Cited by 9Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment and PrognosisOrgan Transplantation Techniques and OutcomesLiver physiology and pathology

Predictive Ability of Preoperative PT-INR and Postoperative MCP1 for Post-hepatectomy Liver Failure

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ARISAKA, SAYAKA, MATSUYAMA, RYUSEI, GOTO, KOKI, SUWA, YUSUKE, MORI, RYUTARO, MORIOKA, DAISUKE, TAGURI, MASATAKA, ENDO, ITARU·2020·In Vivo

Abstract

BACKGROUND: We sought a diagnostic tool using perioperative variables that might predict post-hepatectomy liver failure (PHLF). PATIENTS AND METHODS: In 68 patients undergoing major hepatectomy, data on inflammatory markers and coagulation factors were prospectively collected and were compared between patients with International Study Group of Liver Surgery definition grade B/C PHLF (LF group) and those without LF (non-LF group). RESULTS: Preoperatively, the LF group (n=9; 13.2%) had a lower platelet count and a disintegrin-like and metalloproteinase with thrombospondin type 1 motifs 13 (ADAMTS13) activity and a higher prothrombin time-International Normalized Ratio (PT-INR) than the non-LF group. On postoperative day 1, the LF group had significantly higher serum interleukin 6 (IL6), C-C motif chemokine ligand 2 (CCL2), and IL10 levels than the non-LF group. The logistic regression model that included preoperative PT-INR and CCL2 on postoperative day 1 predicted grade B/C PHLF with 100% sensitivity and 89.8% specificity. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that the combination of preoperative PT-INR and CCL2 on postoperative day 1 can predict PHLF earlier and precisely after major hepatectomy.

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  • In Arisaka et al. 2020, preoperative serum IL-6 levels were comparable in CR-PHLF and no CR-PHLF groups, but postoperative levels were markedly higher in patients with liver failure on POD1, 3, and 5, with a peak on POD1.

    “While preoperative serum IL-6 levels were comparable in both groups, significant differences were noted postoperatively, with markedly higher levels in patients with liver failure on POD1, 3, and 5, with a peak on POD1.”

    From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]

    The Clinical characteristics section reports comparable preoperative inflammatory markers, significantly higher IL-6 in the liver-failure group on POD1 and POD5, and an IL-6 peak on POD1. It does not explicitly report a significant between-group IL-6 difference on POD3, so that part of the claim is not established by our copy. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • In Arisaka et al. 2020, the combination of IL-6 with preoperative platelet count increased predictive potential (AUC = 0.838).

    “The combination of IL-6 with preoperative platelet count further increased its’ predictive potential (AUC = 0.838).”

    From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]

    Table III (Discussion) reports 0.838 for the combination of preoperative platelet count and postoperative day 1 IL6, but explicitly identifies the combination values as Youden indices, not AUCs. Table II reports AUCs for the individual markers, not an AUC of 0.838 for their combination. (LLM, conf=0.90)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Arisaka et al. reported a cut-off of 106 pg/mL (77.8% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity) in major hepatectomy patients to predict ISGLS-PHLF with an AUC of 0.791.

    “a cut-off of 106 pg/mL (77.8% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity) was reported in major hepatectomy patients by Arisaka et al. to predict ISGLS-PHLF with an AUC of 0.791 [30].”

    From The Role of Perioperative Interleukin-6 Serum Levels on Liver Dysfunction and Infectious Complications After Hepatectomy—A Systematic Review (2025) · cites this paper as [30]

    Table II reports an AUC of 0.791, 77.8% sensitivity, and 91.5% specificity for predicting grade B/C PHLF in the major-hepatectomy cohort. Its cut-off is 106.5 pg/mL, not 106 pg/mL, and it applies to postoperative-day-1 IL6; the CCL2/MCP1 cut-off is 241.5 pg/mL. The indexed Table II passage has no page number. (LLM, conf=0.86)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • In Arisaka et al. 2020, the AUC for POD1-IL-6 for CR-PHLF was 0.791 (compared to 0.929 for POD1-bilirubin), with a calculated cut-off of 106.5 pg/mL (77.8% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity).

    “The area-under-the-curve (AUC) for POD1-IL-6 for CR-PHLF was 0.791 (compared to 0.929 for POD1-Bilirubin), with a calculated cut-off of 106.5 pg/mL (77.8% sensitivity and 91.5% specificity).”
  • In Arisaka et al. 2020, CR-PHLF had a clear association with severe morbidity (Clavien-Dindo grade >= 3) and mortality rate (33%).

    “Furthermore, CR-PHLF in this study had a clear association with severe morbidity (Clavien–Dindo grade ≥ 3) and mortality rate (33%).”

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Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
ARISAKA, S., MATSUYAMA, R., GOTO, K., SUWA, Y., MORI, R., MORIOKA, D., TAGURI, M., & ENDO, I.
Affiliations
Yokohama City University (JP)
Venue
In Vivo
Published
2020
Volume
34
Issue
3
Pages
1255-1263
ISSN
  • 0258-851X (ISSN-L)
  • 1791-7549
OpenAlex
W3023617389
Cited by
9
References
1
Citations by year
2026: 2 · 2025: 2 · 2024: 2 · 2023: 1 · 2022: 1 · 2021: 1
FWCI
0.44
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • In Vivo (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment and Prognosis
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Organ Transplantation Techniques and Outcomes
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Liver physiology and pathology
Keywords
post-hepatectomy liver failure, major hepatectomy, PT-INR, MCP-1, ADAMTS13, interleukin-6, IL-10, inflammatory markers, coagulation factors, predictive biomarkers, perioperative risk prediction
MeSH terms
Female, Hepatectomy, Humans, Male, Postoperative Complications, Postoperative Period, ROC Curve, Biomarkers, Cytokines, Liver Failure, Inflammation Mediators, Chemokine CCL2, International Normalized Ratio, Preoperative Period

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