Expected wait times for access to a disease‐modifying Alzheimer's treatment in the United States
Abstract
Introduction A 2017 study had analyzed the preparedness of the U.S. health care system to deliver a disease-modifying Alzheimer's treatment and predicted substantial wait times. We update the prediction with an improved model and newer data. Methods The model tracks patients from initial evaluation, cognitive testing by a dementia specialist, confirmatory biomarker testing, and infusion delivery. All steps after initial evaluation are assumed to be capacity constrained. Model parameters and assumptions about care-seeking behavior were derived from the published literature and expert input. Results If patients were referred based on a brief cognitive test, wait times for specialist visits would reach around 50 months. If referral also required a positive blood-based biomarker test, wait times would be around 12 months. In both scenarios, wait times for confirmatory biomarker testing and infusion treatment would be limited. Discussion Better diagnostic tools at initial evaluation may reduce unnecessary delays in access to treatment.
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Modeling by the RAND Corporation in 2017 showed that with an anti-amyloid therapy for people in the MCI and early dementia stages of the disease, approximately 2.1 million individuals with MCI due to Alzheimer's disease would develop Alzheimer's dementia between 2020 and 2040 while on waiting lists for treatment.
“modeling by the RAND Corporation in 2017 showed that with an anti‐amyloid therapy for people in the MCI and early dementia stages of the disease, approximately 2.1 million individuals with MCI due to Alzheimer's disease would develop Alzheimer's dementia between 2020 and 2040 while on waiting lists for treatment.”
From 2024 Alzheimer's disease facts and figures (2024) · cites this paper as [973]
Capacity constraints, such as a limited number of qualified providers and facilities, could severely restrict access to new treatments.
“Capacity constraints — such as a limited number of qualified providers and facilities — could severely restrict access to new treatments. 972 , 973”
From 2024 Alzheimer's disease facts and figures (2024) · cites this paper as [973]
Cites
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2023 Alzheimer's disease facts and figures
(2023) · Alzheimer's & Dementia · doi:10.1002/alz.13016 · Cited by 3,212 · see citing works
2024 Alzheimer's disease facts and figures
(2024) · Alzheimer's & Dementia · doi:10.1002/alz.13809 · Cited by 2,536 · see citing works
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Self-citationDesigning the next-generation clinical care pathway for Alzheimer’s disease
Hampel, H., Au, R., Mattke, S., van der Flier, W. M., Aisen, P., Apostolova, L., Chen, C., Cho, M., De Santi, S., Gao, P., et al. (2022) · Nature Aging · doi:10.1038/s43587-022-00269-x · Cited by 191 · see citing works
Self-citationLiu, Y., Jun, H., Becker, A., Wallick, C., & Mattke, S. (2024) · The Journal of Prevention of Alzheimer's Disease · doi:10.14283/jpad.2023.131 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
Self-citationThe potential clinical value of plasma biomarkers in Alzheimer's disease
Blennow, K., Galasko, D., Perneczky, R., Quevenco, F., van der Flier, W. M., Akinwonmi, A., Carboni, M., Jethwa, A., Suridjan, I., & Zetterberg, H. (2023) · Alzheimer's & Dementia · doi:10.1002/alz.13455 · Cited by 75 · see citing works
- Authors
- Mattke, S., & Hanson, M.
- Affiliations
- University of Southern California (US)
- Corresponding author
- Mattke, Soeren
- Venue
- Alzheimer's & Dementia
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2021-09-27
- Volume
- 18
- Issue
- 5
- Pages
- 1071-1074
- ISSN
- 1552-5260 (ISSN-L)
- 1552-5279
- OpenAlex
- W3203822095
- Cited by
- 72
- References
- 2
- Citations by year
- 2026: 17 · 2025: 19 · 2024: 16 · 2023: 12 · 2022: 8
- FWCI
- 5.65
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Alzheimer s & Dementia (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Physiology › Alzheimer's disease research and treatments
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Psychiatry and Mental health › Dementia and Cognitive Impairment Research
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
- Keywords
- Alzheimer's disease, disease-modifying therapy
- MeSH terms
- Alzheimer Disease, Delivery of Health Care, Humans, Referral and Consultation, United States, Waiting Lists, Biomarkers
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