantage, market entry order, preemption, heterogeneous consumer preferences, product quality, product variety, consumer valuation, market share, game-theoretic model

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