Association Between Subclinical Thyroid Dysfunction and Fracture Risk
Open accessAbstract
Importance: Clinical hyperthyroidism accelerates bone resorption without compensatory bone formation, reducing bone density and increasing the risk of fracture. The association between subclinical hyperthyroidism and fracture risk is less clear. Objective: To investigate the association of endogenous subclinical thyroid dysfunction and fracture risk, independent of clinical confounders. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study included 10 946 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, an ongoing prospective cohort study of community-dwelling individuals conducted from 1987-1989 through December 31, 2019, in Washington County, Maryland; Forsyth County, North Carolina; Jackson, Mississippi; and the suburbs of Minneapolis, Minnesota. Participants were not taking thyroid medications and had no history of fractures. Exposures: Thyrotropin and free thyroxine levels were measured at visit 2 (1990-1992). Subclinical hyperthyroidism was defined as a thyrotropin level lower than 0.56 mIU/L, subclinical hypothyroidism as a thyrotropin level higher than 5.1 mIU/L, and euthyroidism as a thyrotropin level of 0.56 to 5.1 mIU/L, with normal free thyroxine levels from 0.85 to 1.4 ng/dL. Main Outcomes and Measures: Incident fracture was ascertained using hospitalization discharge codes through 2019 and linkage to inpatient and outpatient Medicare claims through 2018. Results: Of 10 946 participants (54.3% women; mean [SD] age, 57 [5.7] years), 93.0% had euthyroidism, 2.6% had subclinical hyperthyroidism, and 4.4% had subclinical hypothyroidism. During a median follow-up of 21 years (IQR, 13.0-27.3 years), there were 3556 incident fractures (167.1 per 10 000 person-years). The adjusted hazard ratios of fracture were 1.34 (95% CI, 1.09-1.65) for those with subclinical hyperthyroidism and 0.90 (95% CI, 0.77-1.05) for those with subclinical hypothyroidism compared with individuals with euthyroidism. Among those with normal free thyroxine levels, thyrotropin levels in the lower-than-normal range were significantly associated with higher fracture-related hospitalization risk; fracture risk was greater among individuals with thyrotropin concentrations below 0.56 mIU/L. Conclusions and Relevance: This community-based cohort study suggests that subclinical hyperthyroidism was an independent risk factor associated with fracture. The increased risk for fracture among individuals with a thyrotropin level lower than 0.56 mIU/L highlights a potential role for more aggressive screening and monitoring of patients with subclinical hyperthyroidism to prevent bone mineral disease.
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Hypothyroidism is linked to increased risk of osteoporosis and fracture.
“Previous studies have indicated that hypothyroidism can be accompanied by decrease of bone mineral density (BMD), osteoporosis, even fracture [7–9].”
From Effects of levothyroxine therapy on bone and mineral metabolism in hypothyroidism: a systematic review and meta-analysis (2025) · cites this paper as [8]
The Introduction says overt hypothyroidism is associated with normal or slightly increased bone mass, contrary to the claimed decrease in BMD. It discusses an apparent increased fracture risk in overt hypothyroidism, but the Results report no evidence of an association between subclinical hypothyroidism and fracture risk. The paper does not establish the claimed link to osteoporosis. (LLM, conf=0.87)
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Cited by
Sorted by citations
Li, X., Zhang, T., Zhang, H., Liu, S., & Tian, L. (2025) · BMC Endocrine Disorders · doi:10.1186/s12902-024-01819-7 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
- Authors
- Daya, N. R., Fretz, A., Martin, S. S., Lutsey, P. L., Echouffo-Tcheugui, J. B., Selvin, E., & Juraschek, S. P.
- Affiliations
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- University of California San Francisco Medical Center (US)
- University of Minnesota (US)
- Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Juraschek, Stephen P.
- ORCID
- Venue
- JAMA Network Open
- Publisher
- American Medical Association (AMA)
- Published
- 2022-11-08
- Volume
- 5
- Issue
- 11
- Pages
- e2240823
- ISSN
- 2574-3805 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC9644261
- OpenAlex
- W4308518080
- Cited by
- 18
- References
- 12
- Citations by year
- 2026: 7 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 3
- FWCI
- 2.04
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- cc-by
- Locations
- JAMA Network Open (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (75N92022D00002, 75N92022D00005, 75N92022D00003, 75N92022D00004, 75N92022D00001, T32HL007024)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Thyroid Disorders and Treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Orthopedics and Sports Medicine › Bone health and osteoporosis research
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Thyroid and Parathyroid Surgery
- Keywords
- subclinical hyperthyroidism, subclinical hypothyroidism, fracture risk, thyroid-stimulating hormone, free thyroxine, bone resorption, bone mineral density, incident fractures, Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, community-dwelling adults, thyroid function biomarkers, fracture risk prediction, sex differences in fracture risk
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Female, Medicare, Humans, Hyperthyroidism, Hypothyroidism, Male, Middle Aged, Prospective Studies, Thyroid Diseases, Thyrotropin, Thyroxine, United States, Cohort Studies, Fractures, Bone
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