The Oldest Societies in Asia: The Politics of Ageing in South Korea and Japan
Open accessAbstract
This chapter is a comparative piece on political demographics of two East Asian democracies: Japan and South Korea (hereafter: Korea). Our analysis shows that in spite of certain differences the two countries share similar demographic developments with Korea often following in Japan’s footsteps with a time lag of one or more decades, a phenomenon we ascribe to the belated economic development in Korea. By systematically taking stock of political institutions, elections and voters, policies and immigration, we find that the Korean governments have shown themselves not only more active in fighting negative consequences of demographic change but also more open to immigration compared to their Japanese counterparts.
AI snapshot
Written from the paper’s full text.
TL;DR
This chapter compares how Japan and South Korea are responding politically and through public policy to population ageing, with Korea generally trailing Japan demographically but catching up rapidly. It argues that demographic pressure is increasing, yet governments face voter reluctance to immigration and tend to rely on incremental, often stealthy labour migration and activation policies.
Key findings
- Japan is demographically older: in 2019, the 65+ share was 28.4% in Japan versus 15% in Korea; the total fertility rate was 1.36 versus 0.92, after Korea became the first OECD country to fall below 1 in 2018 (0.97). The old-age dependency ratio was about 43.5 in both countries in 1990; Japan rose to 68.3 by 2019, while Korea fell to 36.2 by 2014 and then rose to 38.5 in 2019.
- Political institutions responded differently: Japan lowered the voting age to include 18- and 19-year-olds in 2007; in the 2017 general election overall turnout was 53.68%, but only 47.87% of 18-year-olds and 33.25% of 19-year-olds voted. Korea since 2005 granted non-citizen foreign residents voting rights at local and regional levels, making it the only country in Asia to have introduced enfranchisement of foreigners. Age correlates positively with turnout, levelling off at 60+ in Korea and 70+ in Japan.
- Fiscal burdens differ sharply: in 2017, social security spending was 23.6% of GDP in Japan versus 11.1% in Korea, and gross government debt was 250.4% of GDP in Japan versus 39.6% in Korea. Japan’s social security cost almost doubled from Yen 66.2 trillion in 1990 to Yen 123.7 trillion in 2020, consuming 34.9% of the national budget versus 17.5% in 1990; only 12.6% of Japan’s social security budget was designated as child support. Korea’s 2018 social welfare budget was Kwn 146.2 trillion, about 34.1% of the total budget, an increase of 12.9%.
- Immigration policy diverges: Japan has been more restrictive, relying on trainee and educational visa programmes, and in 2018 allowed up to 345,000 low-skilled workers for five years. Korea saw registered foreigners rise from about 50,000 in 1990 to more than 2 million in 2016 (2.3 million registered, 4.5% of the population); marriage immigration grew from almost 5,000 marriages in 1990 to more than 20,000 in 2016, with about 72% of foreign spouses female. Korean attitudes toward immigrants became more negative, but this did not translate into anti-immigration party platforms; neither country so far features xenophobic populist parties.
Methods
- Comparative case study of Japan and South Korea, drawing on secondary demographic, economic, and policy data from UNPD, World Bank, OECD, national ministries and statistics, and existing research.
- Descriptive analysis of demographic indicators (age structure, TFR, OADR, life expectancy, population growth), electoral turnout by age, social spending, long-term care, child support, and immigration policies.
- No new survey or experimental data; the chapter uses tables, figures, and policy document review to trace similarities and time-lag differences between the two countries.
Limitations
- The chapter has no formal limitations section. It states that there is not yet enough research in Japan to understand the partisan positions of young voters; notes that Japanese foreign workforce data are incomplete and flawed (citing Hennings & Mintz); and says employment figures do not indicate the type or quality of jobs mothers find.
- Evident from the text: the analysis relies on secondary and sometimes cross-national data, is largely descriptive, and does not provide causal identification; projections and policy effects are discussed but not tested.
Model-written summary. Check it against the paper before relying on it.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Claims the paper makes
0 of 85 cited sources checked · 0 supported · 0 flagged
- Findingown data
Over the last decades, there has been a positive correlation (with very few exceptions) in both Japan and Korea between age and turnout that levels off at 60+ in Korea and 70+ in Japan.
“Over the last decades, there has been a positive correlation (with very few exceptions) in both countries between age and turnout that levels off at 60+ in Korea and 70+ in Japan (cf.Figs. 3 and 4).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
In Japan only citizenship provides residents with voting rights.
“While in Japan only citizenship provides residents with voting rights”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The National Institute of Population Research forecasts that Japan's population will decrease to 100 million by 2053.
“The National Institute of Population Research (IPSS, 2017b) published forecasts that predict a decrease in the number of people to 100 million by 2053.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites IPSS, 2017b
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Longevity contributes considerably to the increase in the old-age dependency ratio.
“Longevity contributes considerably to this effect.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
Life expectancy at birth in Korea increased from 55.4 years in 1960 to 82.6 years in 2018.
“Life expectancy at birth quickly increased in Korea from 55.4 years in 1960 to 82.6 years in 2018”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim
- Premisecitation
The literature strongly suggests that Japan and Korea belong to the category of well-established democracies in free-market OECD countries.
“The literature on both political systems also strongly suggests that Japan and Korea do indeed belong to the category of wellestablished democracies in free-market OECD countries (Choi, 2012;Kil & Moon, 2010;Klein, 2005;Krauss & Pekkanen, 2011;Mosler et al., 2018;Schoppa, 2011;Yang, 2001).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Choi, 2012
- cites Kil & Moon, 2010
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Klein, 2005
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
It is predictable for the near future that Korean parties will direct substantial attention to issues related to foreign residents, refugees and asylum-seekers.
“Furthermore, in the light of growing numbers of incoming foreigners and concomitant needs as well as social conflicts, it is predictable for the near future that parties will direct substantial attention to issues related to foreign residents, refugees and asylum-seekers.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
In both Japan and Korea, political institutions are receptive to demands from society originating out of demographic change.
“In both countries, political institutions are receptive to demands from society originating out of demographic change.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Political institutions in Japan and Korea were occasionally altered to address changes in the countries' populations, albeit in different ways.
“They were occasionally altered to address changes in the countries' populations, albeit in different ways.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
All major Japanese parties agreed in 2007 to include the nation's 2.4 million 18 and 19 year olds in the electorate for national elections.
“All major Japanese parties agreed in 2007 to include the nation's 2.4 million 18 and 19 year olds in the electorate for national elections (in Korea, the voting age is 19 years).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The working-age population (15-64 year olds) in South Korea comprises a large share (2019: 72.2%) compared to Japan (59.5%).
“The same is true for the working-age population (15-64 year olds), which in South Korea comprises a large share (2019: 72.2%), particularly when compared to Japan (59.5%)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites UNPD, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisereasoning
Korea closed the life expectancy gap to Japan from twelve years in 1960 to less than two in 2018 (Japan: 84.2 years).
“Korea has continuously closed the gap to Japan from twelve years in 1960 to less than two in 2018 (Japan: 84.2 years).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The share of elderly people (65 years and older) in Korea (2019: 15%) is lower than in Japan (2019: 28.4%).
“the share of elderly people (65 years and older) in Korea (2019: 15%) is still lower than in Japan (2019: 28.4%)”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites UNPD, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
In the 2017 Japanese General Election, both 18 and 19 year olds showed less interest in their newly given voting right than the average population.
“In other words, both groups showed less interest in their newly given voting right than the average population.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Korea is the only country in Asia to have introduced enfranchisement of foreigners.
“Thus, Korea is the only country in Asia to have introduced enfranchisement of foreigners (cf.Mosler & Pedroza, 2016;Pedroza & Mosler, 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Mosler & Pedroza, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Pedroza & Mosler, 2017 source
- Premisecitation
In 1990, Japan and Korea featured the same old-age dependency ratio of about 43.5.
“In 1990, both countries featured the same OADR of about 43.5.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Worldbank, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Korea's old-age dependency ratio is projected to surge in the coming decades to more than 50.
“Korea's ratio is projected to surge in the coming decades to more than 50 (Schwekendiek, 2016).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Schwekendiek, 2016
- Interpretationreasoning
The speed of Korea's catching-up is partly determined by the difference in fertility between Japan and Korea.
“The speed of Korea's”
- Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
“catching-up”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Also stated in: § Abstract · plain
- Premisenone given
The main reason presented by all parties involved in the 2007 Japanese voting age change was granting more political weight to the shrinking younger generations who have to shoulder the burden of an aged society.
“However, the main reason presented by all parties involved in the decision was the granting of more political weight to the shrinking younger generations who have to shoulder the burden of an aged society.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Political parties in Japan would find more incentives to address the 35-54 age group and the (soon-to-be) pensioners aged 60-74.
“Political parties in Japan would clearly find more incentives to address the group of those in the midst of their life (35-54) and the (soon-to-be) pensioners (60-74).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Japan's total fertility rate belongs to the lowest worldwide (2019: 1.36).
“While Japan's total fertility rate (TFR) belongs to the lowest worldwide (2019: 1.36)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites COJ, 2020: 10
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisereasoning
Korea's rate of life expectancy growth over the last decades is remarkably high compared with other OECD countries.
“but the rate by which life expectancy has been growing over the last decades is remarkably high in comparison with other OECD countries.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The Korean War and belated economic growth in South Korea appear to explain most demographic differences between the two countries.
“a development that the Korean War (1950)(1951)(1952)(1953) and the belated economic growth in South Korea appear to explain to a large extent.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The percentage of the young population (age 0-14) is similarly low in Japan (2019: 12.1%) and Korea (2019: 14%).
“The percentage of the young population (age group 0-14) is similarly low (2019: Japan: 12.1%, Korea: 14%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites UNPD, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisenone given
In 2004, the leftist-progressive Democratic Labor Party included items related to foreign residents in their election pledge.
“Still, in 2004, at least the leftist-progressive Democratic Labor Party (DLP) included respective items in their election pledge”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
In Korea non-citizen foreign residents holding a certain visa were granted voting rights at the local and regional levels since 2005.
“in Korea non-citizen foreign residents holding a certain visa were granted voting rights at the local and regional levels since 2005.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Most demographic differences between Japan and Korea indicate a time lag with Korea following Japan's footsteps.
“Most of the demographic differences between the two countries indicate a time lag with Korea following in Japan's footsteps”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Low fertility rates have created economic and social pressure on policymakers in Japan and Korea to facilitate having children.
“Still, low fertility rates have created economic and social pressure on policymakers to facilitate having children.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
The number of inhabitants of the region of Yȏngnam is more than 2.5 times larger than the Honam population.
“What is more, the number of inhabitants of the region of Yȏngnam is more than 2.5 times larger than the Honam population.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
In Korea, the Moon administration introduced a monthly child allowance of Kwn 100,000 per offspring up to age five.
“In Korea, the Moon administration introduced a monthly child allowance of Kwn 100,000 per offspring up to the age of five.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
In both Japan and Korea, the 'dint' in the M-shaped curve has flattened continuously over the last decades.
“In both countries, however, the 'dint' has flattened continuously over the last decades.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisereasoning
The economic costs for children in Japan and Korea vary considerably according to the educational institutions attended.
“As a consequence, the economic costs for children in both countries vary considerably according to-above all-the educational institutions attended.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
There are more than twice as many National Assembly districts in the Yȏngnam region (68) compared to the Honam region (31).
“there are more than twice as many districts of the Yȏngnam region (68) compared to the Honam region (31) (cf.Jung, 2015;Kang, 2015: 131).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Jung, 2015
- cites Kang, 2015: 131
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
The largest items related to population ageing in Korea's social welfare budget are public pensions (Kwn 47.8 trillion), housing (Kwn 23.8 trillion), elderly and youth (Kwn 12 trillion), and basic social security benefits (Kwn 11.3 trillion).
“The largest items related to population ageing are public pensions (Kwn 47.8 trillion), housing (Kwn 23.8 trillion), elderly and youth (Kwn 12 trillion), and basic social security benefits (Kwn 11.3 trillion) (No, 2017).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites No, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Political debates on redistributive public policies in Japan and Korea have been taking place against different demographic and political backdrops.
“Political debates on redistributive public policies in both countries have been taking place against different demographic and political backdrops.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationnone given
Korean regionalism is not an expression of historically grown cleavages based on religion, ethnicity or other typical cleavages, but is the artificial outcome of economic discrimination and political mobilization.
“This regionalism, however, is not an expression of historically grown and/or based on religion, ethnicity or other typical cleavages, but is the artificial outcome of economic discrimination and political mobilization.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
Pressure from employers, general working conditions and a lack of daycare facilities impede efforts made by many women to reconcile paid employment with child-rearing.
“What is more, pressure from employers, general working conditions and a lack of daycare facilities impede efforts made by many women to reconcile paid employment with child-rearing.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisereasoning
In Korea, childbirth and child-rearing are increasingly supported by the government.
“For similar reasons, in Korea, childbirth and child-rearing are increasingly supported by the government, too.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Of Japan's total social security budget, only 12.6% was designated as child support (childcare, child allowance etc.).
“Of those, only 12.6% were designated as child support (childcare, child allowance etc.) (MoF, 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites MoF, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Population ageing was the major factor behind the growth of expenditures in pension, health and long-term care in Japan.
“Population ageing was the major factor behind the growth of expenditures in the fields of pension, health and longterm care.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisenone given
Efforts were made by non-conservative governments in both Japan and Korea to support young (potential) parents.
“Efforts were made by non-conservative governments in both countries to support young (potential) parents.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
Many Korean voters chose a candidate, party or camp based on their hometown's province.
“Many voters chose a candidate, party or camp based on their hometown's province.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Preferences of age cohorts in Korea have been analysed since the beginning of the 1990s.
“While there is not yet enough research in Japan to understand the partisan positions of young voters, preferences of age cohorts in Korea have been analysed since the beginning of the 1990s.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In Japan, the state share for medical care was Yen 81,000 per person per year for the 65-74 cohort and Yen 335,000 for those 75 and older (2017).
“The state share for medical care was Yen 81,000/person/year for the 65-74 cohort and Yen 335,000 for those 75 and older (data for 2017) (MoFJ, 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites MoFJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Political parties appealing to younger voters seem to fish in more difficult waters.
“Consequently, political parties appealing to younger voters seem to fish in more difficult waters.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
In Korea, the budget for elderly and youth was enlarged by 15%.
“Also, the budget for elderly and youth was enlarged by 15%.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018: 104
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Korean regionalism provides conservatives with a significant advantage because they have their stronghold in the far more populous Yȏngnam region.
“This, in turn, provides the conservatives with a significant advantage, because they have their stronghold in the far more populous Yȏngnam region.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
The cost of social security in Japan almost doubled from Yen 66.2 trillion in 1990 to Yen 123.7 trillion in 2020.
“The cost of social security in Japan almost doubled from Yen 66.2 trillion in 1990 to Yen 123.7 trillion in 2020.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites MoFJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Based on Benesse data, costs for child-rearing from birth to age 22 in Japan amount to between Yen 26 million and Yen 41 million.
“Based on the data collected by Benesse, a Tokyo-based private institute for social research, costs for child-rearing (from birth to the age of 22) amount to somewhere between Yen 26 million to Yen 41 million (Benesse, 2015).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Benesse, 2015
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
In 2017, Korea's social security spending stood at 11.1% of GDP, at the lower end compared to European free-market democracies.
“In 2017, Korea's social security spending stood at the lower end (11.1% of GDP) compared to European freemarket democracies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites MoFJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Starting from September 2018, Korea introduced a monthly child allowance of Kwn 100,000 to lowest income families with children up to five years of age.
“Starting from September 2018, another form of child allowance is a monthly payment of Kwn 100,000 to lowest income families with children of up to five years of age.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018: 96
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisenone given
Since 1989, when a 3% consumption tax was introduced in Japan, most prime ministers were confronted with demands of their financial bureaucracy to increase this tax and use the revenue for social welfare services.
“Since 1989, when a 3% consumption tax was introduced, most prime ministers were confronted with demands of their financial bureaucracy to increase this tax and use the revenue for social welfare services.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The economic burden that social systems put on state budgets is considerably smaller in Korea than in Japan.
“For reasons explained above, the economic burden that social systems put on state budgets is considerably smaller in Korea than in Japan.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Interpretationown data
The increasing age group 75 and older has been contributing heavily to social welfare costs in Japan.
“Especially, the increasing age group 75 and older has been contributing heavily to social welfare costs.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
Both Japan and Korea reacted to the growing share of senior citizens and the weakening capacity and willingness of family members, especially women, to act as caregivers by introducing public long-term care insurance (Japan: 2000, South Korea: 2008).
“In addition, both countries reacted to the growing share of senior citizens and the weakening capacity and willingness of family members, especially women, to act as caregivers by introducing public long-term care insurance (Japan: 2000, South Korea: 2008).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
In 2017, Abe announced a change in the designated use of the consumption tax revenue by dedicating a share of it to lowering the cost of education for families.
“In 2017, Abe also announced a change in the designated use of the consumption tax revenue by dedicating a share of it to lowering the cost of education for families.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
The conservative advantage from regionalism has been incrementally alleviated since the 1990s by the fact that the proportion of liberal candidates elected in Yȏngnam is higher than that of conservative candidates elected in Honam.
“This advantage has been incrementally alleviated since the 1990s by the fact that the proportion of liberal candidates elected in Yȏngnam is higher than that of conservative candidates elected in Honam.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
In Japan and Korea, women who stopped working after giving birth created the typical M-shaped curve of female paid employment.
“In Japan and Korea, women who stopped working after giving birth created the typical M-shaped curve of female paid employment.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In Korea, the labour force participation rate of women as of 2016 stood at 58.4%, below the OECD average of 63.6%.
“In Korea, the labour force participation rate of women as of 2016 stood at 58.4%, even though in international comparison this level is still under the OECD average of 63.6% (Statistics Korea, 2018a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Statistics Korea, 2018a
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Especially the 18/19-29 year olds seem to renounce their potential political position in both Japan and Korea.
“With regard to political influence of age groups, especially the 18/19-29 year olds seem to renounce their potential position in both countries.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
Korea's 2018 budget saw a 13.7% increase in financial support for child-rearing, family and women compared with 2017.
“The 2018 budget saw a 13.7% increase in financial support for child-rearing, family and women in comparison with 2017.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Older citizens' interests will increasingly affect policy decisions in Korea.
“As a logical consequence, older citizens' interests will increasingly affect policy decisions (cf.Kim, 2004).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Kim, 2004
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
In Korea, a set of support measures was created to address marriage, childbirth and childcare.
“In addition, a set of support measures was created to address marriage, childbirth and childcare.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The political influence of younger voters in Japan and Korea is even smaller than in many European countries because of the absence or weakness of civil society organizations and other non-party actors that can function as stakeholders.
“What makes their political influence even smaller than in many European countries is the absence or weakness of civil society organizations and other non-party actors that can function as stakeholders such as welfare organizations, labour unions or socially active religious organizations.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisenone given
More decisive factors regarding voting outcomes in Korea are related to the regional distribution of voters.
“Still, more decisive factors regarding voting outcomes in Korea are related to the regional distribution of voters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In Korea, recent calculations estimate an average amount close to Kwn 400 million to raise an infant up to around age 20.
“In Korea, recent calculations estimate an average amount of close to Kwn 400 million to raise an infant up to the age of around 20 years (Chi & Yu, 2017;Song, 2018).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Chi & Yu, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Song, 2018
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisenone given
In Korea, there was a 20-fold leap from about 50,000 foreigners in 1990 to more than 2 million students, blue and white-collar workers, and wives in 2016.
“In Korea, there was a 20fold leap from about 50,000 foreigners in 1990 to more than 2 million students, blue and white-collar workers, and wivesfoot_7 in 2016.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
More Koreans tend to think crime rates increase because of immigrants, from 33.1% to 46.6%.
“Still, more and more Koreans tend to thinkfoot_10 that crime rates increase because of immigrants (33.1%→46.6%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Pak, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
More Koreans tend to think that immigrants steal the jobs of Koreans, from 23.6% to 29.7%.
“and that immigrants steal the jobs of Koreans (23.6%→29.7%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Pak, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Fewer Koreans think that through immigrants new ideas and culture will be introduced, from 28.6% to 22.4%.
“and that through them new ideas and culture will be introduced (28.6%→22.4%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Pak, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisenone given
Various factors keep governments in Japan and Korea from simply allowing the needed labour force to immigrate.
“Like in other advanced economies, however, there are various factors that keep governments from simply allowing the needed labour force to immigrate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
A major share of foreign spouses in Korea (about 72% in 2016) is female.
“A major share of the foreign spouses (about 72% in 2016) is female (KOSIS).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites KOSIS
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisereasoning
Fewer Koreans think that the number of immigrants should be increased, from 25.4% to 15.6%.
“In line with that evaluation, less Koreans think that the number of immigrants should be increased (25.4%→15.6%).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Pak, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
With growing income and higher education levels, fewer Japanese and Koreans needed to accept physically demanding and dangerous jobs, resulting in labour shortage in the respective industries including agriculture.
“With growing income and higher education levels, fewer Japanese and Koreans needed to accept physically demanding and dangerous jobs, resulting in labour shortage in the respective industries including agriculture.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim - Premisecitation
More Koreans think the present number of immigrants should be maintained, from 38.4% to 58.7%.
“At the same time, people tend to think the present number of immigrants should be maintained (38.4%→58.7%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Pak, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Fewer Koreans think that immigrants help the economy, from 53.9% to 44.9%.
“Fewer Koreans think that immigrants help the economy (53.9%→44.9%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Pak, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
Insisting on care workers from Indonesia, Vietnam and the Philippines to pass the same national care examination as Japanese care workers in Japanese proved too much of a hurdle for the vast majority of those who tried.
“Insisting on care workers from these countries to pass the same national care examination as Japanese care workers in Japanese proved too much of a hurdle for the vast majority of those who tried (Hirano, 2017).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Hirano, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Giving care is constructed to be a female chore.
“Still, giving care is constructed to be a female chore.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Fewer Koreans think the number of immigrants should be decreased, from 36.2% to 25.7%.
“and even less think the number of immigrants should be decreased (36.2%→25.7%)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Pak, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisenone given
Relevant ministries in Japan fought for their respective (sometimes conflicting) agendas.
“The relevant ministries fought for their respective (sometimes conflicting) agendas.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Based on these programmes and labels, de facto labour immigration did not show in official statistics in Japan.
“Based on these programmes and labels (and similar to some Western democracies), the de facto labour immigration did not show in official statistics.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In late 2016, close to 20% of foreigners working in Japan belonged to the trainee programme.
“In fact, in late 2016, close to 20% of foreigners working in Japan belonged to the above-mentioned trainee programme.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Hennings & Mintz, 2018 source
- Premisecitation
In Japan, many voters have associated low-skilled labour immigration with potential social tensions, wealth gaps and a loss of public safety.
“In Japan, however, many voters have associated low-skilled labour immigration with potential social tensions, wealth gaps and a loss of public safety (Tajiri, 2017: 20).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Tajiri, 2017: 20
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationnone given
Japan has proven more restrictive in immigration than Korea.
“Japan has proven more restrictive in this field than Korea.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
Japan's 'educational visas' created a considerable increase in applications of potential language students who would rather work and not attend lessons.
“One such measure had been 'educational visas' that created a considerable increase in applications of potential language students who would rather work and not attend lessons.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Liu-Farrer
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisecitation
With East Asia having turned into a migration region in the 1980s, governments in both Japan and Korea seemed to have a new option to tackle their respective labour shortages.
“With East Asia having turned into a migration region in the 1980s (Chiavacci, 2014), governments in both countries seemed to have a new option to tackle their respective labour shortages.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Chiavacci, 2014
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Interpretationreasoning
Measures leading to results similar to immigration policies had been in place in Japan for years before 2016.
“even though measures leading to similar results had been in place for years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Premisecitation
In 2016, Prime Minister Abe declared in the Japanese Parliament that his LDP government was in no way thinking about immigration policies.
“In 2016, Prime Minister Abe had declared in the Japanese Parliament that his LDP government”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Tajiri, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- Premisenone given
Politicians closer to industry interests pushed pro-immigration initiatives in Japan.
“Politicians closer to industry interests, however, pushed pro-immigration initiatives.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
The negative perception of immigrants in Korea does not seem to translate into pressure for anti-immigration policies or such content in party platforms.
“However, this does not seem to translate into pressure for antiimmigration policies or such content in party platforms.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim - Interpretationreasoning
Less than demographic developments, labour-intensive industries in both Japan and Korea created pressure on governments to allow for immigration.
“Less than demographic developments, it was the labour-intensive industries in both countries that created pressure on governments to allow for immigration.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
- May combine two claims. 54
- Classified as probably not a substantial claim. 23
- The quote only partly states this claim. 1
May combine two claims.
Findingnone givenIn the 2017 Japanese General Election, overall voter turnout was 53.68%, 47.87% of 18 year olds and 33.25% of 19 year olds cast their ballot.
“In the 2017 General Election, when overall voter turnout reached 53.68%, 47.87% of the 18 year olds and 33.25% of the 19 year olds cast their ballot.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone givenThe number of foreign-born residents exercising their voting right in Korea is steadily increasing, but by 2020 it had not yet reached a level that would incentivize all political parties to address this group of voters in party platforms.
“Although the number of foreign-born residents exercising their voting right is steadily increasing, by 2020 it has not yet reached a level that would incentivize all political parties to address this group of voters in party platforms.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisereasoningKorea's population is still growing, although the looming stagnation has already become apparent.
“In comparison, Korea's population is still growing, although the looming stagnation has already become apparent.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationJapan's population began to shrink in 2011, resulting in almost two million fewer Japanese in 2019 than in 2010.
“Japan's population had already begun to shrink in 2011, which, in 2019, had resulted in almost two million fewer Japanese than in 2010 (COJ, 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites COJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Premisenone givenIn 2012, other major political parties in Korea started to incorporate related issues and policy plans into their programmes.
“and in 2012, other major political parties started to incorporate related issues and policy plans into their programmes.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimThe quote only partly states this claim.
PremisecitationJapan's old-age dependency ratio rose from about 43.5 in 1990 to 68.3 in 2019.
“While Japan's ratio, however, began its rise from there on until it reached 68.3 in 2019”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Worldbank, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationJapan and Korea are parliamentary democracies scoring similarly to European states on the Polity IV Project scale of country regimes.
“Japan and Korea are parliamentary democracies scoring similarly to European states, for example, on the Polity IV Project scale of country regimes (CSP, 2016).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites CSP, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe UN Population Division expects that negative growth rates in Japan and Korea will be similar around 2050, as will the age structures of both populations.
“That is why the UN Population Division expects that negative growth rates in Japan and Korea will be similar around 2050, as will the age structures of both populations.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites UNPD, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationOne part of an explanation for the age-turnout correlation could be that voting is a learned experience, meaning older voters are more likely to turn up at polling stations than younger ones.
“One part of an explanation could be that voting is a learned experience, which means that older voters are more likely to turn up at the polling stations than younger ones (cf.Goerres & Vanhuysse, 2012: 1).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Goerres & Vanhuysse, 2012: 1
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenKorea's population increased from 20 million to 42 million between 1949 and 1990, and by almost another ten million by 2017.
“After having experienced a twofold increase from 20 million to 42 million between 1949 (right after the Republic's establishment) and 1990, Korea's population had increased by almost another ten million by 2017.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationKorea became the first OECD country to fall below a total fertility rate of 1 in 2018 (0.97) and its TFR decreased further in 2019 (0.92).
“Korea not only became the first OECD country to fall below 1 in 2018 (0.97) but the country saw its TFR decrease even further in 2019 (0.92) (COJ, 2020: 10).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites COJ, 2020: 10
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premiseown dataIn Korea, cohorts between 20 and 59 are of roughly equal size and retirees make up a smaller portion of the population.
“In Korea, on the other hand, cohorts between 20 and 59 are of roughly equal size and retirees make up a smaller portion of the population (Fig. 2).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone givenPredictions for 2020 show a disproportionate middle-aged bulge in Korea with a simultaneous decrease in the youth population, a trend that will continue over the next twenty years.
“Predictions for 2020 demonstrate a disproportionate middle-aged bulge with a simultaneous decrease in the youth population-a trend that will continue over the next twenty years.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe share of elderly people in Korea is growing steadily and is expected to rise by a more than twofold increase over the next three decades.
“but growing steadily and expected to rise by a more than twofold increase predicted for the next three decades.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites UNPD, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationMost people in Japan and Korea live in urban areas (2019: Japan 91.7%, Korea 81.4%).
“most people live in urban areas (2019: Japan: 91.7%, Korea: 81.4%) (UNPD, 2020)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites UNPD, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenAs many studies showed, career options for mothers returning to the job market are drastically reduced, and many women work part-time and/or as irregulars with less social security and job protection than regular full-time employees.
“As many studies showed, career options are drastically reduced, and many women work part-time and/or as irregulars with less social security and job protection than regular full-time employees.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn Korea, one-parent families' child allowance was raised from Kwn 120,000 to Kwn 130,000 per month.
“In addition, one-parent families' child allowance was raised from Kwn 120,000 to Kwn 130,000 per month (Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018: 96).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018: 96
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn Korea, medical centres for childbirth were to be extended and an additional 150-450 public kindergarten facilities newly created.
“Moreover, not only were medical centres for childbirth to be extended, but also an additional 150-450 different public kindergarten facilities to be newly created (Ministry of Strategy and Finance Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018: 30).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018: 30
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationPrime Minister Abe Shinzô postponed the consumption tax increase from 8 to 10% two times (in 2014 and 2016), finally implementing it in October 2019, thus considerably increasing tax revenues.
“Prime Minister Abe Shinzô postponed the increase from 8 to 10% two times (in 2014and 2016, Klein & McLaughlin, 2018: 56-57), finally implementing it in October 2019, thus considerably increasing tax revenues (cf.MoFJ, 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Klein & McLaughlin, 2018: 56-57 source
- cites MoFJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn Korea, child-rearing allowances payment was increased so that a parent can receive 80% of her/his salary for the first three months of parental leave.
“Child-rearing allowances payment was increased so that a parent can receive 80% of her/his salary for the first three months of parental leave”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ministry of Strategy and Finance 2018: 66
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationWhile the public financial burden of demographic change is still comparatively small in Korea, Japanese governments have been looking for ways to fight an increasing gap in state budgets triggered by population ageing.
“While the public financial burden of demographic change is still comparatively small in Korea, Japanese governments have been looking for ways to fight an increasing gap in state budgets triggered by population ageing (MoFJ, 2017, see for a comparative analysis of Japan, Germany and Italy Sciubbba 2012).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites MoFJ, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Sciubbba 2012
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn Japan, Yen 35.9 trillion of the national budget for fiscal year 2020 was allocated to social security, complemented by Yen 84.4 trillion from insurance contributions and other sources to make a total social security budget of Yen 123.7 trillion.
“In Japan, Yen 35.9 trillion of the national budget for the fiscal year 2020 was allocated to social security.These resources complemented another Yen 84.4 trillion from insurance contributions and other sources to make up a total budget for social security of Yen 123.7 trillion.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites MoF, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn Korea, the majority of voters from their 20s to their 40s tend to vote liberal, while the majority of voters from their 50s upwards traditionally tend to vote conservative.
“Whereas the majority of voters from their 20s to their 40s tend to vote liberal, the majority of voters from their 50s upwards traditionally tend to vote conservative (cf.Shin, 2001: 172-179).”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Shin, 2001: 172-179 source
May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningWith tax increases being unpopular and Japan's industry pointing at the risk a tax increase could pose for the economy, the issue was often taken off the political agenda again.
“With tax increases being unpopular and Japan's industry continuously pointing at the risk a tax increase could pose for the country's economy, the issue was often taken off the political agenda again.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisenone givenThe DPJ hoped that giving more money to families would help them pay for education and thus encourage them to have more children.
“The DPJ hoped that giving more money to families would help them pay for education and thus encourage them to have more children.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone givenYounger voters in Japan and Korea are fewer in number but remain comparatively disinterested and unorganized in political matters.
“On the other end of the age distribution, however, younger voters are not only fewer in number but remain comparatively disinterested and unorganized in political matters.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn Japan, the state covered average long-term care costs per citizen aged 65-74 of Yen 14,000 annually, while for citizens 75 and older it was Yen 137,000.
“the state covered average costs per citizen in the age cohort 65-74 of Yen 14,000 annually for long-term care, while the same amount for citizens 75 and older amounted to Yen 137,000.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites MoFJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable).
InterpretationreasoningWith a growing share of senior citizens, the ability of pension and health systems to sustain a satisfying standard of living at low costs is of high political significance.
“Clearly, with a growing share of senior citizens, the ability of the pension and health systems to sustain a satisfying standard of living at low costs is of high political significance.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
Premisenone givenThe DPJ child allowance policy had only been implemented halfway when the LDP regained power and shelved the increase.
“In the end, the policy had only been implemented halfway when the LDP regained power and shelved the increase.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe largest increases among Korea's social welfare items were in employment at 30.4% and general social security by 35.9%.
“The largest increases among the social welfare items were in employment at 30.4% and general social security by 35.9% (Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018: 104).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ministry of Strategy and Finance, 2018: 104
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe social security budget consumed 34.9% of Japan's national budget in 2020, an increase from 17.5% in 1990.
“The social security budget consumed 34.9% of the national budget in 2020, an increase from 17.5% in 1990 (MoFJ, 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites MoFJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenRegional sentiments or regionalism has been a pervasive factor in Korean elections since the late 1980s and still is one of the major factors deciding elections.
“Regional sentiments or regionalism has been a pervasive factor in elections since the late 1980s and still is one of the major factors deciding elections.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningBy dedicating consumption tax revenue to lowering education costs, Abe addressed an important issue that has kept young adults in both Japan and Korea from having more children.
“By doing so, he addressed an important issue that has kept young adults (in both countries) from having (more) children.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim- Rests on an assumption: The financial burden of an education system that promises better jobs mostly to those who attend expensive private schools and universities works as an impediment for young couples in Japan and Korea.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationA bonus system for fathers took effect in Korea as of July 2018, amounting to up to Kwn 2 million.
“and a bonus system for fathers took effect as of July 2018 which amounts to a sum of up to Kwn 2 million (Ministry of Strategy and Finance 2018: 66).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Ministry of Strategy and Finance 2018: 66
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationKorea increased its budget for social welfare from Kwn 129.5 trillion to Kwn 146.2 trillion, about one-third (34.1%) of the total 2018 budget of Kwn 429 trillion, an increase of 12.9%.
“Korea, too, increased its budget for social welfare from Kwn 129.5 trillion to Kwn 146.2 trillion, which is about one-third (34.1%) of the total 2018 budget of Kwn 429 trillion, and amounts to an increase of 12.9% in budget.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites No, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premiseown dataThe M-shaped curve phenomenon can be observed in both Japan and Korea, although the labour force participation rate of Japanese women is considerably higher than that of Korean females.
“This phenomenon can be observed in both countries, although the labour force participation rate of Japanese women is considerably higher than that of Korean females.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenIn Korea, public housing for newly wedded couples was to be increased by 30,000 households and favourable options provided for purchasing or renting houses or taking out loans.
“Public housing for newly wedded couples was to be increased by 30,000 households and favourable options to be provided when purchasing or renting houses or when taking out loans.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationJapan's social security expenditure reached 23.6% of GDP in 2017, similar to many European countries with considerably higher tax revenues.
“Japan's expenditure, however, reached 23.6% of the country's GDP, similar to many European countries with considerably higher tax revenues (MoFJ, 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites MoFJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationEducating children in Korea and Japan is an economic burden and produces an 'educational spiral' that has an increasingly negative effect on fertility.
“Educating children in Korea and Japan is an economic burden and, as Holthus and Klein (2010) suggest, produces an 'educational spiral' that has an increasingly negative effect on fertility.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Holthus and Klein (2010)
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn 2017, 82.1% of Japanese women aged 25-29 were employed; for 30-34 and 35-39 the share does not decrease further than 75.2% and 73.4%, respectively, returning to 79.4% for 45-49 year olds.
“In 2017, 82.1% of Japanese women of the age cohort 25-29 were employed.For the next two cohorts (30-34 and 35-39), the share does not decrease further than 75.2% and 73.4%, respectively, returning to 79.4% for the 45-49 year old (GoJ, 2020).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites GoJ, 2020
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisereasoningIn both Japan and Korea, measures directly related to pregnancy, birth, childcare and other forms of child support have been discussed and sometimes implemented.
“In both countries, measures directly related to pregnancy, birth, childcare and other forms of child support have been discussed and sometimes implemented.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based). May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenPeople living in the south-eastern region of Yȏngnam tend to vote conservatively while those who reside in the south-western region of Honam vote liberally.
“People living in the south-eastern region of Yȏngnam tend to vote conservatively while those who reside in the south-western region of Honam vote liberally.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premisenone givenKorea's general gross government debt in 2017 stood at 39.6% of GDP while Japan's state debt was 250.4%, the highest figure among all OECD countries.
“In addition, Korea's general gross government debt in 2017 stood at 39.6% of the country's GDP while Japanese governments had driven their state debt to 250.4%, by far the highest figure among all OECD countries.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenIn public policy fields of social welfare, political parties immediately feel negative reactions of voters to measures that reduce social welfare benefits or raise costs like co-payments.
“It is in these public policy fields that political parties immediately feel negative reactions of voters to measures that reduce social welfare benefits or raise costs like co-payments.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningPolitical reactions to demographic change are crucial and complex, but because consequences of demographic change develop incrementally, political decision makers can easily be tempted to procrastinate and postpone the search for appropriate policies into the future.
“In offering an overview and comparison of Japan and Korea, this chapter has added evidence that political reactions to demographic change are crucial and complex but because consequences of demographic change develop incrementally, political decision makers can easily be tempted to procrastinate and postpone the search for appropriate policies into the future.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe attitude of Koreans is not necessarily in principle against immigrants as such, but against 'too many'-a phenomenon that can be observed in many other countries as well.
“which makes clear that the attitude is not necessarily in principle against immigrants as such, but against 'too many'-a phenomenon that can be observed in many other countries as well.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAltogether, 2.3 million foreigners are registered as living in Korea, a share of 4.5% of the country's total population.
“Altogether, 2.3 million foreigners are registered as living in Korea, a share of 4.5% of the country's total population (KOSIS).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites KOSIS
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationMarriage immigration to Korea grew from almost 5,000 marriages in 1990 to more than 20,000 marriages in 2016, with wives mostly from China and Vietnam, and husbands from China or the US.
“Yet another increase in the influx of foreigners was due to marriage immigration that also began to take off in the beginning of the 2000s, only to grow from almost 5,000 marriages in 1990 to more than 20,000 marriages in 2016 (KOSIS) with wives coming mostly from China and Vietnam, and husbands from China or the US.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites KOSIS
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningBy 2020, Japan had not developed any kind of (social) integration policy but continued to open its doors to immigration.
“As a result, by 2020, Japan had not developed any kind of (social) integration policy but continued to open its doors to immigration.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
Premiseown dataBoth Japan and Korea have seen a steady increase in foreign-born immigrants and mixed (multicultural) families since 1990, albeit to different degrees.
“Both countries have seen a steady increase in foreign-born immigrants and mixed (multicultural) families since 1990, albeit to different degrees.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe perception of Korean residents about immigrants is increasingly negative, though the degree is not dramatic yet.
“The perception of Korean residents about immigrants is increasingly negative though the degree is not dramatic, yet.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Choi & Lee, 2016 source
- cites Kim & Kim, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Yoon, 2016
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationAnother 20% of foreigners working in Japan in late 2016 were students who were allowed to work up to 27 hours per week and since the late 1980s increasingly filled positions in restaurants, shops and services.
“Another 20% were students who were allowed to work up to 27 hours per week and since the late 1980s increasingly filled positions in restaurants, shops and services (Hennings & Mintz, 2018).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Hennings & Mintz, 2018 source
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe Korean government evaluates immigrants as a determinant to the creation of new jobs and innovation in society and thus plans to invite more talented foreigners to contribute to the economy.
“The government evaluates immigrants as a determinant to the creation of new jobs and innovation in society and thus plans to invite more talented foreigners to contribute to the economy (Immigration Policy Committee, 2012: 18).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Immigration Policy Committee, 2012
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing).
InterpretationreasoningGiven demographic development and budget restraints, immigration of younger working populations seems like a promising alternative solution to the challenges faced by both societies.
“Given the demographic development and budget restraints described so far, the immigration of younger working populations seems like a promising alternative solution to the challenges faced by both societies.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningThe negative perception pressures political parties and the government to develop policies to alleviate related issues, which is why political parties have recently become increasingly interested in the issue of immigration and multicultural society.
“Rather, it pressures political parties and the government to develop policies to alleviate related issues, which is why political parties have recently become increasingly interested in the issue of immigration and multicultural society.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationLiu-Farrer referred to educational visas as 'disguised labor migration'.
“Liu-Farrer referred to this as”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Liu-Farrer
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningPressure to act is clearly increasing due to labour shortages and a rapidly ageing and shrinking society-a trajectory Japan has been on for decades and Korea has entered with considerable speed.
“Pressure to act, however, is clearly increasing due to labour shortages and a rapidly ageing and shrinking society-a trajectory that Japan has been on for decades and Korea has entered with considerable speed.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn general, Koreans have become more reserved in their attitudes towards an increasingly multicultural society, which also has negative repercussions for the adaptation of immigrants.
“In general, Koreans have become more reserved in their attitudes towards an increasingly multicultural society, which also has negative repercussions for the adaptation of immigrants (Choi & Lee, 2016;Kim & Kim, 2017;Yoon, 2016).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 3 sources checked- cites Choi & Lee, 2016 source
- cites Kim & Kim, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Yoon, 2016
Probably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing). May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe U.S. State Department in 2016 stated that the technical intern trainees programme 'has effectively become a guest-worker program' with many interns 'placed in jobs that do not teach or develop technical skills'.
“The wide-spread abuse of this programme, however, led even the U.S. State Department in 2016 to state in its 'Trafficking in Persons Report' that the programme”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Iwamoto, 2016
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenOne major factor keeping governments from allowing needed labour immigration is that ruling parties assume there is little enthusiasm among voters for substantial labour immigration from abroad, resulting in 'stealth policies' that open doors for mostly temporary foreign-born workers under labels such as 'internship programs'.
“One major factor is that while highly qualified workers are usually welcome in specified sectors, the ruling parties assume there is little enthusiasm among voters for substantial labour immigration from abroad, resulting in 'stealth policies' that open doors for (mostly) temporary foreign-born workers under the label of, for example, 'internship programs'.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claim- The authors state this as an assumption: Ruling parties in Japan and Korea assume there is little enthusiasm among voters for substantial labour immigration from abroad.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationIn Japan, the number of registered foreigners more than doubled between 1990 and 2015 from one to more than two million, equal to 1.78% of Japan's total population.
“In Japan, the number of registered foreigners more than doubled between 1990 and 2015 from one to more than two million, equal to a share of 1.78% of Japan's total population (IPSS, 2017a).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites IPSS, 2017a
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisecitationThe current Basic Plan for Multicultural Families Policy in Korea stretches from 2018 to 2022 and envisages that state agencies assist not only in bride recruitment and family formation, but also in integration and family stability, raising the next generation, and integration into the formal labour market.
“The current Basic Plan stretches from 2018 to 2022 and envisages that state agencies assist not only in bride recruitment and family formation, but also in integration and family stability, raising the next generation, and integration into the formal labour market (Ministry of Gender Equality and Family, 2018: 10-12; cf.Kim & Kilkey, 2017: 7-10).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checked- cites Ministry of Gender Equality and Family, 2018
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
- cites Kim & Kilkey, 2017
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
InterpretationreasoningWhile demand for foreign workers is expressed by labour-intensive industries in both countries, governments are also facing unwillingness of large parts of the population to allow (more or 'too much') immigration.
“While the demand for foreign workers is expressed by labour-intensive industries in both countries, governments are also facing an unwillingness of large parts of the population to allow (more or 'too much') immigration.”
Quote in the paperSubstantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S2 (checkable), S3 (load-bearing), S4 (based).
Interpretationnone givenFor the time being, pointing at the experience of other democracies with large-scale immigration seems to suffice to leave the narrative of labour immigration as a threat to social peace as it is in Japan.
“For the time being, pointing at the experience of other democracies with large-scale immigration seems to suffice to leave the narrative as it is.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationWork-life balance has been declared a political goal by governments in both Japan and Korea but remains unattainable to a large part for female and male employees.
“Work-life balance has been declared a political goal by governments in both countries but remains unattainable to a large part for female and male employees (for Japan, cf.Aronsson, 2014; for Korea cf.Park, 2019)”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 2 sources checkedMay combine two claims.
PremisecitationAccording to Hennings and Mintz (2018: 112), the size of Japan's foreign workforce has been continuously underestimated, mainly because the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare has published incomplete and flawed data.
“According to the count of Hennings and Mintz (2018: 112), the”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Hennings & Mintz, 2018 source
May combine two claims.
Premisenone givenIn both Japan and Korea, women are generally expected to take responsibility for raising their children and household work, even though numbers of housemen and spouses who take longer child-rearing leaves are slowly rising.
“In both countries, women are generally expected to take responsibility for raising their children and household work, even though numbers of housemen and spouses who take longer child-rearing leaves from work are slowly rising.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claimProbably not a substantial claim: may not pass S3 (load-bearing).
PremisecitationIn migration research, Japan and Korea belong to the group of 'new immigration countries'.
“In migration research, Japan and Korea belong to the group of 'new immigration countries' (Hollifield et al., 2014).”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim0 of 1 sources checked- cites Hollifield et al., 2014
Couldn’t be matched to a paper in Crossref, so it can’t be checked.
May combine two claims.
PremisereasoningThe political debate on immigration in Japan over the last three decades has been characterized by phases of different intensities and a number of different policy approaches, most of which resulted in backdoor immigration as a compromise, while the issue was mostly ignored in the public debate.
“Consequently, the political debate on immigration over the last three decades has been characterized by phases of different intensities and a number of different policy approaches, most of which resulted in backdoor immigration as a compromise, while the issue was mostly ignored in the public debate.”
Quote in the paperNot a substantial claim
The authors state this as an assumption.
Ruling parties in Japan and Korea assume there is little enthusiasm among voters for substantial labour immigration from abroad.
“the ruling parties assume there is little enthusiasm among voters for substantial labour immigration from abroad”
The paper relies on this without support.
The financial burden of an education system that promises better jobs mostly to those who attend expensive private schools and universities works as an impediment for young couples in Japan and Korea.
“Surveys reliably show that the financial burden of an education system that promises better jobs mostly to those who attend expensive private schools and universities works as impediment for young couples.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The share of foreign-born citizens in Japan and Korea is still much lower than in European and Anglo-Saxon democracies.
“With the share of foreign-born citizens still much lower than in European and Anglo-Saxon democracies”
The paper relies on this without support.
Many in Japan and Korea look at social developments in the West and conclude that their country would be better off pursuing different approaches to counter labour shortages and an ageing society.
“many in Japan and Korea look at social developments in the West and conclude that their country would be better off pursuing different approaches to counter labour shortages and an ageing society.”
The paper relies on this without support.
The political systems of Japan and Korea do not feature xenophobic, populist parties.
“So far, and in contrast to many democracies in Europe, the political systems of Japan and Korea do not feature such parties.”
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
Japanese social-security funding sources do not add to the stated total
MinorThe stated ¥35.9 trillion from the national budget and ¥84.4 trillion from other sources add to ¥120.3 trillion, not ¥123.7 trillion.
Reported 123.7 · recomputed 120.3
“In Japan, Yen 35.9 trillion of the national budget for the fiscal year 2020 was allocated to social security.These resources complemented another Yen 84.4 trillion from insurance contributions and other sources to make up a total budget for social security of Yen 123.7 trillion.”
Korean foreign-resident growth is understated as twentyfold
MinorAn increase from about 50,000 to more than 2 million is more than fortyfold, not twentyfold.
Reported 20 · recomputed 40
“In Korea, there was a 20fold leap from about 50,000 foreigners in 1990 to more than 2 million students, blue and white-collar workers, and wivesfoot_7 in 2016.”
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“…highest life expectancy, Japan is already experiencing population shrinking, facing the challenges associated to labour shortages and the growth of expenditures in the fields of pensions, health and long-term care to sustain satisfying standards of living (Klein & Mosler, 2021, pp. 196–197, 212).”
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- Authors
- Klein, A., & Mosler, H.
- Affiliations
- University of Duisburg-Essen (DE)
- Corresponding author
- Klein, Axel
- Venue
- Global Political Demography
- Publisher
- Springer International Publishing
- Published
- 2021
- Pages
- 195-217
- OpenAlex
- W3195725331
- Cited by
- 8
- References
- 29
- Citations by year
- 2026: 2 · 2025: 1 · 2024: 4 · 2023: 1
- FWCI
- 11.83
- Type
- book chapter
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Springer eBooks (publishedVersion, cc-by-nc)
- Universitätsbibliographie, Universität Duisburg-Essen (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Social and Demographic Issues in Germany
- Health Sciences › Health Professions › General Health Professions › Aging, Elder Care, and Social Issues
- Keywords
- aging, population aging, East Asian democracies, South Korea, Japan, demographic change, immigration policy, political institutions
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Claims read by deepseek-v4.1-flash under definition version 3 (extract-v3) on 2026-10-06.
Classified by jev-1.13-20260917 (gold-guideline-v0.2) on 2026-10-06.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
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