The DOI matches its Crossref record; 6 of the 6 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data
Open accessAbstract
The geographic spread of 2019 novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infections from the epicenter of Wuhan, China, has provided an opportunity to study the natural history of the recently emerged virus. Using publicly available event-date data from the ongoing epidemic, the present study investigated the incubation period and other time intervals that govern the epidemiological dynamics of COVID-19 infections. Our results show that the incubation period falls within the range of 2–14 days with 95% confidence and has a mean of around 5 days when approximated using the best-fit lognormal distribution. The mean time from illness onset to hospital admission (for treatment and/or isolation) was estimated at 3–4 days without truncation and at 5–9 days when right truncated. Based on the 95th percentile estimate of the incubation period, we recommend that the length of quarantine should be at least 14 days. The median time delay of 13 days from illness onset to death (17 days with right truncation) should be considered when estimating the COVID-19 case fatality risk.
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Cites
Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China
Huang, C., Wang, Y., Li, X., Ren, L., Zhao, J., Hu, Y., Zhang, L., Fan, G., Xu, J., Gu, X., et al. (2020) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(20)30183-5 · Cited by 48,884
Early transmission dynamics in Wuhan, China, of novel coronavirus-infected pneumonia
Li, Q., Guan, X., Wu, P., Wang, X., Zhou, L., Tong, Y., Ren, R., Leung, K. S. M., Lau, E. H. Y., Wong, J. Y., et al. (2020) · New England Journal of Medicine · doi:10.1056/nejmoa2001316 · Cited by 16,575
Self-citationOng, S. W. X., Tan, Y. K., Chia, P. Y., Lee, T. H., Ng, O. T., Wong, M. S. Y., & Marimuthu, K. (2020) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2020.3227 · Cited by 2,140
Response to COVID-19 in Taiwan: Big Data Analytics, New Technology, and Proactive Testing
Wang, C. J., Ng, C. Y., & Brook, R. H. (2020) · JAMA · doi:10.1001/jama.2020.3151 · Cited by 1,391
Donnelly, C. A., Ghani, A. C., Leung, G. M., Hedley, A. J., Fraser, C., Riley, S., Abu-Raddad, L. J., Ho, L.-M., Thach, T.-Q., Chau, P., et al. (2003) · The Lancet · doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(03)13410-1 · Cited by 940
Quilty, B. J., Clifford, S., group2, C. N. W., Flasche, S., & Eggo, R. M. (2020) · Eurosurveillance · doi:10.2807/1560-7917.es.2020.25.5.2000080 · Cited by 321
Cited by
Lauer, S. A., Grantz, K. H., Bi, Q., Jones, F. K., Zheng, Q., Meredith, H. R., Azman, A. S., Reich, N. G., & Lessler, J. (2020) · Annals of Internal Medicine · doi:10.7326/m20-0504 · Cited by 5,970
Projecting the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 through the postpandemic period
Kissler, S. M., Tedijanto, C., Goldstein, E., Grad, Y. H., & Lipsitch, M. (2020) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.abb5793 · Cited by 2,611
Alhazzani, W., Møller, M. H., Arabi, Y. M., Loeb, M., Gong, M. N., Fan, E., Oczkowski, S., Levy, M. M., Derde, L., Dzierba, A., et al. (2020) · Intensive Care Medicine · doi:10.1007/s00134-020-06022-5 · Cited by 2,105
Serial interval of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) infections
Nishiura, H., Linton, N. M., & Akhmetzhanov, A. R. (2020) · International Journal of Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1016/j.ijid.2020.02.060 · Cited by 1,083
Self-citationSpread and dynamics of the COVID-19 epidemic in Italy: Effects of emergency containment measures
Gatto, M., Bertuzzo, E., Mari, L., Miccoli, S., Carraro, L., Casagrandi, R., & Rinaldo, A. (2020) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.2004978117 · Cited by 1,051
Metadata
- Authors
- Linton, N., Kobayashi, T., Yang, Y., Hayashi, K., Akhmetzhanov, A., Jung, S.-M., Yuan, B., Kinoshita, R., & Nishiura, H.
- Venue
- Journal of Clinical Medicine
- Publisher
- MDPI AG
- Published
- 2020-02-17
- Volume
- 9
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 538
- ISSN
- 2077-0383 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W3006065484
- Cited by
- 1,361
- References
- 6
- FWCI
- 49.20
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- CoChat. (2026). Citation check: Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data. https://app.cochat.ai/papers/10.3390/jcm9020538
- The paper
- Linton, N., Kobayashi, T., Yang, Y., Hayashi, K., Akhmetzhanov, A., Jung, S.-M., Yuan, B., Kinoshita, R., & Nishiura, H. (2020). Incubation Period and Other Epidemiological Characteristics of 2019 Novel Coronavirus Infections with Right Truncation: A Statistical Analysis of Publicly Available Case Data. Journal of Clinical Medicine. https://doi.org/10.3390/jcm9020538
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