The DOI matches its Crossref record; 2 of the 2 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Absolute Humidity and the Seasonal Onset of Influenza in the Continental United States
Open accessAbstract
Much of the observed wintertime increase of mortality in temperate regions is attributed to seasonal influenza. A recent reanalysis of laboratory experiments indicates that absolute humidity strongly modulates the airborne survival and transmission of the influenza virus. Here, we extend these findings to the human population level, showing that the onset of increased wintertime influenza-related mortality in the United States is associated with anomalously low absolute humidity levels during the prior weeks. We then use an epidemiological model, in which observed absolute humidity conditions temper influenza transmission rates, to successfully simulate the seasonal cycle of observed influenza-related mortality. The model results indicate that direct modulation of influenza transmissibility by absolute humidity alone is sufficient to produce this observed seasonality. These findings provide epidemiological support for the hypothesis that absolute humidity drives seasonal variations of influenza transmission in temperate regions.
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Cites
Mapping the Antigenic and Genetic Evolution of Influenza Virus
Smith, D. J., Lapedes, A. S., de Jong, J. C., Bestebroer, T. M., Rimmelzwaan, G. F., Osterhaus, A. D. M. E., & Fouchier, R. A. M. (2004) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1097211 · Cited by 1,868
Transmissibility of 1918 pandemic influenza
Mills, C. E., Robins, J. M., & Lipsitch, M. (2004) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature03063 · Cited by 796
Self-citation
Cited by
Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period
Kissler, S. M., Tedijanto, C., Goldstein, E., Grad, Y. H., & Lipsitch, M. (2020) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abb5793 · Cited by 2,611
Self-citationModeling COVID-19 scenarios for the United States
IHME COVID-19 Forecasting Team, Reiner, R. C., Barber, R. M., Collins, J. K., Zheng, P., Adolph, C., Albright, J., Antony, C. M., Aravkin, A. Y., Bachmeier, S. D., et al. (2021) · Nature Medicine · doi:10.1038/s41591-020-1132-9 · Cited by 556
The impact of COVID-19 nonpharmaceutical interventions on the future dynamics of endemic infections
Baker, R. E., Park, S. W., Yang, W., Vecchi, G. A., Metcalf, C. J. E., & Grenfell, B. T. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2013182117 · Cited by 587
Self-citationGlobal Influenza Seasonality: Reconciling Patterns across Temperate and Tropical Regions
Tamerius, J., Nelson, M. I., Zhou, S. Z., Viboud, C., Miller, M. A., & Alonso, W. J. (2011) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp.1002383 · Cited by 517
Self-citationHumidity: a review and primer on atmospheric moisture and human health
Davis, R. E., McGregor, G. R., & Enfield, K. B. (2016) · Environmental Research · doi:10.1016/j.envres.2015.10.014 · Cited by 472
Metadata
- Authors
- Shaman, J., Pitzer, V. E., Viboud, C., Grenfell, B. T., & Lipsitch, M.
- Venue
- PLoS Biology
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2010-02-23
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- e1000316
- ISSN
- 1544-9173 (ISSN-L)
- 1545-7885
- OpenAlex
- W2169258494
- Cited by
- 635
- References
- 2
- FWCI
- 25.58
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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