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Cited by 286

The DOI matches its Crossref record; 3 of the 3 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.

The Rate of Underascertainment of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infection: Estimation Using Japanese Passengers Data on Evacuation Flights

Open access
Nishiura, Hiroshi, Kobayashi, Tetsuro, Yang, Yichi, Hayashi, Katsuma, Miyama, Takeshi, Kinoshita, Ryo, Linton, Natalie, Jung, Sung-mok, Yuan, Baoyin, Suzuki, Ayako, Akhmetzhanov, Andrei·2020·Journal of Clinical Medicine

Abstract

From 29 to 31 January 2020, a total of 565 Japanese citizens were evacuated from Wuhan, China on three chartered flights. All passengers were screened upon arrival in Japan for symptoms consistent with novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infection and tested for presence of the virus. Assuming that the mean detection window of the virus can be informed by the mean serial interval (estimated at 7.5 days), the ascertainment rate of infection was estimated at 9.2% (95% confidence interval: 5.0, 20.0). This indicates that the incidence of infection in Wuhan can be estimated at 20,767 infected individuals, including those with asymptomatic and mildly symptomatic infections. The infection fatality risk (IFR)—the actual risk of death among all infected individuals—is therefore 0.3% to 0.6%, which may be comparable to Asian influenza pandemic of 1957–1958.

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Crossref · 10.3390/jcm9020419

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Metadata

Authors
Nishiura, H., Kobayashi, T., Yang, Y., Hayashi, K., Miyama, T., Kinoshita, R., Linton, N., Jung, S.-M., Yuan, B., Suzuki, A., & Akhmetzhanov, A.
Venue
Journal of Clinical Medicine
Publisher
MDPI AG
Published
2020-02-04
Volume
9
Issue
2
Pages
419
ISSN
2077-0383 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3004658686
Cited by
286
References
3
FWCI
10.80
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
gold

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CoChat. (2026). Citation check: The Rate of Underascertainment of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infection: Estimation Using Japanese Passengers Data on Evacuation Flights. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.3390/jcm9020419
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Nishiura, H., Kobayashi, T., Yang, Y., Hayashi, K., Miyama, T., Kinoshita, R., Linton, N., Jung, S.-M., Yuan, B., Suzuki, A., & Akhmetzhanov, A. (2020). The Rate of Underascertainment of Novel Coronavirus (2019-nCoV) Infection: Estimation Using Japanese Passengers Data on Evacuation Flights. Journal of Clinical Medicine. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm9020419

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Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).

Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.