High‐resolution modeling of human and climate impacts on global water resources
Open accessAbstract
A number of global hydrological models [GHMs) have been developed in recent decades in order to understand the impacts of climate variability and human activities on water resources availability. The spatial resolution of GHMs is mostly constrained at a 0.5° by 0.5° grid [∼50km by ∼50km at the equator). However, for many of the water‐related problems facing society, the current spatial scale of GHMs is insufficient to provide locally relevant information. Here using the PCR‐GLOBWB model we present for the first time an analysis of human and climate impacts on global water resources at a 0.1° by 0.1° grid [∼10km by ∼10km at the equator) in order to depict more precisely regional variability in water availability and use. Most of the model input data (topography, vegetation, soil properties, routing, human water use) have been parameterized at a 0.1° global grid and feature a distinctively higher resolution. Distinct from many other GHMs, PCR‐GLOBWB includes groundwater representation and simulates groundwater heads and lateral groundwater flows based on MODFLOW with existing geohydrological information. This study shows that global hydrological simulations at higher spatial resolutions are feasible for multi‐decadal to century periods.
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These regions are mainly located in the midwestern and western CONUS, where high evaporation conditions and numerous dams coincide with complex water use processes that current models cannot simulate well.
“These regions are mainly located in the midwestern and western CONUS, where high evaporation conditions (Heidari et al., 2020) and numerous dams (Bellmore et al., 2017) coincide with complex water use processes (Wada et al., 2016) that current models cannot simulate well.”
From Ensembling differentiable process-based and data-driven models with diverse meteorological forcing datasets to advance streamflow simulation (2025) · cites this paper as Wada et al., 2016
Section 5.1 says the authors’ model omits artificial water diversions and may overestimate the effect of water consumption on streamflow in parts of the United States. This supports difficulty modeling some water-use processes, but not the broader assertion that current models cannot simulate complex water use well across the midwestern and western CONUS. (LLM, conf=0.84)
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Li, P., Song, Y., Pan, M., Lawson, K., & Shen, C. (2025) · Hydrology and Earth System Sciences · doi:10.5194/hess-29-6829-2025 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
- Authors
- Wada, Y., de Graaf, I. E. M., & van Beek, L. P. H.
- Affiliations
- Goddard Institute for Space Studies (US)
- Department of Physical Geography Utrecht University 3584 CS Utrecht Netherlands
- Corresponding author
- Wada, Yoshihide
- ORCID
- Wada, Yoshihide
- Venue
- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
- Publisher
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Published
- 2016-05-22
- Volume
- 8
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 735-763
- ISSN
- 1942-2466 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2344700162
- Cited by
- 217
- References
- 4
- Citations by year
- 2026: 22 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 25 · 2023: 28 · 2022: 31 · 2021: 34 · 2020: 20 · 2019: 14 · 2018: 10 · 2017: 14
- FWCI
- 6.72
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (acceptedVersion)
- Socio-Environmental Systems Modeling (acceptedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Japan Geoscience Union
- Funders
- Japan Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) (JSPS-2014-878)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Water Science and Technology › Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Ocean Engineering › Water resources management and optimization
- Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Oceanography › Geophysics and Gravity Measurements
- Keywords
- global hydrological modelling, high-resolution hydrological modeling, human impacts on water resources, climate impacts on water resources, water availability, water consumption, groundwater head, lateral groundwater flow, MODFLOW, PCR-GLOBWB, climate variability
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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