Statistical analysis of MMR vaccine adverse events on aseptic meningitis using the case cross-over design
Abstract
Vaccination is quite effective in reducing the incidence of disease. However, it may cause some adverse events. For example, one of the adverse events of measles-mumps-rubella(MMR) vaccination is the occurrence of aseptic meningitis. Since the vaccination rate is usually quite high, it is not plausible to use popular study designs such as cohort or case-control studies. We considered a case cross-over design to investigate the association between MMR vaccination and aseptic meningitis in Korean children. We used the Cochran-Mantel-Haenszel(CMH) approach, and obtained a Mantel-Haenszel odds ratio estimator as a measure of association. However, the validity of case cross-over design or the CMH approach in vaccine adverse studies has not been fully investigated. In this paper, through Monte Carlo simulation studies, we show the appropriateness of the case cross-over design and the CMH approach. We also discuss alternative approaches such as Poisson regression using offset and a simple uniformity test. In conclusion, the case cross-over design seems useful to investigate the association between vaccination and occurrence of acute adverse events.
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In Park 2004 there was a moderate likelihood of selection bias due to missing cases and their records (up to 27%).
“In Park 2004 there was a moderate likelihood of selection bias due to missing cases and their records (up to 27%).”
From Vaccines for measles, mumps and rubella in children (2012) · cites this paper as Park 2004
In Park 2004, the risk of bias was moderate/unknown.
“Moderate/unknown risk of bias in one study (Park 2004).”
From Vaccines for measles, mumps and rubella in children (2012) · cites this paper as Park 2004
In Park 2004, MMR vaccination was positively associated with aseptic meningitis in a cross-over design of 39 participants aged 13 to 29 months, with a Mantel-Haenszel OR of 3.0 (95% CI 1.5 to 6.1).
“Mantel-Haenszel OR estimate indicates a positive association (3.0; 95% CI 1.5 to 6.1).”
From Vaccines for measles, mumps and rubella in children (2012) · cites this paper as Park 2004
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- Authors
- Park, T., Ki, M., & Yi, S.
- Affiliations
- Seoul National University (KR)
- Eulji University (KR)
- Corresponding author
- Park, Taesung
- ORCID
- Ki, Moran
- Venue
- Statistics in Medicine
- Publisher
- Wiley
- Published
- 2004-05-21
- Volume
- 23
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1871-1883
- ISSN
- 0277-6715 (ISSN-L)
- 1097-0258
- OpenAlex
- W2161715571
- Cited by
- 15
- References
- 21
- Citations by year
- 2021: 1 · 2020: 3 · 2016: 1 · 2015: 1 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 1
- FWCI
- 1.01
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Statistics in Medicine (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- Seoul National University
- Korea Science and Engineering Foundation
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Epidemiology
- Life Sciences › Pharmacology, Toxicology and Pharmaceutics › Toxicology › Pharmacovigilance and Adverse Drug Reactions
- Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Statistical Methods in Clinical Trials
- Keywords
- MMR vaccine, aseptic meningitis, vaccine adverse events, Monte Carlo simulation, uniformity testing, children, vaccine safety
- MeSH terms
- Child, Preschool, Data Interpretation, Statistical, Female, Humans, Infant, Korea, Male, Meningitis, Aseptic, Vaccination, Cross-Over Studies, Measles-Mumps-Rubella Vaccine
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