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Biodiversity Can Help Prevent Malaria Outbreaks in Tropical Forests
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: Plasmodium vivax is a widely distributed, neglected parasite that can cause malaria and death in tropical areas. It is associated with an estimated 80-300 million cases of malaria worldwide. Brazilian tropical rain forests encompass host- and vector-rich communities, in which two hypothetical mechanisms could play a role in the dynamics of malaria transmission. The first mechanism is the dilution effect caused by presence of wild warm-blooded animals, which can act as dead-end hosts to Plasmodium parasites. The second is diffuse mosquito vector competition, in which vector and non-vector mosquito species compete for blood feeding upon a defensive host. Considering that the World Health Organization Malaria Eradication Research Agenda calls for novel strategies to eliminate malaria transmission locally, we used mathematical modeling to assess those two mechanisms in a pristine tropical rain forest, where the primary vector is present but malaria is absent. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: The Ross-Macdonald model and a biodiversity-oriented model were parameterized using newly collected data and data from the literature. The basic reproduction number ([Formula: see text]) estimated employing Ross-Macdonald model indicated that malaria cases occur in the study location. However, no malaria cases have been reported since 1980. In contrast, the biodiversity-oriented model corroborated the absence of malaria transmission. In addition, the diffuse competition mechanism was negatively correlated with the risk of malaria transmission, which suggests a protective effect provided by the forest ecosystem. There is a non-linear, unimodal correlation between the mechanism of dead-end transmission of parasites and the risk of malaria transmission, suggesting a protective effect only under certain circumstances (e.g., a high abundance of wild warm-blooded animals). CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: To achieve biological conservation and to eliminate Plasmodium parasites in human populations, the World Health Organization Malaria Eradication Research Agenda should take biodiversity issues into consideration.
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“In more complex systems, notably zoonotic mosquito-borne pathogens with many vectors and many hosts, transmission patterns are affected by the diversity of less-competent or non-competent hosts.91”
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“Other frameworks have been developed more recently that show how heterogeneous transmission arises and these lay the foundations for a systematic study of the way these factors vary across systems.91,97”
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Metadata
- Authors
- Laporta, G. Z., Prado, P. I. K. L. D., Kraenkel, R. A., Coutinho, R. M., & Sallum, M. A. M.
- Affiliations
- Universidade de São Paulo (BR)
- Universidade Estadual Paulista (Unesp) (BR)
- Corresponding author
- Laporta, Gabriel Zorello
- ORCID
- Venue
- PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases
- Publisher
- Public Library of Science (PLoS)
- Published
- 2013-03-21
- Volume
- 7
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- e2139
- ISSN
- 1935-2727 (ISSN-L)
- 1935-2735
- PMC
- PMC3605282
- OpenAlex
- W2084885779
- Cited by
- 108
- References
- 59
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 13 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 8 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 8 · 2013: 2
- FWCI
- 8.18
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Locations
- PLoS neglected tropical diseases (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- Europe PMC (PubMed Central) (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- LA Referencia (Red Federada de Repositorios Institucionales de Publicaciones Científicas) (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- Acervo Digital da Universidade Estadual Paulista (Universidade Estadual Paulista) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Americanae (AECID Library) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Figshare (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (05/53973-0)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Malaria Research and Control
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Applied Mathematics › Mathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Mosquito-borne diseases and control
- Keywords
- malaria transmission, Plasmodium vivax, biodiversity, dilution effect, dead-end hosts, diffuse competition, tropical rainforest, Ross-Macdonald model, basic reproduction number, malaria eradication, wildlife hosts, mathematical modeling
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Brazil, Disease Outbreaks, Female, Humans, Models, Theoretical, Trees, Tropical Climate, Malaria, Vivax, Disease Transmission, Infectious, Biodiversity
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