Cited by 1,241Chronic Kidney Disease and DiabetesAcute Kidney Injury ResearchBlood Pressure and Hypertension Studies

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Predictors of New-Onset Kidney Disease in a Community-Based Population

Fox, Caroline S.·2004·JAMA

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Abstract

Context Kidney disease is associated with an increased risk for the development of cardiovascular disease and end-stage renal disease; however, risk factors for kidney disease have not been well studied. Objective To identify predictors of the development of new-onset kidney disease. Design, setting, and participants A community-based, longitudinal cohort study of 2585 participants who attended both a baseline examination in 1978-1982 and a follow-up examination in 1998-2001, and who were free of kidney disease at baseline. Main outcome measures Kidney disease was assessed by the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study equation and defined by a glomerular filtration rate (GFR) in the fifth or lower percentile ( Results At baseline, there were 1223 men and 1362 women, with a mean age of 43 years, who were free of preexisting kidney disease. After a mean follow-up of 18.5 years, 244 participants (9.4%) had developed kidney disease. In multivariable models, baseline age (odds ratio [OR], 2.36 per 10-year increment; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.00-2.78), GFR ( or =120 mL/min per 1.73 m2), a mildly reduced GFR ( Conclusions Established cardiovascular disease risk factors are associated with the development of new-onset kidney disease. Patients with a mildly reduced GFR should be monitored for progression to kidney disease.

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Crossref · 10.1001/jama.291.7.844

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BackgroundInfluential
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Associations between the Serum Triglyceride Level and Kidney Outcome in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease: The Fukuoka Kidney disease Registry Study
Seki, M., Nakano, T., Tanaka, S., Kitamura, H., Hiyamuta, H., Ninomiya, T., Tsuruya, K., & Kitazono, T. (2024) · Journal of Atherosclerosis and Thrombosis · doi:10.5551/jat.64625 · Cited by 7
Association between dyslipidemia and the risk of incident chronic kidney disease affected by genetic susceptibility: Polygenic risk score analysis
Weon, B., Jang, Y., Jo, J., Jin, W., Ha, S., Ko, A., Oh, Y., Lim, C.-S., Lee, J. P., Won, S., et al. (2024) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0299605 · Cited by 8
Utility of serum β2‐microglobulin for prediction of kidney outcome among patients with biopsy‐proven diabetic nephropathy
Uemura, T., Nishimoto, M., Eriguchi, M., Tamaki, H., Tasaki, H., Furuyama, R., Fukata, F., Kosugi, T., Morimoto, K., Matsui, M., et al. (2023) · Diabetes Obesity and Metabolism · doi:10.1111/dom.15347 · Cited by 8
Association between the High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio and New-Onset Chronic Kidney Disease in Chinese Individuals
Zhang, Z., Liu, P.-P., Yang, L., Zhao, N., Ou, W., Zhang, X., Zhang, Y., Chen, S.-H., Wu, S.-L., & Yang, X.-H. (2023) · Nephron · doi:10.1159/000534034 · Cited by 8
Maternal High-Fat Diet Controls Offspring Kidney Health and Disease
Liu, H.-Y., Lee, C., Hsu, C., & Tain, Y. (2023) · Nutrients · doi:10.3390/nu15122698 · Cited by 8
Time to Kidneys Failure Modeling in the Patients at Adama Hospital Medical College: Application of Copula Model
Gari, F. S., Gurmu, S. E., Gelcho, G. N., Abdisa, J., Asefa, K. Z., & Banbeta, A. (2022) · Journal of Research in Health Sciences · doi:10.34172/jrhs.2022.84 · Cited by 8
Body mass index and chronic kidney disease outcomes after acute kidney injury: a prospective matched cohort study
MacLaughlin, H., Pike, M. M., Selby, N., Siew, E., Chinchilli, V., Guide, A., Stewart, T. G., Himmelfarb, J., Go, A. S., Parikh, C., et al. (2021) · BMC Nephrology · doi:10.1186/s12882-021-02400-3 · Cited by 8
“Obesity is a risk factor for the development and progression of CKD [9, 10], independent of the related risk factors hypertension and diabetes [11–”
Background
Anemia and atrial fibrillation as independent risk factors for new-onset chronic kidney disease: the TAMA-MED Project—CKD and AF
Kaneko, T., Kodani, E., Fujii, H., Asai, R., Seki, M., Nakazato, R., Nakamura, H., Sasabe, H., & Tamura, Y. (2021) · Clinical Kidney Journal · doi:10.1093/ckj/sfab014 · Cited by 8
The Short-Term Renal Effects of Bariatric Surgery: A Comparative Study Between Sleeve Gastrectomy and One Anastomosis Gastric Bypass Operations Among Egyptian Patients With Severe Obesity
Bassiony, A. I., Sabry, A. A.-A., Shiha, O., Elgeidie, A., & Nassar, M. K. (2020) · Obesity Surgery · doi:10.1007/s11695-020-04841-5 · Cited by 9
The potential risk factors of nephrotoxicity during vancomycin therapy in Chinese adult patients
Wang, Y., Yang, J., Zhan, H., Zhang, S., & Deng, Y. (2020) · European Journal of Hospital Pharmacy: Science and Practice · doi:10.1136/ejhpharm-2020-002261 · Cited by 8
Threshold Effects of Serum Uric Acid on Chronic Kidney Disease in US Women without Hypertension and Diabetes: A Cross-Sectional Study
Hu, G.-P., Bai, Y., Chen, T., Tang, S., & Hu, L.-H. (2019) · Kidney & Blood Pressure Research · doi:10.1159/000502183 · Cited by 8
Dysmetabolic markers predict outcomes in autosomal dominant polycystic kidney disease
Kocyiğit, I., Ozturk, F., Eroğlu, E., Karaca, Z., Kaynar, A., Çetin, M., Tokgoz, B., Sipahioğlu, M., Bayramov, R., Şen, A., et al. (2019) · Clinical and Experimental Nephrology · doi:10.1007/s10157-019-01748-z · Cited by 8
Functional capacity, renal function and vitamin D in community-dwelling oldest old
Araújo, L. M., Moreira, P., Almada, C. D. M., de Araújo, L. V., Passos, M. T., Kirsztajn, G., Cendoroglo, M., Sesso, R., & Cendoroglo, M. (2019) · International Urology and Nephrology · doi:10.1007/s11255-019-02081-w · Cited by 8
Panniculectomy Outcomes in Patients with End-Stage Renal Disease in Preparation for Renal Transplant
Mundra, L., Rubio, G., Alqattan, H., & Thaller, S. (2018) · Aesthetic Plastic Surgery · doi:10.1007/s00266-017-1043-4 · Cited by 8
Should obesity affect suitability for kidney donation?
Sachdeva, M. (2018) · Seminars in dialysis · doi:10.1111/sdi.12711 · Cited by 8
“9) in the morbidly obese (BMI greater than or equal to 35 kg/m(2)) compared to normal weight persons.(12,13) Potential mechanisms for renal injury in the obese may be”
Background
Computed tomography identified factors that preclude living kidney donation.
Mastrocostas, K., Chingkoe, C., Pace, K., Barfett, J., Kirpalani, A., Mnatzakanian, G., Vlachou, P., & Colak, E. (2018) · Canadian Urological Association journal = Journal de l'Association des urologues du Canada · doi:10.5489/cuaj.4909 · Cited by 8
The effect of TSH change per year on the risk of incident chronic kidney disease in euthyroid subjects
Lee, D.-Y., Jee, J., Ji, E. J., Kim, T. H., Jin, S.-M., Hur, K., Kim, S., Chung, J., Lee, M.-K., & Kim, J. H. (2017) · Endocrine · doi:10.1007/s12020-016-1138-8 · Cited by 8
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Kanda, T., Takeda, A., Hirose, H., Abe, T., Urai, H., Inokuchi, M., Wakino, S., Tokumura, M., Itoh, H., & Kawabe, H. (2017) · Nephrology, Dialysis and Transplantation · doi:10.1093/ndt/gfw428 · Cited by 8
“A low eGFR is a significant risk factor for a rapid decrease in eGFR [46, 47], and our findings suggest that adolescents with LBW might be more vulnerable to CKD later in life.”
Simultaneous control of glycemic, blood pressure, and lipid significantly reduce the risk of renal progression in diabetes patients
Chang, P.-Y., Chien, L., Lin, Y., Chiu, W.-T., & Chiou, H. (2016) · European Journal of Internal Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.ejim.2016.09.013 · Cited by 8
Prevalence of Chronic Kidney Disease in Turkish Adults With Obesity and Metabolic Syndrome: A Post Hoc Analysis from Chronic Renal Disease in Turkey Study.
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“23-fold increased risk of new-onset kidney disease.(23) However, our study differs from these earlier works in terms of its cross-sectional design and primary end point.”
Result
Does body mass index influence the decline of glomerular filtration rate in diabetic type 2 patients with diabetic nephropathy in a developing country?
Bentata, Y., Latrech, H., & Abouqal, R. (2014) · Renal Failure · doi:10.3109/0886022x.2014.899472 · Cited by 8
Body mass index and preclinical kidney disease in Indian adults aged 40 years and above without chronic kidney disease
Sabanayagam, C., Wong, T., Liao, J.-M., Sethi, S., & Teo, B.-O. W. (2014) · Clinical and Experimental Nephrology · doi:10.1007/s10157-014-0945-6 · Cited by 8
Antiretroviral Therapy-Induced Changes in Plasma Lipids and the Risk of Kidney Dysfunction in HIV-Infected Men
Abraham, A., Li, X.-H., Jacobson, L., Estrella, M., Evans, R., Witt, M., & Phair, J. (2013) · AIDS Research and Human Retroviruses · doi:10.1089/aid.2012.0253 · Cited by 8
“Studies in HIV-uninfected populations have included women and found associations between lipid levels and kidney function, 5,7 suggesting that this relationship is generalizable across sexes, but studies in HIV-infected women are needed to conﬁrm the relationship noted in the present analysis.”
Techniques, assessment, and effectiveness of bariatric surgery in combating obesity
le Roux, C. W. (2010) · Open Access Surgery · doi:10.2147/oas.s7195 · Cited by 9
“In the Framingham study, obese patients who were initially free of CKD were likely to reduce their glomerular filtration rate (GFR) over time.(97) However, in a study of 61 patients, renal parameters and renal function were markedly improved 24 months after bariatric surgery.”
Does obesity attenuate the effect of metabolic syndrome on chronic kidney disease in patients with coronary artery disease? Report from China heart survey.
Liu, H., Yu, J.-M., Chen, F., Wang, J.-S., Chen, S., Wang, F., & Hu, D. (2010) · Circulation Journal · doi:10.1253/circj.cj-09-0771 · Cited by 8
Prevalencia de la enfermedad renal crónica determinada mediante la aplicación de ecuaciones predictivas en personas hipertensas atendidas en atención primaria
Navarro, R. G. (2009) · doi:10.1590/s1135-57272009000300011 · Cited by 8
Kidney function and risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in women: a prospective cohort study
Kurth, T., de Jong, P. E., Cook, N. R., Buring, J. E., & Ridker, P. M. (2009) · BMJ · doi:10.1136/bmj.b2392 · Cited by 61
“and these risk factors predict the start of chronic kidney disease.”
Background
ПРОБЛЕМА ОЦЕНКИ СКОРОСТИ КЛУБОЧКОВОЙ ФИЛЬТРАЦИИ ПРИ ОЖИРЕНИИ
Смирнов, А. В., Каюков, И. Г., & Румянцев, А. Ш. (2005) · doi:10.24884/1561-6274-2017-21-2-20-23 · Cited by 8
Adherence to a Healthful Plant-Based Diet and Risk of Chronic Kidney Disease Among Individuals with Diabetes
Thompson, A. S., Tresserra‐Rimbau, A., Jennings, A., Bondonno, N. P., Candussi, C. J., O’Neill, J. K., Hill, C., Gaggl, M., Cassidy, A., & Kuhn, T. E. (2024) · Journal of the American Nutrition Association · doi:10.1080/27697061.2024.2415917 · Cited by 6
Relationship Between Serum Uromodulin as a Marker of Kidney Damage and Metabolic Status in Patients with Chronic Kidney Disease of Non-Diabetic Etiology
Zeravica, R., Ilinčić, B., Burić, D., Jakovljevic, A., Crnobrnja, V., Ilić, D., & Papuga, M. V. (2024) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms252011159 · Cited by 7
“Apart from the effect of glycemia on renal function, dyslipidemias [44] and atherosclerosis [45] are also linked to the decline in kidney function.”
Background
Health Literacy, Self-Care Behaviors, and Biochemical Parameters Among Hypertensive Patients with Renal Complications in the Tai Lue Ethnic Community of Thailand
Sriprachot, N., Seangpraw, K., & Ong-artborirak, P. (2024) · Vascular Health and Risk Management · doi:10.2147/vhrm.s450775 · Cited by 7
Effect of MAFLD on albuminuria and the interaction between MAFLD and diabetes on albuminuria
Liu, Y., Chai, S., & Zhang, X.-M. (2023) · Journal of Diabetes · doi:10.1111/1753-0407.13501 · Cited by 7
Identifying Genetic Variants and Metabolites Associated with Rapid Estimated Glomerular Filtration Rate Decline in Korea Based on Genome–Metabolomic Integrative Analysis
Lee, S., Han, M., Moon, S., Kim, K., An, W. J., Ryu, H., Oh, K., & Park, S. K. (2022) · Metabolites · doi:10.3390/metabo12111139 · Cited by 9
Obesity, Weight Loss, Lifestyle Interventions, and Autosomal Dominant Polycystic Kidney Disease
Steele, C. N., & Nowak, K. L. (2022) · Kidney and Dialysis · doi:10.3390/kidneydial2010013 · Cited by 8
“After adjusting for potential confounders, higher BMI is associated with increased risk of CKD [18,33,34], reduced estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) [35], decline in kidney function (eGFR slope) [36], and incidence of ESKD [19,20,37] in the general population.”
Background
Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy With and Without Prepregnancy Hypertension Are Associated With Incident Maternal Kidney Disease Subsequent to Delivery
Malek, A. M., Hunt, K. J., Turan, T. N., Mateus, J., Lackland, D. T., Lucas, A., & Wilson, D. A. (2022) · Hypertension · doi:10.1161/hypertensionaha.121.18451 · Cited by 13

Authors: Fox, C. S.
Affiliations: Framingham Heart Study (US)
Corresponding author: Fox, Caroline S.
ORCID: Fox, Caroline S.
Venue: JAMA
Publisher: American Medical Association (AMA)
Published: 2004-02-18
Volume: 291
Issue: 7
Pages: 844
ISSN: 0002-9955 (ISSN-L)
0098-7484
DOI: 10.1001/jama.291.7.844
OpenAlex: W1992283514
Cited by: 1,241
References: 0
Citations by year: 2026: 21 · 2025: 28 · 2024: 50 · 2023: 37 · 2022: 53 · 2021: 62 · 2020: 62 · 2019: 47 · 2018: 49 · 2017: 59 · 2016: 81 · 2015: 49 · 2014: 79 · 2013: 83 · 2012: 68
FWCI: 28.73
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: closed
Locations: JAMA (publishedVersion)
PubMed (publishedVersion)
Funders: National Institutes of Health (n01hc25195-41-0-1)
National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (N01‐HC25195)
Topics: Health Sciences › Medicine › Nephrology › Chronic Kidney Disease and Diabetes
Health Sciences › Medicine › Nephrology › Acute Kidney Injury Research
Health Sciences › Medicine › Cardiology and Cardiovascular Medicine › Blood Pressure and Hypertension Studies
Keywords: chronic kidney disease, risk factors, glomerular filtration rate, diabetes mellitus, smoking, body mass index, age, MDRD equation, cardiovascular disease, end-stage renal disease, community-based cohort, risk prediction model, renal function decline, hyperlipidemia, antihypertensive drugs, antihypertensive medication adherence
MeSH terms: Adult, Aged, Cardiovascular Diseases, Female, Glomerular Filtration Rate, Humans, Kidney Diseases, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, Logistic Models

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Predictors of New-Onset Kidney Disease in a Community-Based Population

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