Physiologic signatures within six hours of hospitalization identify acute illness phenotypes
Open accessAbstract
During the early stages of hospital admission, clinicians use limited information to make decisions as patient acuity evolves. We hypothesized that clustering analysis of vital signs measured within six hours of hospital admission would reveal distinct patient phenotypes with unique pathophysiological signatures and clinical outcomes. We created a longitudinal electronic health record dataset for 75,762 adult patient admissions to a tertiary care center in 2014–2016 lasting six hours or longer. Physiotypes were derived via unsupervised machine learning in a training cohort of 41,502 patients applying consensus k-means clustering to six vital signs measured within six hours of admission. Reproducibility and correlation with clinical biomarkers and outcomes were assessed in validation cohort of 17,415 patients and testing cohort of 16,845 patients. Training, validation, and testing cohorts had similar age (54–55 years) and sex (55% female), distributions. There were four distinct clusters. Physiotype A had physiologic signals consistent with early vasoplegia, hypothermia, and low-grade inflammation and favorable short-and long-term clinical outcomes despite early, severe illness. Physiotype B exhibited early tachycardia, tachypnea, and hypoxemia followed by the highest incidence of prolonged respiratory insufficiency, sepsis, acute kidney injury, and short- and long-term mortality. Physiotype C had minimal early physiological derangement and favorable clinical outcomes. Physiotype D had the greatest prevalence of chronic cardiovascular and kidney disease, presented with severely elevated blood pressure, and had good short-term outcomes but suffered increased 3-year mortality. Comparing sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) scores across physiotypes demonstrated that clustering did not simply recapitulate previously established acuity assessments. In a heterogeneous cohort of hospitalized patients, unsupervised machine learning techniques applied to routine, early vital sign data identified physiotypes with unique disease categories and distinct clinical outcomes. This approach has the potential to augment understanding of pathophysiology by distilling thousands of disease states into a few physiological signatures.
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The ICU provides a high level of data granularity due to high resolution monitoring systems, capable of capturing rapid changes in a patient's physiological status.
“The ICU provides a high level of data granularity due to high resolution monitoring systems, capable of capturing the rapid changes in a patient's physiological status [61].”
From Implementing Artificial Intelligence in Critical Care Medicine: a consensus of 22. (2025) · cites this paper as [61]
The Methods describe vital signs from hospital admissions resampled hourly, not high-resolution ICU monitoring. The Discussion notes that waveform data could improve precision but does not say ICU systems capture rapid physiological changes. Searches for high-resolution ICU monitoring and rapid changes found no passage addressing the claim. (LLM, conf=0.77)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Cites
How Many Clusters? Which Clustering Method? Answers Via Model-Based Cluster Analysis
Fraley, C. (1998) · The Computer Journal · doi:10.1093/comjnl/41.8.578 · Cited by 2,549 · see citing works
Monti, S., Tamayo, P., Mesirov, J., & Golub, T. (2003) · Machine Learning · doi:10.1023/a:1023949509487 · Cited by 2,116 · see citing works
Validation of a modified Early Warning Score in medical admissions
Subbe, C. P. (2001) · QJM · doi:10.1093/qjmed/94.10.521 · Cited by 1,767 · see citing works
Derivation, Validation, and Potential Treatment Implications of Novel Clinical Phenotypes for Sepsis
Seymour, C. W., Kennedy, J. N., Wang, S., Chang, C.-C. H., Elliott, C. F., Xu, Z., Berry, S., Clermont, G., Cooper, G., Gomez, H., et al. (2019) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2019.5791 · Cited by 1,567 · see citing works
Calfee, C. S., Delucchi, K., Parsons, P. E., Thompson, B., Ware, L. B., & Matthay, M. A. (2014) · The Lancet Respiratory Medicine · doi:10.1016/s2213-2600(14)70097-9 · Cited by 1,563 · see citing works
Diagnostic error in internal medicine
Graber, M. L., Franklin, N., & Gordon, R. (2005) · Archives of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1001/archinte.165.13.1493 · Cited by 1,549 · see citing works
Phenomapping for Novel Classification of Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction
Shah, S. J., Katz, D. H., Selvaraj, S., Burke, M. A., Yancy, C. W., Gheorghiade, M., Bonow, R. O., Huang, C.-C., & Deo, R. C. (2015) · Circulation · doi:10.1161/circulationaha.114.010637 · Cited by 1,157 · see citing works
Collins, G. S., Reitsma, J. B., Altman, D. G., & Moons, K. G. M. (2015) · British Journal of Surgery · doi:10.1002/bjs.9736 · Cited by 889 · see citing works
Famous, K. R., Delucchi, K., Ware, L. B., Kangelaris, K. N., Liu, K. D., Thompson, B., & Calfee, C. S. (2016) · American Journal of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.1164/rccm.201603-0645oc · Cited by 824 · see citing works
Identification and characterisation of the high-risk surgical population in the United Kingdom
Pearse, R. M., Harrison, D. A., James, P., Watson, D. I., Hinds, C., Rhodes, A., Grounds, R. M., & Bennett, E. (2006) · Critical Care · doi:10.1186/cc4928 · Cited by 669 · see citing works
‘Choosing Wisely’: a growing international campaign
Levinson, W. S., Kallewaard, M., Bhatia, R. S., Wolfson, D. B., Shortt, S., & Kerr, E. A. (2014) · BMJ Quality & Safety · doi:10.1136/bmjqs-2014-003821 · Cited by 654 · see citing works
Cognitive Biases and Heuristics in Medical Decision Making
Blumenthal-Barby, J. S. S., & Krieger, H. (2014) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x14547740 · Cited by 554 · see citing works
Incidence of treated cardiac arrest in hospitalized patients in the United States*
Merchant, R. M., Yang, L., Becker, L. B., Berg, R. A., Nadkarni, V., Nichol, G., Carr, B. G., Mitra, N., Bradley, S. M., Abella, B. S., et al. (2011) · Critical Care Medicine · doi:10.1097/ccm.0b013e3182257459 · Cited by 429 · see citing works
The Perfect Storm of Overutilization
Emanuel, E. J. (2008) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.299.23.2789 · Cited by 390 · see citing works
Van den Bruel, A., Haj-Hassan, T., Thompson, M., Buntinx, F., & Mant, D. (2010) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(09)62000-6 · Cited by 317 · see citing works
In‐hospital cardiopulmonary resuscitation
Skogvoll, E., Isern, E., Sangolt, G., & Gisvold, S. (1999) · Acta Anaesthesiologica Scandinavica · doi:10.1034/j.1399-6576.1999.430210.x · Cited by 313 · see citing works
Jhanji, S., Thomas, B., Ely, A., Watson, D. I., Hinds, C., & Pearse, R. M. (2008) · Anaesthesia · doi:10.1111/j.1365-2044.2008.05560.x · Cited by 258 · see citing works
Rothman, M. J., Rothman, S. I., & Beals, J. (2013) · Journal of Biomedical Informatics · doi:10.1016/j.jbi.2013.06.011 · Cited by 225 · see citing works
Misdiagnosis at a University Hospital in 4 Medical Eras Report on 400 Cases
Kirch, W., & Schafii, C. (1996) · Medicine · doi:10.1097/00005792-199601000-00004 · Cited by 212 · see citing works
Clinicians’ gut feeling about serious infections in children: observational study.
Van den Bruel, A., Thompson, M., Buntinx, F., & Mant, D. (2012) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.e6144 · Cited by 183 · see citing works
Shickel, B., Loftus, T. J., Adhikari, L., Ozrazgat-Baslanti, T., Bihorac, A., & Rashidi, P. (2019) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-019-38491-0 · Cited by 165 · see citing works
Self-citationDebiasing Health-Related Judgments and Decision Making: A Systematic Review
Ludolph, R. A., & Schulz, P. J. (2017) · Medical Decision Making · doi:10.1177/0272989x17716672 · Cited by 158 · see citing works
Location of In‐Hospital Cardiac Arrest in the United States—Variability in Event Rate and Outcomes
Perman, S. M., Stanton, E., Soar, J., Berg, R. A., Donnino, M. W., Mikkelsen, M. E., Edelson, D. P., Churpek, M. M., Yang, L., Merchant, R. M., et al. (2016) · Journal of the American Heart Association · doi:10.1161/jaha.116.003638 · Cited by 152 · see citing works
Green, M., Lander, H., Snyder, A. M., Hudson, P., Churpek, M. M., & Edelson, D. P. (2017) · Resuscitation · doi:10.1016/j.resuscitation.2017.10.028 · Cited by 149 · see citing works
Booth, H., Prevost, A. T., & Gulliford, M. C. (2013) · Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety · doi:10.1002/pds.3537 · Cited by 62 · see citing works
Flagged first, then by citations
Cited by
Sorted by citations
Implementing Artificial Intelligence in Critical Care Medicine: a consensus of 22.
Cecconi, M., Greco, M., Shickel, B., Angus, D. C., Bailey, H., Bignami, E., Calandra, T., Celi, L. A., Einav, S., Elbers, P., et al. (2025) · Critical Care · doi:10.1186/s13054-025-05532-2 · Cited by 80 · see citing works
“The ICU provides a high level of data granularity due to high resolution monitoring systems, capable of capturing the rapid changes in a patient's physiological status [61].”
Self-citationRen, Y., Li, Y., Loftus, T. J., Balch, J. A., Abbott, K. L., Ruppert, M. M., Guan, Z., Shickel, B., Rashidi, P., Ozrazgat‐Baslanti, T., et al. (2024) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-024-59047-x · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Self-citationRyan, J. M., Navaneethan, S., Damaso, N., Dilchert, S., Hartogensis, W., Natale, J. L., Hecht, F. M., Mason, A. E., & Smarr, B. L. (2024) · Frontiers in Network Physiology · doi:10.3389/fnetp.2024.1211413 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
Wang, Y., Xia, L., Tang, Y., Li, W., Cui, J. G., Luo, X., Jiang, H., & Li, Y. (2025) · Current Oncology · doi:10.3390/curroncol32100533
Self-citationImplementing responsible artificial intelligence-driven precision medicine in critical care
Ennouri, E., Boussarsar, M., Saida, I. B., Meddeb, K., & Toumi, R. (2026) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-443-36554-6.00021-0
Liu, B.-Q., Sun, Z., Ning, C.-H., Xiao, J., Wu, D., Lin, C., Hong, X.-Y., Guo, R., Chen, L., Cao, X.-T., et al. (2026) · World Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.3748/wjg.118717
- Authors
- Ren, Y., Loftus, T. J., Li, Y., Guan, Z., Ruppert, M. M., Datta, S., Upchurch, G. R., Tighe, P. J., Rashidi, P., Shickel, B., Ozrazgat-Baslanti, T., & Bihorac, A.
- Affiliations
- University of Florida (US)
- University of Florida Health (US)
- Corresponding author
- Bihorac, Azra
- ORCID
- Venue
- PLOS Digital Health
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2022-10-13
- Volume
- 1
- Issue
- 10
- Pages
- e0000110
- ISSN
- 2767-3170 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9802629
- OpenAlex
- W4306154654
- Cited by
- 6
- References
- 25
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 2
- FWCI
- 0.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- PLOS Digital Health (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Funders
- National Institute of General Medical Sciences (R01 GM110240)
- National Institute of Biomedical Imaging and Bioengineering (R01 EB029699 and R21 EB027344, R01 EB029699, 1R01EB029699 and 1R21EB027344)
- National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (R01 NS120924, 1R01NS120924)
- National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (R01 DK121730, K01 DK120784, R01 DK123078, and R01 DK121730)
- National Center For Advancing Translational Sciences of the National Institutes of Health (UL1TR001427)
- University of Florida Research (AGR DTD 12-02-20)
- National Science Foundation (CAREER award 1750192)
- National Institute of General Medical Science (R01GM-110240)
- ational Institute of General Medical Sciences (K23 GM140268)
- NIH/NCATS Clinical and Translational Sciences Award to the University of Florida (UL1 TR000064)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Sepsis Diagnosis and Treatment
- Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Machine Learning in Healthcare
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Healthcare Technology and Patient Monitoring
- Keywords
- vital signs, early hospitalization, clinical phenotype, K-means clustering, SOFA score, sepsis, acute kidney injury, respiratory failure, mortality, cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease, hypothermia, vasoplegia, tachycardia, hypoxemia
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review