Statistical tests of models of DNA substitution
Abstract
Penny et al. have written that "The most fundamental criterion for a scientific method is that the data must, in principle, be able to reject the model. Hardly any [phylogenetic] tree-reconstruction methods meet this simple requirement." The ability to reject models is of such great importance because the results of all phylogenetic analyses depend on their underlying models--to have confidence in the inferences, it is necessary to have confidence in the models. In this paper, a test statistic suggested by Cox is employed to test the adequacy of some statistical models of DNA sequence evolution used in the phylogenetic inference method introduced by Felsenstein. Monte Carlo simulations are used to assess significance levels. The resulting statistical tests provide an objective and very general assessment of all the components of a DNA substitution model; more specific versions of the test are devised to test individual components of a model. In all cases, the new analyses have the additional advantage that values of phylogenetic parameters do not have to be assumed in order to perform the tests.
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An adequate modeling of the evolutionary process that generated the data is fundamental to the recovery of accurate phylogenies.
“An adequate modeling of the evolutionary process that generated the data is fundamental to the recovery of accurate phylogenies [16-20].”
From Improved Modeling of Compositional Heterogeneity Supports Sponges as Sister to All Other Animals (2017) · cites this paper as [16]
If the best-fitting model does not describe the evolutionary process that generated the data adequately, there can still be a high probability of recovering a tree with relationships representing systematic error.
“Yet, if the best-fitting model does not describe the evolutionary process that generated the data adequately, there can still be a high probability of recovering a tree with relationships representing systematic error [16-20].”
From Improved Modeling of Compositional Heterogeneity Supports Sponges as Sister to All Other Animals (2017) · cites this paper as [16]
Porifera-sister better represents the phylogenetic signal in the data.
“As phylogenetic methods are less likely to recover artifactual topologies when the models of evolution moreadequatelydescribethedata[16-20],weconcludethatPorifera-sister better represents the phylogenetic signal in the data.”
From Improved Modeling of Compositional Heterogeneity Supports Sponges as Sister to All Other Animals (2017) · cites this paper as [16]
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Molecular phylogenetics: state-of-the-art methods for looking into the past
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Hybridization and the Evolution of Reef Coral Diversity
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Improved Modeling of Compositional Heterogeneity Supports Sponges as Sister to All Other Animals
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Joint Bayesian Estimation of Alignment and Phylogeny
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On the Best Evolutionary Rate for Phylogenetic Analysis
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Estimating divergence dates from molecular sequences.
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RNA secondary structure: physical and computational aspects
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Are Guinea Pigs Rodents? The Importance of Adequate Models in Molecular Phylogenetics
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Models of Molecular Evolution and Phylogeny: Table 1.Preprint
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Assessing the Impact of Secondary Structure and Solvent Accessibility on Protein Evolution
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Self-citationIs the Felsenstein Zone a Fly Trap?
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Maximum Likelihood Trees from DNA Sequences: A Peculiar Statistical Estimation Problem
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Phylogeny and Divergence Times in Pinaceae: Evidence from Three Genomes
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Inferring the Rate and Time-Scale of Dengue Virus Evolution
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Phylogenetic relationships, historical biogeography and character evolution of fig-pollinating wasps
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SpedeSTEM: a rapid and accurate method for species delimitation
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Is your phylogeny informative? Measuring the power of comparative methods
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Shifts in Diversification Rate with the Origin of Angiosperms
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Approaches for Assessing Phylogenetic Accuracy
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Detecting Amino Acid Sites Under Positive Selection and Purifying Selection
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Bayesian Model Adequacy and Choice in Phylogenetics
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Asymmetric Sequence Divergence of Duplicate GenesPreprint
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A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF ASYMMETRIC MIGRATION EVENTS ACROSS A MARINE BIOGEOGRAPHIC BOUNDARY
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Success of Parsimony in the Four-Taxon Case: Long-Branch Repulsion by Likelihood in the Farris Zone
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How Robust Are "Isolation with Migration" Analyses to Violations of the IM Model? A Simulation Study
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GENE TREES, SPECIES TREES, AND SYSTEMATICS: A Cladistic Perspective
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Selection of Models of DNA Evolution with jModelTest
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Quantifying limits to detection of early warning for critical transitions
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On the use of nucleic acid sequences to infer early branchings in the tree of life.
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- Authors
- Goldman, N.
- Affiliations
- University of Cambridge (GB)
- Corresponding author
- Goldman, Nick
- ORCID
- Goldman, Nick
- Venue
- Journal of Molecular Evolution
- Published
- 1993-02
- Volume
- 36
- Issue
- 2
- Pages
- 182-198
- ISSN
- 0022-2844 (ISSN-L)
- 1432-1432
- OpenAlex
- W2162250327
- Cited by
- 736
- References
- 78
- Citations by year
- 2026: 5 · 2025: 5 · 2024: 7 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 7 · 2021: 11 · 2020: 16 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 9 · 2017: 11 · 2016: 5 · 2015: 10 · 2014: 33 · 2013: 16 · 2012: 22
- FWCI
- 5.02
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Journal of Molecular Evolution (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › Genomics and Phylogenetic Studies
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Molecular Biology › RNA and protein synthesis mechanisms
- Life Sciences › Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology › Genetics › Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
- Keywords
- model adequacy testing, phylogenetic inference, DNA sequence evolution, model rejection
- MeSH terms
- Animals, Base Sequence, DNA, Biological Evolution, Globins, Humans, Models, Genetic, Phylogeny, Primates, Pseudogenes, RNA, Statistics as Topic
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
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