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Evidence of a Shift in the Short-Run Price Elasticity of Gasoline Demand
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Understanding the sensitivity of gasoline demand to changes in prices and income has important implications for policies related to climate change, optimal taxation and national security. The short-run price and income elasticities of gasoline demand in the United States during the 1970s and 1980s have been studied extensively. However, transportation analysts have hypothesized that behavioral and structural factors over the past several decades have changed the responsiveness of U.S. consumers to changes in gasoline prices. We compare the price and income elasticities of gasoline demand in two periods of similarly high prices from 1975 to 1980 and 2001 to 2006. The short-run price elasticities differ considerably: and range from -0.034 to -0.077 during 2001 to 2006, versus -0.21 to -0.34 for 1975 to 1980. The estimated short-run income elasticities range from 0.21 to 0.75 and when estimated with the same models are not significantly different between the two periods.
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“Gasoline consumption is responsive to price changes,195–197”
From Population Approaches to Improve Diet, Physical Activity, and Smoking Habits: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association (2012) · cites this paper as [196]
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“Using different approaches and datasets, both Small and Van Dender (2007b) (using pooled cross section data for the US states from 1966 to 2001) and Hughes et al. (2008) (who examined gasoline demand from 1975 to 1980 and 2001 to 3 Other notable reviews include Goodwin et al. (2004) and Graham and…”
MethodInfluentialHymel, K. M., & Small, K. A. (2015) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2014.12.016 · Cited by 71
“This result of a falling rebound effect is consistent with results noted earlier by Hughes et al. (2008) and Greene (2012).”
Choi, J., Bakshi, B. R., Hubacek, K., & Nader, J. (2016) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.05.033 · Cited by 70
Carpooling and driver responses to fuel price changes: Evidence from traffic flows in Los Angeles
Bento, A. M., Hughes, J. E., & Kaffine, D. (2013) · Journal of Urban Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jue.2013.03.002 · Cited by 69
Self-citationLong-run relationship among transport demand, income, and gasoline price for the US
Liddle, B. (2008) · Transportation Research Part D Transport and Environment · doi:10.1016/j.trd.2008.10.006 · Cited by 68
“The finding of a declining influence of gasoline price on motor fuel use is supported by Hughes et al. (2008) who found that the short-run price elasticity of gasoline demand is considerably more inelastic now than in the 1970s.”
InfluentialInvestigating Income Effects in Scanner Data: Do Gasoline Prices Affect Grocery Purchases?
Gicheva, D., Hastings, J., & Villas‐Boas, S. B. (2010) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.100.2.480 · Cited by 68
Impact of US biofuel policy on US corn and gasoline price variability
McPhail, L. L., & Babcock, B. A. (2011) · Energy · doi:10.1016/j.energy.2011.11.004 · Cited by 68
Marion, J. G., & Muehlegger, E. J. (2008) · Journal of Political Economy · doi:10.1086/591805 · Cited by 68
Transport policy in Belgium: Translating sustainability discourses into unsustainable outcomes
Boussauw, K., & Vanoutrive, T. (2016) · Transport Policy · doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2016.08.009 · Cited by 68
“…between fuel price levels and car use has been demonstrated (Goodwin et al., 2004), price elasticities appear to vary over time and currently have perhaps become subordinate to contextual variables that are entirely unrelated to the oil price on the commodity market (Hughes et al., 2006).”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Hughes, J. E., Knittel, C. R., & Sperling, D.
- Affiliations
- University of Colorado Boulder (US)
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- * Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, One Shields Avenue, Davis, CA 95616. Email: jehughes@ucdavis.edu.
- Corresponding author
- Hughes, Jonathan E.
- Venue
- The Energy Journal
- Publisher
- SAGE Publications
- Published
- 2008-01
- Volume
- 29
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 113-134
- ISSN
- 0195-6574 (ISSN-L)
- 1944-9089
- OpenAlex
- W3023760385
- Cited by
- 668
- References
- 23
- Citations by year
- 2026: 13 · 2025: 13 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 21 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 32 · 2020: 27 · 2019: 22 · 2018: 34 · 2017: 29 · 2016: 48 · 2015: 45 · 2014: 43 · 2013: 53 · 2012: 57
- FWCI
- 23.76
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Locations
- The Energy Journal (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (publishedVersion)
- National Bureau of Economic Research (publishedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- National Bureau of Economic Research (submittedVersion)
- Econstor (Econstor) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Energy › Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment › Energy, Environment, and Transportation Policies
- Social Sciences › Transportation › Transportation Planning and Optimization
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets
- Keywords
- gasoline consumption, price elasticity, income elasticity, temporal comparison, United States
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