Raftery, Adrian E.

Bayes factors

Kass, R. E., & Raftery, A. E. (1995) · Journal of the American Statistical Association

Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceStatistical Methods and Inference

Cited by 12,558

Bayesian model selection in social research

Raftery, A. E. (1995) · Sociological Methodology

Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceStatistical Methods and Inference

Cited by 6,823

Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation

Gneiting, T., & Raftery, A. E. (2007) · Journal of the American Statistical Association

Forecasting Techniques and ApplicationsProbability and Statistical Research

Cited by 5,793

Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial (with comments by M. Clyde, David Draper and E. I. George, and a rejoinder by the authors

Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E., & Volinsky, C. T. (1999) · Statistical Science

Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceStatistical Methods and Inference

Cited by 4,118

Latent Space Approaches to Social Network Analysis

Hoff, P. D., Raftery, A. E., & Handcock, M. S. (2002) · Journal of the American Statistical Association

Complex Network Analysis TechniquesSpatial and Panel Data Analysis

Cited by 1,917

Using Bayesian model averaging to calibrate forecast ensembles.

Raftery, A. E., Gneiting, T., Balabdaoui, F., & Polakowski, M. (2005) · Monthly Weather Review

Meteorological Phenomena and SimulationsForecasting Techniques and Applications

Cited by 1,915

Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness

Gneiting, T., Balabdaoui, F., & Raftery, A. E. (2007) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B: Statistical Methodology

Forecasting Techniques and ApplicationsEnergy Load and Power Forecasting

Cited by 1,783

Model Selection and Accounting for Model Uncertainty in Graphical Models Using Occam's Window

Madigan, D., & Raftery, A. E. (1994) · Journal of the American Statistical Association

Bayesian Modeling and Causal InferenceStatistical Methods and Inference

Cited by 1,205

Calibrated Probabilistic Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics and Minimum CRPS Estimation

Gneiting, T., Raftery, A. E., Westveld, A. H., & Goldman, T. (2005) · Monthly Weather Review

Meteorological Phenomena and SimulationsForecasting Techniques and Applications

Cited by 1,142

Comprehensive evidence implies a higher social cost of CO2

Rennert, K., Errickson, F., Prest, B. C., Rennels, L., Newell, R. G., Pizer, W., Kingdon, C., Wingenroth, J., Cooke, R., Parthum, B., et al. (2022) · Nature

Climate Change Policy and EconomicsClimate Change and Geoengineering

Cited by 1,067

Weather Forecasting with Ensemble Methods

Gneiting, T., & Raftery, A. E. (2005) · Science

Meteorological Phenomena and SimulationsForecasting Techniques and Applications

Cited by 636

Bayesian probabilistic population projections for all countries

Raftery, A. E., Li, N., Ševčíková, H., Gerland, P., & Heilig, G. K. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Managementdemographic modeling and climate adaptation

Cited by 298

Bayes Factors and BIC: Comment on “A Critique of the Bayesian Information Criterion for Model Selection”

RAFTERY, A. E. (1999) · Sociological Methods & Research

Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceStatistical Methods and Inference

Cited by 249

Probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate for all countries

Alkema, L., Raftery, A. E., Gerland, P., Clark, S. J., Pelletier, F., Buettner, T., & Heilig, G. K. (2011) · Demography

Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk ManagementDemographic Trends and Gender Preferences

Cited by 248

Bayesian Model Averaging in Proportional Hazard Models: Assessing the Risk of a Stroke

Volinsky, C. T., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E., & Kronmal, R. A. (1997) · Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C: Applied Statistics

Statistical Methods and InferenceStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

Cited by 226

Correction to: ``Bayesian model averaging: a tutorial'' [Statist. Sci. 14 (1999), no. 4, 382--417; MR 2001a:62033]

Hoeting, J. A., Madigan, D., Raftery, A. E., & Volinsky, C. T. (2000) · Statistical Science

Statistical Methods and Bayesian InferenceStatistical Methods and Inference

Cited by 152

Probabilistic projections of increased heat stress driven by climate change

Vargas Zeppetello, L. R., Raftery, A. E., & Battisti, D. S. (2022) · Communications Earth & Environment

Climate Change and Health ImpactsClimate variability and models

Cited by 140

Are births underreported in rural China? Manipulation of statistical records in response to China’s population policies

Merli, M. G., & Raftery, A. E. (2000) · Demography

Demographic Trends and Gender PreferencesChina's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance

Cited by 110

Estimating SARS-CoV-2 infections from deaths, confirmed cases, tests, and random surveys

Irons, N. J., & Raftery, A. E. (2021) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

COVID-19 epidemiological studiesMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models

Cited by 105

How do education and family planning accelerate fertility decline?

Liu, D. H., & Raftery, A. E. (2020) · Population and Development Review

Reproductive Health and ContraceptionDemographic Trends and Gender Preferences

Cited by 77

Probabilistic population projections with migration uncertainty

Azose, J. J., Ševčíková, H., & Raftery, A. E. (2016) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk ManagementCensus and Population Estimation

Cited by 77

Eliciting prior information to enhance the predictive performance of bayesian graphical models

Madigan, D., Gavrin, J., & Raftery, A. E. (1995) · Communications in Statistics - Theory and Methods

Bayesian Modeling and Causal InferenceStatistical Methods and Bayesian Inference

Cited by 60