Predictive Ability of Preoperative PT-INR and Postoperative MCP1 for Post-hepatectomy Liver Failure
Open accessAbstract
BACKGROUND: We sought a diagnostic tool using perioperative variables that might predict post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). PATIENTS AND METHODS: In 68 patients undergoing major hepatectomy, data on inflammatory markers and coagulation factors were prospectively collected and were compared between patients with International Study Group of Liver Surgery definition grade B/C PHLF (LF group) and those without LF (non-LF group). RESULTS: Preoperatively, the LF group (n=9; 13.2%) had a lower platelet count and a disintegrin-like and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin type 1 motifs 13 (ADAMTS13) activity and a higher prothrombin time-International Normalized Ratio (PT-INR) than the non-LF group. On postoperative day 1, the LF group had significantly higher serum interleukin 6 (IL6), C-C motif chemokine ligand 2 (CCL2), and IL10 levels than the non-LF group. The logistic regression model that included preoperative PT-INR and CCL2 on postoperative day 1 predicted grade B/C PHLF with 100% sensitivity and 89.8% specificity. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that the combination of preoperative PT-INR and CCL2 on postoperative day 1 can predict PHLF earlier and precisely after major hepatectomy.
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In Arisaka et al. 2020, preoperative serum IL-6 levels were comparable in CR-PHLF and no CR-PHLF groups, but postoperative levels were markedly higher in patients with liver failure on POD1, 3, and 5, with a peak on POD1.
“While preoperative serum IL-6 levels were comparable in both groups, significant differences were noted postoperatively, with markedly higher levels in patients with liver failure on POD1, 3, and 5, with a peak on POD1.”
From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]
The Clinical characteristics section reports comparable preoperative inflammatory markers, significantly higher IL-6 in the liver-failure group on POD1 and POD5, and an IL-6 peak on POD1. It does not explicitly report a significant between-group IL-6 difference on POD3, so that part of the claim is not established by our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn Arisaka et al. 2020, the combination of IL-6 with preoperative platelet count increased predictive potential (AUC = 0.838).
“The combination of IL-6 with preoperative platelet count further increased its’ predictive potential (AUC = 0.838).”
From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]
Table III (Discussion) reports 0.838 for the combination of preoperative platelet count and postoperative day 1 IL6, but explicitly identifies the combination values as Youden indices, not AUCs. Table II reports AUCs for the individual markers, not an AUC of 0.838 for their combination. (LLM, conf=0.90)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredArisaka et al. reported a cut-off of 106 pg/mL (77.8% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity) in major hepatectomy patients to predict ISGLS-PHLF with an AUC of 0.791.
“a cut-off of 106 pg/mL (77.8% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity) was reported in major hepatectomy patients by Arisaka et al. to predict ISGLS-PHLF with an AUC of 0.791 [30].”
From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]
Table II reports an AUC of 0.791, 77.8% sensitivity, and 91.5% specificity for predicting grade B/C PHLF in the major-hepatectomy cohort. Its cut-off is 106.5 pg/mL, not 106 pg/mL, and it applies to postoperative-day-1 IL6; the CCL2/MCP1 cut-off is 241.5 pg/mL. The indexed Table II passage has no page number. (LLM, conf=0.86)
Experimental — accuracy not yet measuredIn Arisaka et al. 2020, the AUC for POD1-IL-6 for CR-PHLF was 0.791 (compared to 0.929 for POD1-bilirubin), with a calculated cut-off of 106.5 pg/mL (77.8% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity).
“The area-under-the-curve (AUC) for POD1-IL-6 for CR-PHLF was 0.791 (compared to 0.929 for POD1-Bilirubin), with a calculated cut-off of 106.5 pg/mL (77.8% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity).”
From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]
In Arisaka et al. 2020, CR-PHLF had a clear association with severe morbidity (Clavien-Dindo grade >= 3) and mortality rate (33%).
“Furthermore, CR-PHLF in this study had a clear association with severe morbidity (Clavien–Dindo grade ≥ 3) and mortality rate (33%).”
From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]
In Arisaka et al. 2020, nine patients (13.3%) experienced clinically relevant PHLF (ISGLS grade B/C).
“Nine patients (13.3%) experienced clinically relevant (CR-) PHLF (ISGLS grade B/C) and were compared to all cases without CR-PHLF.”
From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]
Arisaka et al. analyzed a combination of POD1-IL-6 and preoperative thrombocytes for PHLF prediction.
“as has been suggested by Arisaka et al., who analyzed a combination of POD1-IL-6 and preoperative thrombocytes for PHLF prediction [30].”
From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]
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Sorted by citations
Kofler, A., Trattner, M., Mairinger, V., Urban, I., Søreide, K., Stättner, S., & Primavesi, F. (2025) · Cancers · doi:10.3390/cancers17193120 · Cited by 4 · see citing works
“In 2020, a prospective cohort study by Arisaka et al. ( n = 68 major hepatectomies) specifically focused on combining plasma markers for prediction of PHLF as defined by the ISGLS classification [30].”
Influential
- Authors
- ARISAKA, S., MATSUYAMA, R., GOTO, K., SUWA, Y., MORI, R., MORIOKA, D., TAGURI, M., & ENDO, I.
- Affiliations
- Yokohama City University (JP)
- Venue
- In Vivo
- Published
- 2020
- Volume
- 34
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 1255-1263
- ISSN
- 0258-851X (ISSN-L)
- 1791-7549
- PMC
- PMC7279821
- OpenAlex
- W3023617389
- Cited by
- 9
- References
- 1
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 1
- FWCI
- 0.44
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- diamond
- doi.org
- Locations
- In Vivo (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment and Prognosis
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Organ Transplantation Techniques and Outcomes
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Liver physiology and pathology
- Keywords
- post-hepatectomy liver failure, major hepatectomy, PT-INR, MCP-1, ADAMTS13, interleukin-6, IL-10, inflammatory markers, coagulation factors, predictive biomarkers, perioperative risk prediction
- MeSH terms
- Female, Hepatectomy, Humans, Male, Postoperative Complications, Postoperative Period, ROC Curve, Biomarkers, Cytokines, Liver Failure, Inflammation Mediators, Chemokine CCL2, International Normalized Ratio, Preoperative Period
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