Cited by 241Ethics and Social Impacts of AINatural Language Processing TechniquesTopic Modeling

Predictive biases in natural language processing models: A conceptual framework and overview

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Shah, Deven Santosh, Schwartz, H. Andrew, Hovy, Dirk·2020·Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics

Abstract

An increasing number of natural language processing papers address the effect of bias on predictions, introducing mitigation techniques at different parts of the standard NLP pipeline (data and models).However, these works have been conducted individually, without a unifying framework to organize efforts within the field.This situation leads to repetitive approaches, and focuses overly on bias symptoms/effects, rather than on their origins, which could limit the development of effective countermeasures.In this paper, we propose a unifying predictive bias framework for NLP.We summarize the NLP literature and suggest general mathematical definitions of predictive bias.We differentiate two consequences of bias: outcome disparities and error disparities, as well as four potential origins of biases: label bias, selection bias, model overamplification, and semantic bias.Our framework serves as an overview of predictive bias in NLP, integrating existing work into a single structure, and providing a conceptual baseline for improved frameworks.

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  • Training data used to train an LLM may be drawn from a nonrepresentative sample of the population, which can cause the model to fail to generalize well to some social groups.

    “Training Data: The data used to train an LLM may be drawn from a nonrepresentative sample of the population, which can cause the model to fail to generalize well to some social groups.”

    From Bias and Fairness in Large Language Models: A Survey (2024) · cites this paper as Shah, Schwartz, and Hovy 2020

    Section 3 (“Four Origins of Bias”) links unrepresentative training data to lower accuracy for demographic groups, and Appendix A.2 says models trained on demographically mismatched samples perform significantly worse. Those passages support the claimed mechanism for NLP models, but the paper’s examples concern tools such as taggers and parsers rather than LLMs specifically. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Training data may omit important contexts, and proxies used as labels may incorrectly measure the actual outcome of interest.

    “The data may omit important contexts, and proxies used as labels ( e.g. , sentiment) may incorrectly measure the actual outcome of interest ( e.g. , representational harms).”

    From Bias and Fairness in Large Language Models: A Survey (2024) · cites this paper as Shah, Schwartz, and Hovy 2020

    Section 3, “Four Origins of Bias” (page unavailable), describes selection bias from non-representative training observations and label bias from erroneous labels. Section 2 also describes annotators failing to account for authors’ racial background and sociolinguistic norms. These passages support the concern about missing context and flawed labels, but they do not establish the specific claim that a proxy label such as sentiment incorrectly measures an outcome such as representational harm. (LLM, conf=0.82)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Bias emerges at points within the model development and deployment process, which may exacerbate preexisting historical biases.

    “Another way of understanding social bias in LLMs is to examine at which points within the model development and deployment process the bias emerges, which may exacerbate preexisting historical biases. This has been thoroughly explored by Mehrabi et al. (2021), Shah, Schwartz, and Hovy (2020), and Suresh and Guttag (2021), and we summarize these pathways here:”

    From Bias and Fairness in Large Language Models: A Survey (2024) · cites this paper as Shah, Schwartz, and Hovy 2020

  • The aggregation of data may obscure distinct social groups that should be treated differently.

    “The aggregation of data may also obscure distinct social groups that should be treated differently, causing the model”

    From Bias and Fairness in Large Language Models: A Survey (2024) · cites this paper as Shah, Schwartz, and Hovy 2020

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Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Shah, D. S., Schwartz, H. A., & Hovy, D.
Affiliations
  • Stony Brook University (US)
  • Bocconi University (IT)
Venue
Proceedings of the 58th Annual Meeting of the Association for Computational Linguistics
Published
2020
Pages
5248-5264
ISSN
0736-587X (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3035377849
Cited by
241
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 11 · 2025: 29 · 2024: 27 · 2023: 46 · 2022: 50 · 2021: 62 · 2020: 16
FWCI
44.02
Type
conference paper
Language
en
Open access
Licence
cc-by
Locations
  • Proceedings of the conference - Association for Computational Linguistics. Meeting (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • arXiv (Cornell University) (submittedVersion)
  • Archivio istituzionale della Ricerca - Bocconi (submittedVersion, cc-by)
  • arXiv (Cornell University)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Safety Research › Ethics and Social Impacts of AI
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Natural Language Processing Techniques
  • Physical Sciences › Computer Science › Artificial Intelligence › Topic Modeling
Keywords
predictive bias, algorithmic fairness, bias mitigation, outcome disparities, label bias, selection bias, semantic bias, conceptual framework

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