Cited by 111Transportation and Mobility InnovationsTransportation Planning and OptimizationTraffic control and management

Developing Policy for Urban Autonomous Vehicles: Impact on Congestion

Open access
Metz, David·2018·Urban Science

Abstract

An important problem for surface transport is road traffic congestion, which is ubiquitous and difficult to mitigate. Accordingly, a question for policymakers is the possible impact on congestion of autonomous vehicles. It seems likely that the main impact of vehicle automation will not be seen until driverless vehicles are sufficiently safe for use amid general traffic on urban streets. Shared use driverless vehicles could reduce the cost of taxis and a wider range of public transport vehicles could be economic. Individually owned autonomous vehicles would have the ability to travel unoccupied and may need to be regulated where this might add to congestion. It is possible that autonomous vehicles could provide mobility services at lower cost and wider scope, such that private car use in urban areas could decline and congestion reduce. City authorities should be alert to these possibilities in developing transport policy.

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.3390/urbansci2020033

Cites

Statistics

Claims the paper makes

The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.

Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.

A few free checks a day · papers already verified open instantly · results are public

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • The safety of AVs for use in congested metropolitan streets is acknowledged, underscoring the requirement for restrictions to ensure their safety and dependability before integration into regular city traffic.

    “The safety of AVs for use in congested metropolitan streets is acknowledged, underscoring the requirement for restrictions to ensure their safety and dependability before integration into regular city traffic [66].”

    From Assessing the Role of Autonomous Vehicles in Urban Areas: A Systematic Review of Literature (2024) · cites this paper as [66]

    The Introduction says AV models must demonstrate safe operation and that authorities are expected to set safety standards before general use. Section 3 adds that demonstrating safe operation on urban streets may be demanding. The paper does not establish that AVs are already safe for congested metropolitan streets; its proposed regulation of AV use in congested urban areas in the Conclusions concerns traffic, not safety or dependability. (LLM, conf=0.84)

    Experimental — accuracy not yet measured
  • Shared-use AVs present opportunities to lower taxi costs and enhance economic effectiveness in public transportation.

    “Shared-use AVs present opportunities to lower taxi costs and enhance economic effectiveness in public transportation [66].”

Self-check

Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.

The self-check needs the paper’s full text.

Cites

No references could be resolved yet.

Research works printed but not linked: 26

  1. Atkins. Research on the Impacts of Connected and Autonomous Vehicles on Traffic Flow: Evidence Review; Atkins Ltd. & Department for Transport: London, UK, 2016.
  2. Cavoli, C.; Phillips, B.; Cohen, T.; Jones, P. Social and Behavioural Questions Associated with Automated Vehicles. A Literature Review; Department for Transport: London, UK, 2017.
  3. Clark, B.; Parkhurst, G.; Ricci, M. Understanding the Socioeconomic Adoption Scenarios for Autonomous Vehicles: A Literature Review; Project Report; University of the West of England: Bristol, UK, 2016.
  4. Fagnant, D.; Kockelman, K. Preparing a nation for autonomous vehicles: Opportunities, barriers and policy recommendation. Transp. Res. Part A 2015, 77, 167-181. [CrossRef] · DOI · Paper page
  5. Lipson, H.; Kurman, M. Driverless: Intelligent Cars and the Road Ahead; The MIT Press: Cambridge, MA, USA, 2016.
  6. Milakis, D.; van Arem, B.; van Wee, B. Policy and society related implications of automated driving: A review of literature and directions for future research. J. Intell. Transp. Syst. 2017, 21, 324-348. [CrossRef] · DOI · Paper page
  7. Nikitas, A.; Kougias, I.; Alyavina, E.; Njoya Tchouamou, E. How Can Autonomous and Connected Vehicles, Electromobility, BRT, Hyperloop, Shared Use Mobility and Mobility-As-A-Service Shape Transport Futures for the Context of Smart Cities? Urban Sci. 2017, 1, 36. [CrossRef] · DOI
  8. Papa, E.; Ferreira, A. Sustainable Accessibility and the Implementation of Automated Vehicles: Identifying Critical Decisions. Urban Sci. 2018, 2, 5. [CrossRef] · DOI · Paper page
  9. Thomopoulos, N.; Givoni, M. The autonomous car-A blessing or a curse for low carbon mobility? An exploration of likely vs. desirable outcomes. Eur. J. Futures Res. 2015, 3, 14. [CrossRef] · DOI
  10. Givoni, M. Re-assessing the Results of the London Congestion Charging Scheme. Urban Stud. 2012, 49, 1089-1105. [CrossRef] · DOI
  11. Milam, R.; Birnbaum, M.; Ganson, C.; Handy, S.; Walters, J. Closing the induced vehicle travel gap between research and practice. Transp. Res. Rec. J. Transp. Res. Board 2017, 2653, 10-16. [CrossRef] · DOI
  12. Duranton, G.; Turner, M. The Fundamental Law of Road Congestion: Evidence from US Cities. Am. Econ. Rev. 2011, 101, 2616-2652. [CrossRef] · DOI
  13. Metz, D. The Myth of Travel Time Saving. Transp. Rev. 2008, 28, 321-336. [CrossRef] · DOI
  14. Mokhtarian, P.; Chen, C. TTB or not TTB, that is the question: A review of the empirical literature on travel time (and money) budgets. Transp. Res. Part A 2004, 38, 643-675. [CrossRef] · DOI
  15. Schafer, A. Regularities in travel demand: An international perspective. J. Transp. Stat. 2000, 3, 1-31.
  16. Schafer, A.; Victor, D.G. The future mobility of the world population. Transp. Res. Part A 2000, 34, 171-205. [CrossRef] · DOI
  17. Childress, S.; Council, P.S.R.; Nichols, B.; Charlton, B.; Coe, S. Using an Activity-Based Model to Explore Possible Impacts of Automated Vehicles. In Proceedings of the Transportation Research Board 94th Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, USA, 11-15 January 2015.
  18. Harper, D.; Hendrickson, C.; Mangones, S.; Samaras, C. Estimating potential increases in travel with autonomous vehicles for the non-driving, elderly and people with travel-restrictive medical conditions. Transp. Res. Part C 2016, 72, 1-9. [CrossRef] · DOI
  19. Fagnant, D.J.; Kockelman, K.M. The travel and environmental implications of shared autonomous vehicles, using agent-based model scenarios. Transp. Res. Part C 2014, 40, 1-13. [CrossRef] · DOI · Paper page
  20. Fagant, D.; Kockelman, K.; Bansal, P. Operations of Shared Autonomous Vehicle Fleet for Austin, Texas, Market. Transp. Res. Rec. 2015, 2536, 98-106. [CrossRef] · DOI · Paper page
  21. Alonso-Mora, J.; Samaranayake, S.; Wallar, A.; Frazzoli, F.; Rus, D. On-demand high-capacity ride-sharing via dynamic trip-vehicle assignment. Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 2017, 114, 462-467. [CrossRef] [PubMed] · DOI
  22. Metz, D. Peak Car in the Big City: Reducing London's greenhouse gas emissions. Case Stud. Transp. Policy 2015, 3, 367-371. [CrossRef] · DOI
  23. Milanes, V.; Shladover, S. Handling Cut-In Vehicles in Strings of Cooperative Adaptive Cruise Control Vehicles. J. Intell. Transp. Syst. 2016, 20, 178-191. [CrossRef] · DOI
  24. Talebpour, A.; Mahmassani, H.S. Influence of connected and autonomous vehicles on traffic flow stability and throughput. Transp. Res. Part C 2016, 71, 143-163. [CrossRef] · DOI · Paper page
  25. Zmud, J.; Goodin, G.; Moran, M.; Kalra, N.; Thorn, E. Advancing Automated and Connected Vehicles: Policy and Planning Strategies for State and Local Transportation Agencies; National Academies Press: Washington, DC, USA, 2017.
  26. Hensher, D. Future bus contracts under mobility as a service (MaaS) regime in the digital age. Are they likely to change? Transp. Res. Part A 2017, 98, 86-96. [CrossRef] · DOI

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Metz, D.
Affiliations
University College London (GB)
Corresponding author
Metz, David
Venue
Urban Science
Publisher
MDPI AG
Published
2018-04-13
Volume
2
Issue
2
Pages
33
ISSN
2413-8851 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2797522824
Cited by
111
References
0
Citations by year
2026: 3 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 25 · 2023: 13 · 2022: 17 · 2021: 13 · 2020: 14 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 1
FWCI
5.45
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Urban Science (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion, cc-by-sa)
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Engineering › Automotive Engineering › Transportation and Mobility Innovations
  • Social Sciences › Transportation › Transportation Planning and Optimization
  • Physical Sciences › Engineering › Control and Systems Engineering › Traffic control and management
Keywords
autonomous vehicles, urban traffic congestion, transport policy, shared autonomous vehicles, mobility services, vehicle automation, public transport

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review