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Cited by 118Historical Economic and Social StudiesInsurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk ManagementChinese history and philosophy

Famine, revolt, and the dynastic cycle: Population dynamics in historic China

Chu, C. Y. Cyrus, Lee, Ronald D.·1994·Journal of Population Economics
DOI 10.1007/bf00161472
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Abstract

"Historians have long noticed that population declines in ancient China often coincided with dynasty changes, and that most of these declines were the result of internecine wars which, in turn, were often initiated by famine or density pressure. Since the interactions between density pressure, internecine wars, and dynasty changes cannot be explained by the traditional age-specific density-dependent population structure, we propose to use a bandit/peasant/ruler occupation-specific population model to interpret the dynamic socio-economic transitions of ancient Chinese population, and provide econometric support to our model. We also highlight the rich dynamics of the composition of human population, a factor which was often neglected in previous research on general populations."

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Crossref · 10.1007/bf00161472

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  • When floods, droughts, or harvest failure occurred because of the global cooling, rulers in different places made different choices based on their cultures and social conditions.

    “When floods, droughts, or harvest failure occurred because of the global cooling, rulers in different places made different choices based on their cultures and social conditions.103”

    From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [103]

  • Climate plays a critical role in human history.

    “while climate plays a critical role in human history”

    From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [103]

  • Work by Geoffrey Parker shows that while the impact of the Little Ice Age was mostly similar throughout the world in the 17th century, not all places experienced such negative consequences as war or social unrest.

    “Work by Geoffrey Parker shows that while the impact of the Little Ice Age was mostly similar throughout the world in the 17th century, not all places experienced such negative consequences as war or social unrest.”

    From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [103]

  • People in different places made different choices based on their cultures and social conditions.

    “in different places made different choices based on their cultures and social conditions.103”

    From Climate change and Chinese history: a review of trends, topics, and methods (2015) · cites this paper as [103]

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Authors
Chu, C. Y. C., & Lee, R. D.
Affiliations
  • National Taiwan University (TW)
  • University of California, Berkeley (US)
ORCID
Venue
Journal of Population Economics
Publisher
Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Published
1994-11
Volume
7
Issue
4
Pages
351-378
ISSN
  • 0933-1433 (ISSN-L)
  • 1432-1475
DOI
10.1007/bf00161472
OpenAlex
W2082629934
Cited by
118
References
39
Citations by year
2026: 1 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 7 · 2022: 3 · 2021: 2 · 2020: 3 · 2019: 2 · 2018: 3 · 2017: 2 · 2016: 4 · 2015: 5 · 2014: 10 · 2013: 3 · 2012: 4
FWCI
1.30
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
closed
Licence
www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
Locations
  • Journal of Population Economics (publishedVersion)
  • PubMed (publishedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Historical Economic and Social Studies
  • Social Sciences › Demography › Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
  • Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Chinese history and philosophy
Keywords
famine, rebellion, dynastic cycles, population decline, ancient China, demographic structure, socio-economic transition, population dynamics
MeSH terms
Asia, China, Conservation of Natural Resources, Demography, Developing Countries, Asia, Eastern, Geography, Models, Theoretical, Politics, Population, Population Density, Population Dynamics, Warfare

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