Analyzing Scenarios for the Integration of Renewable Energy Sources in the Mexican Energy System—An Application of the Global Energy System Model (GENeSYS-MOD)
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This paper uses numerical techno-economic modelling to analyse the effect of current national renewable targets and climate goals on the cost and structural composition of the Mexican energy system. For this, we construct a scenario base analysis to compare current policies with two alternative states of the world—one without climate policies and one attaining full decarbonization. Furthermore, an additional iterative routine allows us to estimate the cost-optimal share of renewable technologies in the energy sector and the effect that deviating from this share has on total discounted system costs, emissions and the structure of the energy mix. In general, model results exhibit three key insights—(1) A marked dependence of the energy system on photovoltaics and natural gas; (2) The 2050 cost-optimal share of renewables for the production of electricity, transportation and industrial heating is respectively 75%, 90% and 5%; and (3) As national renewable targets for the power sector are lower than the cost-optimal share of renewables, equivalent to the shares in an scenario without climate policies and completely disconnected from national climate goals, these should be modified.
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The Mexican energy grid was mainly oil-based (>60%), while renewables accounted for under 20%.
“This reduction was based on the fact that the energy grid in Mexico was mainly oil-based (>60%), while renewables still accounted for under 20% (Sarmiento et al. 2019).”
From Environmental and economic analysis of bioethanol production from sugarcane molasses and agave juice (2021) · cites this paper as Sarmiento et al. 2019
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Environmental and economic analysis of bioethanol production from sugarcane molasses and agave juice
Parascanu, M. M., Sanchez, N., Sandoval-Salas, F., Carreto, C. M., Soreanu, G., & Sanchez-Silva, L. (2021) · Environmental Science and Pollution Research · doi:10.1007/s11356-021-15471-4 · Cited by 66 · see citing works
- Authors
- Sarmiento, L., Burandt, T., Löffler, K., & Oei, P.-Y.
- Affiliations
- German Institute for Economic Research (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Sarmiento, Luis
- Venue
- Energies
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2019-08-25
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 17
- Pages
- 3270
- ISSN
- 1996-1073 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2969307466
- Cited by
- 43
- References
- 39
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 3 · 2023: 9 · 2022: 4 · 2021: 12 · 2020: 3
- FWCI
- 1.71
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Energies (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
- Econstor (Econstor) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- NORA - Norwegian Open Research Archives (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Funders
- Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (01LN1704A)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Electrical and Electronic Engineering › Integrated Energy Systems Optimization
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Renewable energy and sustainable power systems
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Energy Engineering and Power Technology › Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems
- Keywords
- renewable energy integration, GENeSYS-MOD, scenario analysis, renewable energy targets, climate policy, decarbonization, photovoltaics, natural gas dependence, energy mix, emissions, energy system costs
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