The DOI matches its Crossref record; 31 of the 31 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Granger Causality and the Times Series Analysis of Political Relationships
Abstract
Political scientists have employed causal modeling techniques for quite some time. In most cases, however, they have relied on methods of a static, cross-sectional variety. Time series methods have been disseminated and applied, but these have not been expressly causal. The problem of assessing the causal character or direction of political relationships over time has not been addressed. Granger (1969) has suggested a notion of causality that is applicable in longitudinal analysis. The study and application of Granger's idea of causation now is widespread in economics and business. This discussion evaluates the usefulness of applying Granger causality in the study of political relationships. Granger's definition of causality is introduced, several popular procedures for assessing Granger causality are reviewed, and certain problems surrounding interpretation of those empirical tests are elucidated. The virtues and pitfalls of Granger causal analysis then are illustrated in an analysis of an important topic in international political economy and also in a reanalysis of a recent Granger causal investigation of arms races.
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Spurious regressions in econometrics
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Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods
Granger, C. W. J. (2010) · Essays in Econometrics · doi:10.1017/cbo9780511753978.002 · Cited by 4,762
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The Expansion of the Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis
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Comparing alternative tests of causality in temporal systems
Geweke, J., Meese, R., & Dent, W. (1983) · Journal of Econometrics · doi:10.1016/0304-4076(83)90012-x · Cited by 630
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Cited by
Principals, Bureaucrats, and Responsiveness in Clean Air Enforcements
Wood, B. D. (1988) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.2307/1958066 · Cited by 423
The Dynamic Relationship Between Protest and Repression
Carey, S. C. (2006) · Political Research Quarterly · doi:10.1177/106591290605900101 · Cited by 405
MacKuen, M. B., Erikson, R. S., & Stimson, J. A. (1989) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.2307/1961661 · Cited by 348
On the Structure and Sequence of Issue Evolution
Carmines, E. G., & Stimson, J. A. (1986) · American Political Science Review · doi:10.2307/1960544 · Cited by 320
Round-trip agenda setting: tracking the intermedia process over time in the ice bucket challenge
Jang, S. M., Park, Y. J., & Lee, H. (2017) · Journalism · doi:10.1177/1464884916665405 · Cited by 31
Metadata
- Authors
- Freeman, J. R.
- Venue
- American Journal of Political Science
- Publisher
- JSTOR
- Published
- 1983-05
- Volume
- 27
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 327
- ISSN
- 0092-5853 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2003694399
- Cited by
- 324
- References
- 31
- FWCI
- 58.92
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
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