Cited by 85Alcohol Consumption and Health EffectsSubstance Abuse Treatment and OutcomesGlobal Public Health Policies and Epidemiology

Global epidemiology of alcohol-related liver disease, liver cancer, and alcohol use disorder, 2000–2021

Open access
Danpanichkul, Pojsakorn, Díaz, Luis Antonio, Suparan, Kanokphong, Tothanarungroj, Primrose, Sirimangklanurak, Supapitch, Auttapracha, Thanida, Blaney, Hanna L., Sukphutanan, Banthoon +15 more·2025·Clinical and Molecular Hepatology

Abstract

Background/Aims: Alcohol represents a leading burden of disease worldwide, including alcohol use disorder (AUD) and alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). We aim to assess the global burden of AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer between 2000–2021.Methods: We registered the global and regional trends of AUD, ALD, and alcohol-related liver cancer using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 Study, the largest and most up-to-date global epidemiology database. We estimated the annual percent change (APC) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) to assess changes in age-standardized rates over time.Results: In 2021, there were 111.12 million cases of AUD, 3.02 million cases of ALD, and 132,030 cases of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer. Between 2000 and 2021, there was a 14.66% increase in AUD, a 38.68% increase in ALD, and a 94.12% increase in alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer prevalence. While the age-standardized prevalence rate for liver cancer from alcohol increased (APC 0.59%; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.52 to 0.67%) over these years, it decreased for ALD (APC –0.71%; 95% CI –0.75 to –0.67%) and AUD (APC –0.90%; 95% CI –0.94 to –0.86%). There was significant variation by region, socioeconomic development level, and sex. During the last years (2019–2021), the prevalence, incidence, and death of ALD increased to a greater extent in females.Conclusions: Given the high burden of AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer, urgent measures are needed to prevent them at both global and national levels.

AI snapshot

Written from the paper’s full text.

TL;DR

Using Global Burden of Disease 2021 data, this study reports that in 2021 there were 111.12 million AUD cases, 3.02 million ALD cases, and 132,030 alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer cases worldwide. From 2000 to 2021, case counts rose for all three conditions, while age-standardized rates declined for AUD and ALD but increased for alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer.

Key findings

  • In 2021, AUD cases were 111.12 million (+14.66% from 2000), ALD cases were 3.02 million (+38.68%), and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer cases were 132,030 (+94.12%). Deaths were 158,470 for AUD (−3.23%), 354,250 for ALD (+32.60%), and 92,230 for alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (+76.75%).
  • From 2000 to 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate increased for alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (APC 0.59%; 95% CI 0.52–0.67%) but decreased for ALD (APC −0.71%; 95% CI −0.75 to −0.67%) and AUD (APC −0.90%; 95% CI −0.94 to −0.86%).
  • Regional and national variation was substantial: the highest AUD ASPR was in Eastern Europe (3,292.73), the highest ALD ASPR was in Eastern Europe (125.22), and the highest alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer ASPR was in Australasia (3.77). Country-level ASPRs were highest in Mongolia for AUD (4,716.94), the Republic of Moldova for ALD (182.41), and Mongolia for alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (17.07).
  • During 2019–2021, ALD prevalence, incidence, and mortality increased more in females than males: prevalence by 4.90%, incidence by 4.96%, and mortality by 1.07% in females, versus 3.87%, 3.73%, and 0.88% in males. The paper also reports 49 countries/territories with an uptrend in ALD prevalence and 111 with an uptrend in alcohol-attributable liver cancer prevalence from 2000 to 2021.

Methods

  • The study used Global Burden of Disease 2021 data from 2000 to 2021, accessed through the Global Health Data Exchange, covering 204 countries and territories and stratified by sex, GBD region, and sociodemographic index (SDI).
  • Estimates included prevalence, incidence, and deaths for AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer, with age-standardized rates per 100,000 and 95% uncertainty intervals based on the 2.5th and 97.5th ranked values across 1,000 posterior draws.
  • Trends were assessed using annual percent change (APC) and 95% confidence intervals via Joinpoint regression program version 4.9.1.0; increasing or decreasing trends were classified based on the APC and its confidence interval boundaries.

Limitations

  • The paper states that GBD studies face limitations related to availability and quality of primary data, especially vital registration systems; GBD methodology may underestimate mortality in low-income countries due to lack of high-quality data and underreported risk factors related to alcohol stigma.
  • The paper states that AUD was estimated using ICD-10 codes rather than DSM-5, which may underestimate the true burden of AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable liver cancer; alcohol use reporting also tends to be underestimated. It also notes that geographic and SDI strata are not fully comprehensive and that the GBD framework attributes a single cause to a specific outcome, preventing inclusion of co-variation with other risk factors.
  • Evident from the text: these are model-based, ecological estimates with uncertainty intervals rather than individual-level or causal data, and the authors call for future modeling incorporating comorbidities and other determinants such as race, ethnicity, age, socioeconomic status, cultural factors, viral hepatitis, and metabolic dysfunction.

Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.3350/cmh.2024.0835

Cites

49 of 49 references verified0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Nothing to recompute.

Claims the paper makes

0 of 12 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged

  • Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate for ALD decreased (APC -0.71%; 95% CI -0.75 to -0.67%).

    “it decreased for ALD (APC –0.71%; 95% CI –0.75 to –0.67%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    From 2019 to 2021, ALD prevalence increased more in females (4.90%) than in males (3.87%).

    “However, ALD metrics increased more in females: prevalence by 4.90%, incidence by 4.96%, and mortality by 1.07%. In males, prevalence increased by 3.87%, incidence by 3.73%, and mortality by 0.88% (Supplementary Fig. 1D–F).”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, the age-standardized death rate for ALD declined (APC -1.11%; 95% CI -1.19 to -1.04%).

    “and ALD (APC –1.11%; 95% CI –1.19 to –1.04%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASDR of AUD increased only in High-income North America (APC 1.83%).

    “On the other hand, ASDR increased only in High-income North America (APC 1.83%; 95% CI 1.16 to 2.50%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Findingown data

    In 2021, there were 3.02 million cases of alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) globally.

    “In 2021, there were 111.12 million cases of AUD, 3.02 million cases of ALD, and 132,030 cases of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 21
  • May combine two claims. 19
  • The quote only partly states this claim. 1
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate of ALD was 5.34 (95% UI 4.40 to 6.25).

    “The ASIRs of these conditions were 673.98 (95% UI 563.13 to 776.68), 5.34 (95% UI 4.40 to 6.25), and 1.14 (95% UI 0.93 to 1.38), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the highest burden of AUD was observed in Eastern Europe, with ASPR 3,292.73, ASIR 1,634.85, and ASDR 10.66.

    “The highest burden of AUD was observed in Eastern Europe, where the ASPR, ASIR, and ASDR were 3,292.73 (95% UI 2,901.33 to 3,724.07), 1,634.85 (95% UI 1,373.51 to 1,906.75), and 10.66 (95% UI 9.82 to 11.56), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, high SDI countries exhibited the highest burden of AUD with ASPR 1,847.63, ASIR 915.37, and ASDR 2.58.

    “When evaluated against the SDI, high SDI countries exhibited the highest burden of AUD with ASPR, ASIR, and ASDR of 1,847.63 (95% UI 1,603.23 to 2,115.44), 915.37 (95% UI 772.84 to 1,052.98), and 2.58 (95% UI 2.50 to 2.66), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer was 1.51 (95% UI 1.23 to 1.82).

    “The ASPRs of AUD, ALD, and primary liver cancer from alcohol were 1,335.43 (95% UI 1,153.65 to 1,539.75), 34.81 (95% UI 28.88 to 40.26), and 1.51 (95% UI 1.23 to 1.82), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer was 1.14 (95% UI 0.93 to 1.38).

    “The ASIRs of these conditions were 673.98 (95% UI 563.13 to 776.68), 5.34 (95% UI 4.40 to 6.25), and 1.14 (95% UI 0.93 to 1.38), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, there were 158,470 deaths from AUD globally (-3.23% from 2000).

    “There were 158,470 deaths from AUD (-3.23% from 2000), 354,250 deaths from ALD (+32.60% from 2000), and 92,230 deaths from alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (+76.75% from 2000)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized death rate of AUD was 1.84 (95% UI 1.50 to 2.01).

    “The ASDRs were 1.84 (95% UI 1.50 to 2.01), 4.08 (95% UI 3.45 to 4.81), and 1.06 (95% UI 0.86 to 1.29) for AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer, respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate of ALD was 34.81 (95% UI 28.88 to 40.26).

    “The ASPRs of AUD, ALD, and primary liver cancer from alcohol were 1,335.43 (95% UI 1,153.65 to 1,539.75), 34.81 (95% UI 28.88 to 40.26), and 1.51 (95% UI 1.23 to 1.82), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized death rate of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer was 1.06 (95% UI 0.86 to 1.29).

    “The ASDRs were 1.84 (95% UI 1.50 to 2.01), 4.08 (95% UI 3.45 to 4.81), and 1.06 (95% UI 0.86 to 1.29) for AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer, respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate of AUD was 673.98 (95% UI 563.13 to 776.68).

    “The ASIRs of these conditions were 673.98 (95% UI 563.13 to 776.68), 5.34 (95% UI 4.40 to 6.25), and 1.14 (95% UI 0.93 to 1.38), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, there were 99,540 new cases of alcohol-attributable liver cancer globally (+82.89% from 2000).

    “In terms of incidence, there were 55.78 million new cases of AUD (+15.24% from 2000), 462,690 cases of ALD (+38.29% from 2000), and 99,540 cases of alcohol-attributable liver cancer (+82.89% from 2000)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized death rate of ALD was 4.08 (95% UI 3.45 to 4.81).

    “The ASDRs were 1.84 (95% UI 1.50 to 2.01), 4.08 (95% UI 3.45 to 4.81), and 1.06 (95% UI 0.86 to 1.29) for AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer, respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, there were 92,230 deaths from alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer globally (+76.75% from 2000).

    “There were 158,470 deaths from AUD (-3.23% from 2000), 354,250 deaths from ALD (+32.60% from 2000), and 92,230 deaths from alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (+76.75% from 2000)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, there were 462,690 new cases of ALD globally (+38.29% from 2000).

    “In terms of incidence, there were 55.78 million new cases of AUD (+15.24% from 2000), 462,690 cases of ALD (+38.29% from 2000), and 99,540 cases of alcohol-attributable liver cancer (+82.89% from 2000)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, there were 354,250 deaths from ALD globally (+32.60% from 2000).

    “There were 158,470 deaths from AUD (-3.23% from 2000), 354,250 deaths from ALD (+32.60% from 2000), and 92,230 deaths from alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (+76.75% from 2000)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASPR of AUD declined across most regions, but increased in Australasia (APC 0.72%), Oceania (APC 0.13%), and Western Sub-Saharan Africa (APC 0.08%).

    “While a decline in ASPR was observed across most regions, ASPR was increased in Australasia (APC 0.72%; 95% CI 0.59 to 0.84%), Oceania (APC 0.13%; 95% CI 0.11 to 0.15%), and Western Sub-Saharan Africa (APC 0.08%; 95% CI 0.05 to 0.11%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In 2021, there were 55.78 million new cases of AUD globally (+15.24% from 2000).

    “In terms of incidence, there were 55.78 million new cases of AUD (+15.24% from 2000), 462,690 cases of ALD (+38.29% from 2000), and 99,540 cases of alcohol-attributable liver cancer (+82.89% from 2000)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the age-standardized prevalence rate of AUD was 1,335.43 (95% UI 1,153.65 to 1,539.75).

    “The ASPRs of AUD, ALD, and primary liver cancer from alcohol were 1,335.43 (95% UI 1,153.65 to 1,539.75), 34.81 (95% UI 28.88 to 40.26), and 1.51 (95% UI 1.23 to 1.82), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASIR of AUD decreased in most regions, but increased in Australasia (APC 0.76%), Oceania (APC 0.12%), and Western Sub-Saharan Africa (APC 0.10%).

    “Considering ASIR, most regions exhibited a decrease, but increased in Australasia (APC 0.76%; 95% CI 0.65 to 0.86%), Oceania (APC 0.12%; 95% CI 0.10 to 0.14%), and Western Sub-Saharan Africa (APC 0.10%; 95% CI 0.07 to 0.12%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASDR of ALD increased in Eastern Europe (APC 0.99%) and High-income North America (0.74%).

    “ASDR increased in Eastern Europe (APC 0.99%; 95% CI 0.58 to 1.41%) and High-income North America (APC 0.74%; 95% CI 0.38 to 1.10%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASPR of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer increased in high (APC 1.10%), middle (0.96%), and low-middle SDI countries (0.93%).

    “In terms of SDI, ASPR of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer increased in high (APC 1.10%; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.16%), middle (APC 0.96%; 95% CI 0.89 to 1.04%), and low-middle SDI countries (APC 0.93%; 95% CI 0.89 to 0.97%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASIR of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer increased in low-middle (APC 0.90%), middle (0.61%), and high SDI strata (0.56%).

    “From the designated time frame, ASIR increased in low-middle (APC 0.90%; 95% CI 0.85 to 0.94%), middle (APC 0.61%; 95% CI 0.53 to 0.69%), and high SDI strata (APC 0.56%; 95% CI 0.51 to 0.62%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    The study revealed a noteworthy rise in ALD and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer burden both from the past two decades and during the COVID-19 pandemic.

    “The study also revealed a noteworthy rise in ALD and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer burden both from the past two decades and during the COVID-19 pandemic.”
    Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASPR of ALD increased in Central Asia (APC 0.88%), Eastern Europe (0.68%), Central Sub-Saharan Africa (0.16%), and South Asia (0.10%).

    “However, Central Asia (APC 0.88%; 95% CI 0.79 to 0.97%), Eastern Europe (APC 0.68%; 95% CI 0.53 to 0.82%), Central Sub-Saharan Africa (APC 0.16%; 95% CI 0.14 to 0.18%), and South Asia (APC 0.10%; 95% CI 0.08 to 0.13%) exhibited an uptrend in ASPR.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingreasoning

    Although AUD was more frequent in countries with high SDI, countries with lower SDI exhibited higher ASDRs from ALD.

    “Of note, although AUD was more frequent in countries with high SDI, countries with lower SDI exhibited higher ASDRs from ALD”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the ASPR of ALD was highest in the Republic of Moldova (182.41), followed by Ukraine (146.50), Mongolia (145.63), and Turkmenistan (130.18).

    “In short, the ASPR of ALD was highest in the Republic of Moldova with an ASPR of 182.41 (95% UI 145.28 to 220.48), followed by Ukraine at 146.50 (95% UI 118.14 to 178.47), Mongolia at 145.63 (95% UI 115.28 to 174.84), and Turkmenistan at 130.18 (95% UI 100.91 to 157.40)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASIR of ALD increased in Eastern Europe (APC 0.47%) and Central Asia (0.44%).

    “ASIR increased in Eastern Europe (APC 0.47%; 95% CI 0.35 to 0.59%) and Central Asia (APC 0.44%; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.56%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASIR of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer increased in two-thirds of regions, with highest upward progression in Southern Latin America (APC 3.26%), Australasia (2.79%), and High-income North America (2.46%).

    “ASIR increased in two-thirds of regions, with the highest upward progression observed in Southern Latin America (APC 3.26%; 95% CI 3.03 to 3.50%), Australasia (APC 2.79%; 95% CI 2.54 to 3.04%), and High-income North America (APC 2.46%; 95% CI 2.32 to 2.60%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • The quote only partly states this claim.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, New Zealand (APC 3.46%), Mongolia (1.49%), Taiwan (1.24%), and Uruguay (0.64%) exhibited the highest increases of ASPR from AUD.

    “New Zealand (APC 3.46%; 95% CI 3.21 to 3.70%), Mongolia (APC 1.49%; 95% CI 1.30 to 1.67%), Taiwan (APC 1.24%; 95% CI 0.95 to 1.52%), and Uruguay (APC 0.64%; 95% CI 0.56 to 0.72%) exhibited the highest increases of ASPR from 2000 to 2021”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In 2021, the ASPR of AUD was highest in Mongolia (4,716.94), followed by Guatemala (4,049.97), El Salvador (3,917.28), and Kazakhstan (3,895.96).

    “Briefly, the ASPR of AUD was highest in Mongolia with an ASPR of 4,716.94 (95% UI 3,986.35 to 5,453.81), followed by Guatemala at 4,049.97 (95% UI 3,444.01 to 4,623.66), El Salvador at 3,917.28 (95% UI 3,312.16 to 4,461.73), and Kazakhstan at 3,895.96 (95% UI 3,302.65 to 4,889.17)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, ASDR of alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer increased in low-middle (APC 0.89%), middle (0.35%), and high SDI countries (0.27%).

    “Similarly, ASDR increased in low-middle (APC 0.89%; 95% CI 0.70 to 1.09%), middle (APC 0.35%; 95% CI 0.18 to 0.52%), and high SDI countries (APC 0.27%; 95% CI 0.06 to 0.48%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    In 2021, high SDI countries exhibited the highest ASPR of ALD (39.37), whereas low SDI countries exhibited the highest ASIR (7.79) and ASDR (5.94).

    “Regarding SDI, high SDI countries exhibited the highest ASPR with a value of 39.37 (95% UI 32.74 to 45.26), whereas low SDI countries exhibited the highest ASIR and ASDR with a value of 7.79 (95% UI 6.10 to 9.66) and 5.94 (95% UI 4.43 to 7.78), respectively”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Findingown data

    From 2000 to 2021, 49 countries/territories exhibited an uptrend in ASPR of ALD, with highest ascending trends in Kazakhstan (APC 1.74%), Armenia (1.60%), Turkmenistan (1.35%), and Ukraine (1.21%).

    “49 countries/ territories exhibited an uptrend, with the highest ascending trends observed in Kazakhstan (APC 1.74%; 95% CI 1.50 to 1.98%), Armenia (APC 1.60%; 95% CI 1.42 to 1.77%), Turkmenistan (APC 1.35%; 95% CI 1.29 to 1.41%), and Ukraine (APC 1.21%; 95% CI 0.90 to 1.53%)”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    Improved screening and diagnostic techniques allow for earlier and more accurate detection, while changes in disease registry systems may enhance the ability to capture current epidemiological trends, potentially leading to higher reported prevalence rates.

    “Improved screening and diagnostic techniques allow for earlier and more accurate detection, while changes in disease registry systems may enhance the ability to capture current epidemiological trends, potentially leading to higher reported prevalence rates [27,28].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [27] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [28] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • May combine two claims.

    Study design and conductcitation

    GBD estimated AUD using ICD-10 codes rather than the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th edition, which can lead to an underestimation of the true burden of AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable liver cancer.

    “Additionally, GBD estimated AUD using ICD-10 codes rather than the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 5th edition. This can lead to an underestimation of the true burden of AUD, ALD, and alcohol-attributable liver cancer in these regions [1,45].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [1] 2024

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [45] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.

    Interpretationcitation

    While overall AUD prevalence may be declining, higher-risk drinking behaviors, such as binge-drinking, among specific populations could be on the rise.

    “Furthermore, while overall AUD prevalence may be declining, higher-risk drinking behaviors, such as binge-drinking, among specific populations could be on the rise [29,30].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked
    • cites [29] source

      Not checked in the free run.

    • cites [30] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductcitation

    The report on alcohol use tends to be underestimated.

    “The report on alcohol use also tends to be underestimated [46].”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked
    • cites [46] source

      Not checked in the free run.

  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The GBD analysis framework is currently limited to attributing a single cause to a specific outcome, preventing the inclusion of co-variation with other relevant risk factors.

    “In addition, the GBD analysis framework is currently limited to attributing a single cause to a specific outcome, preventing the inclusion of co-variation with other relevant risk factors.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
  • Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).

    Study design and conductnone given

    The analysis based on geographical and SDI strata is not fully comprehensive for social determinants of health.

    “Also, we performed our analysis based on geographical and SDI strata, which comprise many factors of social determinants of health; however, it is not fully comprehensive.”
    Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
39 of 39

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Current OUD treatments focus on harm reduction through opioid replacement, without restoring neurochemical balance.

    “Yet current OUD treatments focus on harm reduction through opioid replacement, without restoring neurochemical balance.”

    From Beyond Stigma–Integrating Neurobiology, Genetics, and Awareness Integration Theory in Addiction Recovery (2026) · cites this paper as [103]

    The Introduction discusses treatment access for alcohol use disorder (AUD), not opioid use disorder (OUD). Searches for opioid replacement, harm reduction, and neurochemical balance found no passage in our copy addressing the claim. (LLM, conf=0.76)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • GARS Testing involves use of a 10-gene panel to predict addiction severity using the Addiction Severity Index (ASI), enabling early identification of genetic predisposition to substance use disorders.

    “GARS Testing involves the use of a 10-gene panel to predict addiction severity using the Addiction Severity Index (ASI), thereby enabling early identification of genetic predisposition to substance use disorders.”

    From Beyond Stigma–Integrating Neurobiology, Genetics, and Awareness Integration Theory in Addiction Recovery (2026) · cites this paper as [103]

    The Materials and Methods (Data source; Estimation methods, page unavailable) describe GBD 2021 data and ICD-10 codes for alcohol use disorder, not a genetic test. Searches for GARS, a 10-gene panel, the Addiction Severity Index, and genetic predisposition found no passage addressing the claim. (LLM, conf=0.78)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • PBM integrates five key components designed to personalize addiction treatment and address underlying neurobiological imbalances.

    “PBM integrates five key components designed to personalize addiction treatment and address underlying neurobiological imbalances.”

    From Beyond Stigma–Integrating Neurobiology, Genetics, and Awareness Integration Theory in Addiction Recovery (2026) · cites this paper as [103]

    The Introduction discusses multidisciplinary treatment for alcohol use disorder and liver disease, but does not describe PBM or a five-component treatment model. Searches for PBM, personalized addiction treatment, and neurobiological imbalances found no passage addressing the claim. (LLM, conf=0.76)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Pro-Dopamine Regulation (KB220Z) utilizes targeted nutrient-based therapies to restore dopamine homeostasis, reduce craving, and prevent relapse.

    “Pro-Dopamine Regulation (KB220Z) utilizes targeted nutrient-based therapies, administered intravenously or orally, to restore dopamine homeostasis, reduce craving, and prevent relapse.”

    From Beyond Stigma–Integrating Neurobiology, Genetics, and Awareness Integration Theory in Addiction Recovery (2026) · cites this paper as [103]

    The Introduction discusses access to behavioral and pharmacological treatment for alcohol use disorder, but does not address KB220Z. Searches for Pro-Dopamine Regulation, dopamine homeostasis, nutrient-based therapy, craving, and relapse found no passage supporting the attributed treatment mechanism or outcomes. (LLM, conf=0.75)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • CARD offers real-time monitoring of treatment compliance and abstinence from illicit substances, serving as a critical accountability and safety mechanism during recovery.

    “Comprehensive Analysis of Reported Drugs (CARD™) offers real-time monitoring of treatment compliance and abstinence from illicit substances, serving as a critical accountability and safety mechanism during recovery.”

    From Beyond Stigma–Integrating Neurobiology, Genetics, and Awareness Integration Theory in Addiction Recovery (2026) · cites this paper as [103]

    The Introduction discusses access to alcohol use disorder treatment, and the Results report epidemiological trends; neither addresses CARD. Searches for its full name, real-time compliance monitoring, and illicit-substance abstinence found no passage describing the claimed mechanism. (LLM, conf=0.78)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

Each contradiction between two passages listed here was confirmed by an independent check.

  • Five etiologies are claimed but only four are listed

    Minor

    The text calls this a list of five etiologies, but names only hepatitis B, hepatitis C, ALD, and metabolic dysfunction associated steatohepatitis.

1 of 1

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Research works printed but not linked: 1

  1. Global status report on alcohol and health and treatment of substance use disorders

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Danpanichkul, P., Díaz, L. A., Suparan, K., Tothanarungroj, P., Sirimangklanurak, S., Auttapracha, T., Blaney, H. L., Sukphutanan, B., Pang, Y., Kongarin, S., Idalsoaga, F., Fuentes-López, E., Leggio, L., Noureddin, M., White, T. M., Louvet, A., Mathurin, P., Loomba, R., Kamath, P. S., Rehm, J., Lazarus, J. V., Wijarnpreecha, K., & Arab, J. P.
Affiliations
  • Texas Tech University (US)
  • Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile (CL)
  • Chiang Mai University (TH)
  • University of Maryland, Baltimore (US)
  • Lerdsin Hospital (TH)
  • Youjiang Medical College for Nationalities (CN)
  • National Institutes of Health (US)
  • Houston Methodist (US)
  • The Graduate Center, CUNY (US)
  • Université de Lille (FR)
  • University of California San Diego (US)
  • Mayo Clinic (US)
  • Centre for Addiction and Mental Health (CA)
  • Banner - University Medical Center Phoenix (US)
Corresponding author
Arab, Juan Pablo
Venue
Clinical and Molecular Hepatology
Published
2025-04-01
Volume
31
Issue
2
Pages
525-547
ISSN
  • 2287-2728 (ISSN-L)
  • 2287-285X
OpenAlex
W4406203838
Cited by
85
References
49
Citations by year
2026: 52 · 2025: 33
FWCI
56.16
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Clinical and Molecular Hepatology (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Funders
  • National Institutes of Health
  • National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences (5UL1TR001442)
  • National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases (P30DK120515)
  • National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (P01HL147835)
  • John C. Martin Foundation (RP124)
  • National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (U01AA029019)
Topics
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Pathology and Forensic Medicine › Alcohol Consumption and Health Effects
  • Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Substance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
  • Social Sciences › Business, Management and Accounting › Organizational Behavior and Human Resource Management › Global Public Health Policies and Epidemiology
Keywords
alcoholic liver disease, alcoholism, global burden of disease, prevalence trends, incidence, mortality, sex differences, regional variation, socio-economic development, alcohol prevention
MeSH terms
Global Burden of Disease, Adult, Aged, Alcoholism, Female, Humans, Liver Diseases, Alcoholic, Liver Neoplasms, Male, Middle Aged, Global Health, Prevalence, Databases, Factual, Young Adult

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-09.

Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-09.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

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