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Cited by 186

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Comparing the Prognostic Accuracy for All-Cause Mortality of Frailty Instruments: A Multicentre 1-Year Follow-Up in Hospitalized Older Patients

Open access
Pilotto, Alberto, Rengo, Franco, Marchionni, Niccolò, Sancarlo, Daniele, Fontana, Andrea, Panza, Francesco, Ferrucci, Luigi, on behalf of the FIRI-SIGG Study Group·2012·PLoS ONE

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Frailty is a dynamic age-related condition of increased vulnerability characterized by declines across multiple physiologic systems and associated with an increased risk of death. We compared the predictive accuracy for one-month and one-year all-cause mortality of four frailty instruments in a large population of hospitalized older patients in a prospective multicentre cohort study. METHODS AND FINDINGS: On 2033 hospitalized patients aged ≥ 65 years from twenty Italian geriatric units, we calculated the frailty indexes derived from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (FI-SOF), based on the cumulative deficits model (FI-CD), based on a comprehensive geriatric assessment (FI-CGA), and the Multidimensional Prognostic Index (MPI). The overall mortality rates were 8.6% after one-month and 24.9% after one-year follow-up. All frailty instruments were significantly associated with one-month and one-year all-cause mortality. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves estimated from age- and sex-adjusted logistic regression models, accounting for clustering due to centre effect, showed that the MPI had a significant higher discriminatory accuracy than FI-SOF, FI-CD, and FI-CGA after one month (areas under the ROC curves: FI-SOF = 0.685 vs. FI-CD = 0.738 vs. FI-CGA = 0.724 vs. MPI = 0.765, p<0.0001) and one year of follow-up (areas under the ROC curves: FI-SOF = 0.694 vs. FI-CD = 0.729 vs. FI-CGA = 0.727 vs. MPI = 0.750, p<0.0001). The MPI showed a significant higher discriminatory power for predicting one-year mortality also in hospitalized older patients without functional limitations, without cognitive impairment, malnourished, with increased comorbidity, and with a high number of drugs. CONCLUSIONS: All frailty instruments were significantly associated with short- and long-term all-cause mortality, but MPI demonstrated a significant higher predictive power than other frailty instruments in hospitalized older patients.

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Metadata

Authors
Pilotto, A., Rengo, F., Marchionni, N., Sancarlo, D., Fontana, A., Panza, F., Ferrucci, L., & on behalf of the FIRI-SIGG Study Group
Venue
PLoS ONE
Published
2012-01-11
Volume
7
Issue
1
Pages
e29090
ISSN
1932-6203 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2073237861
Cited by
186
References
12
FWCI
7.26
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
gold

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Pilotto, A., Rengo, F., Marchionni, N., Sancarlo, D., Fontana, A., Panza, F., Ferrucci, L., & on behalf of the FIRI-SIGG Study Group. (2012). Comparing the Prognostic Accuracy for All-Cause Mortality of Frailty Instruments: A Multicentre 1-Year Follow-Up in Hospitalized Older Patients. PLoS ONE. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0029090

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