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Red Meat Intake and Risk of ESRD
Open accessAbstract
Randomized controlled trials suggest that protein restriction may retard the progression of CKD toward ESRD. However, the effects of dietary protein intake level and the food sources of dietary protein on the risk of ESRD in the general population remain unclear. We investigated these effects in the Singapore Chinese Health Study, a prospective population-based cohort that recruited 63,257 Chinese adults aged 45-74 years from 1993 to 1998. We collected habitual diet information via a validated semiquantitative food frequency questionnaire and identified ESRD via record linkage with a nationwide registry. In all, 951 cases of ESRD occurred over a mean follow-up of 15.5 years. Regarding total protein intake, compared with the lowest quartile, the three higher quartiles combined had a hazard ratio for ESRD of 1.24 (95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.05 to 1.46), but the dose-dependent association across the quartiles was not statistically significant (P trend =0.16). Red meat intake strongly associated with ESRD risk in a dose-dependent manner (hazard ratio for highest quartile versus lowest quartile,1.40 [95% CI, 1.15 to 1.71; P trend <0.001]). Intake of poultry, fish, eggs, or dairy products did not associate with risk of ESRD. In substitution analysis, replacing one serving of red meat with other food sources of protein associated with a maximum relative risk reduction of 62.4% (95% CI, 33.1 to 78.9; P<0.01). Our study shows that red meat intake may increase the risk of ESRD…
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“observational studies have reported that high consumption of red and processed meat is associated with increased risk of CKD progression and mortality”
From KDIGO 2022 Clinical Practice Guideline for Diabetes Management in Chronic Kidney Disease (2022) · cites this paper as [282]
In the citing paper
“fruit and vegetable intake were associated with decline in progression of kidney disease. 280 -282”
From KDIGO 2022 Clinical Practice Guideline for Diabetes Management in Chronic Kidney Disease (2022) · cites this paper as [282]
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InfluentialEmerging Preventive Strategies in Chronic Kidney Disease: Recent Evidence and Gaps in Knowledge
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“This may lower DQ as, depending on how these foods are prepared, they may be high in saturated fats and sodium [12,20,21].”
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“20 Several studies have shown that dietary or lifestyle interventions can improve health-related quality of life and eGFR in patients with CKD. 21,22 Public health strategies should consider screening for CKD and its associated risk factors so that intensive intervention can reduce these risk…”
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“First, limiting animal protein intake, particularly from red meat, may reduce the production of the harmful catabolic by-products of protein metabolism, thereby decreasing chronic inflammation, oxidative stress, and endothelial dysfunction [36,37].”
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“Red meat consumption was strongly associated with ESRD risk in a dose-dependent manner, whereas other proteins, such as fish, did not show such deleterious associations (12).”
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“End-stage renal disease (ESRD) is the final stage of chronic kidney disease and is defined as the stage that requires renal replacement therapy or hemodialysis (3).”
BackgroundRoddy, M. K., Mayberry, L. S., Nair, D., & Cavanaugh, K. L. (2022) · BMC Nephrology · doi:10.1186/s12882-022-02885-6 · Cited by 5
Shah, L. N., Matheson, M. B., Furth, S. L., Schwartz, G. J., Warady, B. A., & Wong, C. J. (2021) · Pediatric Nephrology · doi:10.1007/s00467-021-05334-y · Cited by 3
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“Saturated fat and processed meat intake are related to faster renal decline, whereas consumption patterns rich in vegetables, fruits, whole grains, and unsaturated fats are associated with slower progression (Carrero et al. 2020; Kelly et al. 2021; Lew et al. 2017; Hu et al. 2019; Cai et al. 2021).”
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“However, further research is needed to fully understand the role of different dietary protein sources and their non-protein constituents in this process [5, 11–13].”
InfluentialManagement of hypertension in specific populations: a review
Koirala, A., Gautam, S. C., & Aslam, A. (2025) · Annals of Translational Medicine · doi:10.21037/atm-25-65 · Cited by 2
“Although low-potassium diets may be recommended for chronic hyperkalemia, potassium-rich foods have various health benefits and may help slow CKD (81,82) and cardiovascular disease progression (83-85).”
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“However, human studies suggest that a high-protein diet may increase the risk of chronic kidney disease (53), with daily consumption of red meat posing a higher risk (54).”
Nutrient quality in dietary therapy for diabetes and diabetic kidney disease
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“In a meta-analysis of the effectiveness of n-3 PUFAs supplementation in patients with CKD, although the supplementation signi fi cantly decreased urinary albumin, it did not prevent the decline in eGFR 77 .”
BackgroundInfluentialTseng, I.-H., Lin, I.-H., Wu, Y., Duong, T. V., Nien, S.-W., Wang, H.-H., Chiang, Y., Yang, S., & Wong, T.-C. (2023) · Transplantation Proceedings · doi:10.1016/j.transproceed.2023.03.018 · Cited by 2
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Nagai, K., Kosaka, S., Kawate, Y., & Itsubo, N. (2022) · Renal Replacement Therapy · doi:10.1186/s41100-022-00415-6 · Cited by 2
“an increased risk of developing CKD [34] and endstage kidney disease [35].”
BackgroundProgressionsverlangsamung – Rolle von Ernährung und Flüssigkeitszufuhr
Kuhlmann, M. K., Fleig, S. V., Radermacher, J., & Contzen, B. (2021) · Der Nephrologe · doi:10.1007/s11560-021-00539-6 · Cited by 2
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“13 Living kidney donor, n (%) 216 (34) 0.”
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“Additionally, certain protein-rich foods, especially those found in red and processed meats, may increase the risk of MetS [96 – 99].”
Butler, F. M., Mathew, R. O., Sveen, L. E., & Fraser, G. E. (2025) · Journal of renal nutrition · doi:10.1053/j.jrn.2025.11.001 · Cited by 1
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“Furthermore, when the study by Lew et al. (44) is British Journal of Nutrition removed, the previously established significant positive association between consuming red meat and the risk of CKD becomes non-significant.”
InfluentialIm, H., & Jang, H.-Y. (2024) · Heliyon · doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e40237 · Cited by 1
Watanabe, D., Maruyama, K., Tamakoshi, A., & Muraki, I. (2024) · Environmental Health Perspectives · doi:10.1289/ehp14935 · Cited by 1
“…change in GHGE level associated with the replacement of one serving of red meat (beef, pork, or liver) with one serving of an alternative protein source was calculated using the substitution method 24,25 because reducing meat consumption may bene fi t both a reduction in GHGEs and health outcomes.”
Chen, Y.-C., Tung, C.-H., & Yu, B.-H. (2024) · Journal of the Endocrine Society · doi:10.1210/jendso/bvae119 · Cited by 1
“There was a strong dose-dependent relationship with red meat intake and increased risk of ESRD [47].”
BackgroundImpact of dietary habits on renal function in Saku, a rural Japanese town: a cohort study
Adachi, K., Yasuda, M., Ida, M., Kanda, T., Morita, A., Wakino, S., Watanabe, S., & Itoh, H. (2024) · Clinical and Experimental Nephrology · doi:10.1007/s10157-024-02479-6 · Cited by 1
“Red meat is reported to be more likely to aggravate kidney function than white meat, although there was no association between chicken intake and ESRD [20].”
Bando, H., & Kato, Y. (2020) · Journal of Health Care and Research · doi:10.36502/2020/hcr.6167
“of red meat was dose-dependently associated with the risk of end-stage renal failure, but conversely, intake of egg, fish, chicken, and dairy products was involved in reducing the risk [13].”
BackgroundChauveau, P., Lasseur, C., Nodimar, C., Moreau, K., Trolonge, S., Aparicio, M., & Combe, C. (2018) · Néphrologie & Thérapeutique · doi:10.1016/j.nephro.2018.02.014 · Cited by 1
Rayner, H. C., Thomas, M. E., & Milford, D. (2020) · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-43027-6 · Cited by 1
Geravand, F., Nasli‐Esfahani, E., Jalalzadeh, M., Montazer, M., Kazeminejad, S., Javadi, F., Tanha, S., & Azadbakht, L. (2026) · Scientific Reports · doi:10.1038/s41598-026-77239-5
Prevalence of renal impairment in urban adults: A community-based study from Kerala, India
Madhavikutty, G., Mathew, A., R, R., R., S., Unnikrishnan Ramachandran, V., Manjunathan, R., Mundadan, N. G., James, C., A., S., & Soman, K. (2026) · The Indian journal of medical research · doi:10.25259/ijmr_379_2026
Uwatoko, R., Sakaguchi, Y., Oka, T., Doi, Y., Kawano, Y., Kadono, H., Fukuda, S., Yamamoto, R., Matsui, I., Mizui, M., et al. (2026) · American Journal of Kidney Diseases · doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2026.07.008
High-Protein Diets: What to Tell Our Patients
Garibotto, G., Verzola, D., Picciotto, D., & Russo, E. (2026) · American Journal of Kidney Diseases · doi:10.1053/j.ajkd.2026.01.023 · Cited by 1
Mediterranean Diet: How Useful is it in Kidney Transplant Patients?
Afşar, B., Afşar, R. E., & Lentine, K. L. (2026) · Current Transplantation Reports · doi:10.1007/s40472-026-00508-9 · Cited by 1
“Additionally, proteins predominantly from plant-based foods have favorable effects on lipid profiles and are associated with a lower risk of incident CKD and ESKD [56–58].”
Gu, J., & Zhang, J.-Y. (2025) · Frontiers in Nutrition · doi:10.3389/fnut.2025.1666684
Lin, S., Chen, C., Chiu, S.-H., Hsiao, P., Liu, K.-T., & Li, S. (2025) · Nutrients · doi:10.3390/nu17132168 · Cited by 1
“Appropriate supplementation with BCAAs and histidine and restriction of tyrosine, methionine, and glutamic acid may serve as nutritional strategies to support kidney function [29,30].”
Fad diets for non-dialysis chronic kidney disease patients: Can “the miracle diet” be a threat?
Brum, I. D. S. D. C., Cardozo, L., Alvarenga, L., Kemp, J. A., Baptista, B. G., Britto, I. K., Borges, N. A., Renouf, D., Wong, M., Fouque, D. P., et al. (2024) · Nutrition · doi:10.1016/j.nut.2024.112668 · Cited by 2
Wieczorek, O., Aleksandrowicz, D., Głąbień, M., Jakubczak, Z., Miłkowski, P., Zimniak, M., Kondratowicz, A., Śliwiak, P., Kusiak, K., & Kuśnierz, A. (2024) · Quality in Sport · doi:10.12775/qs.2024.22.54956
“[ 33] According to research, replacing one serving of red meat with soy or legumes is linked to a 50.4% lower risk of kidney failure.”
MethodInfluentialKARIMA YOUSSEF AHMED, M. D. A. M. A. H. A. (2024) · The Medical journal of Cairo University · doi:10.21608/mjcu.2024.389771
Dietetic-nutritional management strategies for patients with chronic kidney disease
Zheng, Q. (2023) · Highlights in Science Engineering and Technology · doi:10.54097/tc9p6070
Pre‐bariatric surgery acute kidney injury: Can this be prevented?
Leelaviwat, N., Yingchoncharoen, P., Thongpiya, J., Abdelnabi, M. H., & Mekraksakit, P. (2023) · Clinical Case Reports · doi:10.1002/ccr3.8070
Is high protein intake a real concern for healthy kidneys?
Giannese, D., Panichi, V., & Cupisti, A. (2022) · Journal of Nephrology · doi:10.1007/s40620-022-01503-w
“In the general population of the Singapore Chinese Health Study, consumption of red meat was associated with higher end stage renal disease risk in a dose-dependent manner whereas it did not occur for poultry, fish, eggs, or dairy products [7].”
BackgroundEmpirical Effect of Nutritional Awareness and Calciferol Supplementation in Renal Patients
Hamid, F., Mohamed, M., El-Sayed, H., Ibrahim, N. M., Elsawy, G., El-Fattah, N. A., & Ahmad, E. M. (2022) · Bulletin of the National Nutrition Institute of the Arab Republic of Egypt · doi:10.21608/bnni.2022.244348
“Lew QLJ; Jafar TH; Koh HWL; Jin A; Chow KY; Yuan JM and Koh WP (2017): Red meat intake and risk of ESRD.”
BackgroundWahyuni, M., Haliman, C. D., Melaniani, S., & Mahmudiono, T. (2021) · Open Access Macedonian Journal of Medical Sciences · doi:10.3889/oamjms.2021.7330
“Studies showed that higher intake of red and processed meat was significantly associated with an increased risk for incident CKD [6], [7].”
BackgroundNutrition and Diet Therapy for DKD
Kume, S. (2020) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-981-15-9301-7_7
Khogali, F. (2020) · Journal of Advance Research in Applied Science · doi:10.53555/nnas.v7i1.819
“(15) stated that red meat intake strongly associated with ESRD risk.”
BackgroundRayner, H., Thomas, M. E., & Milford, D. (2020) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-43027-6_6
Kelly, J. T. (2020) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-030-44858-5_31
Metadata
- Authors
- Lew, Q.-L. J., Jafar, T. H., Koh, H. W. L., Jin, A., Chow, K. Y., Yuan, J.-M., & Koh, W.-P.
- Affiliations
- SingHealth Polyclinics (SG)
- Singapore General Hospital (SG)
- National University of Singapore (SG)
- Health Promotion Board (SG)
- University of Pittsburgh (US)
- Corresponding author
- Lew, Quan-Lan Jasmine
- Yuan, Jian-Min
- Venue
- Journal of the American Society of Nephrology
- Published
- 2016-07-14
- Volume
- 28
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 304-312
- ISSN
- 1046-6673 (ISSN-L)
- 1533-3450
- PMC
- PMC5198288
- OpenAlex
- W2464978253
- Cited by
- 222
- References
- 0
- Citations by year
- 2026: 9 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 26 · 2023: 31 · 2022: 28 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 33 · 2019: 16 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 4
- FWCI
- 17.19
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Journal of the American Society of Nephrology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National University of Singapore
- National Cancer Institute (R01CA144034, R01CA080205, UM1CA182876)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health › Nutritional Studies and Diet
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Nephrology › Chronic Kidney Disease and Diabetes
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Ecology › Agriculture Sustainability and Environmental Impact
- Keywords
- red meat consumption, end-stage renal disease, protein intake, protein restriction, chronic kidney disease progression, protein source substitution, poultry, fish, eggs, dairy products, dose-response relationship, Singapore Chinese Health Study
- MeSH terms
- Red Meat, Aged, Female, Humans, Kidney Failure, Chronic, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Risk Factors
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