Cited by 554Environmental Impact and SustainabilityBioenergy crop production and managementBiofuel production and bioconversion

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Effects of US Maize Ethanol on Global Land Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Estimating Market-mediated Responses

Hertel, Thomas W., Golub, Alla A., Jones, Andrew D., O'Hare, Michael, Plevin, Richard J., Kammen, Daniel M.·2010·BioScience

DOI 10.1525/bio.2010.60.3.8

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Abstract

Releases of greenhouse gases (GHG) from indirect land-use change triggered by crop-based biofuels have taken center stage in the debate over the role of biofuels in climate policy and energy security. This article analyzes these releases for maize ethanol produced in the United States. Factoring market-mediated responses and by-product use into our analysis reduces cropland conversion by 72% from the land used for the ethanol feedstock. Consequently, the associated GHG release estimated in our framework is 800 grams of carbon dioxide per megajoule (MJ); 27 grams per MJ per year, over 30 years of ethanol production, or roughly a quarter of the only other published estimate of releases attributable to changes in indirect land use. Nonetheless, 800 grams are enough to cancel out the benefits that corn ethanol has on global warming, thereby limiting its potential contribution in the context of California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard.

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Use of U.S. Croplands for Biofuels Increases Greenhouse Gases Through Emissions from Land-Use Change
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“…estimate of emissions due to ILUC from the production of maize ethanol is about 3000 grams (g) of carbon dioxide (CO2) equivalent discharge per annual megajoule (MJ) of maize ethanol production capacity (Searchinger et al. 2008), or 100 g per MJ if allocated over 30 years of production.”
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Authors: Hertel, T. W., Golub, A. A., Jones, A. D., O'Hare, M., Plevin, R. J., & Kammen, D. M.
ORCID: Hertel, Thomas W.
Golub, Alla A.
Jones, Andrew D.
Plevin, Richard J.
Kammen, Daniel M.
Venue: BioScience
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Published: 2010-03
Volume: 60
Issue: 3
Pages: 223-231
ISSN: 0006-3568 (ISSN-L)
1525-3244
DOI: 10.1525/bio.2010.60.3.8
OpenAlex: W2042467966
Semantic Scholar: 1711415b8f00f64c8855c6364d4157fd312a433f
Cited by: 554
References: 19
Citations by year: 2026: 10 · 2025: 14 · 2024: 15 · 2023: 18 · 2022: 25 · 2021: 27 · 2020: 24 · 2019: 15 · 2018: 33 · 2017: 41 · 2016: 33 · 2015: 49 · 2014: 56 · 2013: 70 · 2012: 49
FWCI: 59.78
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Locations: BioScience (publishedVersion)
BioOne Complete (BioOne) (publishedVersion)
HighWire Press Open Archive (publishedVersion)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Environmental Engineering › Environmental Impact and Sustainability
Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agronomy and Crop Science › Bioenergy crop production and management
Physical Sciences › Engineering › Biomedical Engineering › Biofuel production and bioconversion
Keywords: indirect land use change, greenhouse gas emissions, biofuels, cropland conversion, CO2 emissions, Low Carbon Fuel Standard, climate policy, energy security

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Effects of US Maize Ethanol on Global Land Use and Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Estimating Market-mediated Responses

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