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Intolerance of Uncertainty, Fear of Anxiety, and Adolescent Worry
Abstract
A 5 year, ten wave longitudinal study of 338 adolescents assessed the association between two forms of cognitive vulnerability (intolerance of uncertainty and fear of anxiety) and worry. Multilevel mediational analyses revealed a bidirectional and reciprocal relation between intolerance of uncertainty and worry in which change in one variable partially explained change in the other. Fear of anxiety and worry also showed evidence of a bidirectional relation, although change in fear of anxiety had a much weaker mediational effect on change in worry than vice versa. The findings show that relative to fear of anxiety, intolerance of uncertainty may play a greater role in the etiology of worry in adolescents.
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“Data also suggest that IU is a causal risk factor for high levels of worry and GAD. Experimental studies have shown that change in IU leads to corresponding changes in GAD symptoms (e.g., Grenier & Ladouceur, 2004), and a five-year longitudinal study found that IU predicts subsequent levels of worry during adolescence (Dugas et al., 2012).”
From Behavioral Experiments for Intolerance of Uncertainty: A Randomized Clinical Trial for Adults With Generalized Anxiety Disorder (2022) · cites this paper as Dugas et al., 2012
In the citing paper
“Data suggest that intolerance of uncertainty is a causal risk factor for high levels of worry and GAD and that it plays a key role in the etiology of GAD [39-43].”
In the citing paper
“Similarly, Dugas et al. (2012) found strong correlations between IU and worry over five years in adolescents.”
From Applicability of the intolerance of uncertainty model to Generalized Anxiety Disorder symptoms in young people (2021) · cites this paper as Dugas et al. (2012)
In the citing paper
“Such changes were not observed in the current study, probably due to the narrow age range recruited, with smaller numbers at its tails.”
From Applicability of the intolerance of uncertainty model to Generalized Anxiety Disorder symptoms in young people (2021) · cites this paper as Dugas et al. (2012)
In the citing paper
“a five-year longitudinal study found that IU predicts subsequent levels of worry during adolescence (Dugas et al., 2012).”
From Behavioral Experiments for Intolerance of Uncertainty: A Randomized Clinical Trial for Adults With Generalized Anxiety Disorder (2022) · cites this paper as Dugas et al., 2012
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Into the unknown: A review and synthesis of contemporary models involving uncertainty
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“In conclusion, intolerance of uncertainty is well established as an important construct in the development of affective symptoms (Calleo et al. 2010; Dugas et al. 2012; Whiting et al. 2014).”
BackgroundIntolerance of uncertainty, anxiety, and worry in children and adolescents: A meta-analysis
Osmanağaoğlu, N., Creswell, C., & Dodd, H. F. (2018) · Journal of Affective Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.jad.2017.07.035 · Cited by 177
“…used the Intolerance of Uncertainty Scale (IUS) which is a standardized adult measure to assess IU (Aloi & Segura-Garcia, 2016; Barahmand, 2008; Dugas et al., 2012; Krain et al., 2008; Krain et al., 2006; Laugesen et al., 2003; Morriss et al., 2014; Thielsch et al., 2015), six studies used the…”
InfluentialGu, Y., Gu, S., Lei, Y., & Li, H. (2020) · Neural Plasticity · doi:10.1155/2020/8866386 · Cited by 167
“Different from adult IU, child IU may be related to more internalizing problems ([45]).”
BackgroundStewart, J., Garrido, S., Hense, C., & McFerran, K. S. (2019) · Frontiers in Psychology · doi:10.3389/fpsyg.2019.01199 · Cited by 126
Wright, K. D., Lebell, M. A. N. A., & Carleton, R. N. (2016) · Journal of Anxiety Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.janxdis.2016.04.011 · Cited by 118
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Intolerance of Uncertainty Predicts Anxiety Outcomes Following CBT in Youth with ASD.
Keefer, A., Kreiser, N. L., Singh, V., Blakeley-Smith, A., Duncan, A., Johnson, C., Klinger, L., Meyer, A., Reaven, J., & Vasa, R. A. (2017) · Journal of Autism and Developmental Disorders · doi:10.1007/s10803-016-2852-z · Cited by 72
“, ‘‘uncertainty leads to negative outcomes’’) and exposure to uncertain situations have been demonstrated to reduce anxiety severity in TD adults and children (Buhr and Dugas 2009; Dugas et al. 2012; Ladouceur et al. 2000).”
BackgroundFactors Associated with Physician Tolerance of Uncertainty: an Observational Study
Begin, A. S., Hidrue, M., Lehrhoff, S., del Carmen, M. G., Armstrong, K., & Wasfy, J. H. (2022) · Journal of General Internal Medicine · doi:10.1007/s11606-021-06776-8 · Cited by 73
Factor structure of the intolerance of uncertainty scale for children
Cornacchio, D., Sanchez, A. L., Coxe, S., Roy, A., Pincus, D. B., Read, K. L., Holaway, R. M., Kendall, P. C., & Comer, J. S. (2018) · Journal of Anxiety Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.janxdis.2017.07.003 · Cited by 59
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“, the Intolerance of Uncertainty Scale, IUS [17]).”
BackgroundWilson, E. J., Abbott, M. J., & Norton, A. R. (2023) · Journal of Anxiety Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.janxdis.2023.102729 · Cited by 52
Worry as an adaptive avoidance strategy in healthy controls but not in pathological worriers.
Ottaviani, C., Borlimi, R., Brighetti, G., Caselli, G., Favaretto, E., Giardini, I., Marzocchi, C., Nucifora, V., Rebecchi, D., Ruggiero, G. M., et al. (2014) · International Journal of Psychophysiology · doi:10.1016/j.ijpsycho.2014.05.010 · Cited by 41
Ren, L., Wei, Z., Li, Y., Cui, L., Wang, Y., Wu, L., Wei, X., Peng, J., Li, K., Jin, Y., et al. (2021) · BMC Psychiatry · doi:10.1186/s12888-021-03455-0 · Cited by 50
Dobrakowski, P. P., Skalski‐Bednarz, S. B., Surżykiewicz, J., Muszyńska, J., & Konaszewski, K. (2021) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm10214865 · Cited by 45
“According to metacognitive models, negative beliefs concerning uncertainty cause difficulties in coping with situations that cause uncertainty, which may lead to excessive worrying and anxiety [92].”
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“Meanwhile, pregnant women with high IU usually adopt avoidance strategies to cope with stress, which failed to improve the current situation (16, 26, 27).”
BackgroundIntolerance of uncertainty and adolescent sleep quality: The mediating role of worry
Lin, R.-M., Xie, S.-S., Yan, Y.-W., & Yan, W.-J. (2017) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2016.12.025 · Cited by 37
“…0191-8869/© 2016 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Personality and Individual Differences j ourna l homepage: www.e lsev ie r .com/ locate /pa id cognitive component of anxiety (Dugas et al., 2012; Fialko et al., 2012).”
BackgroundMethodMetacognitions, intolerance of uncertainty and worry: An investigation in adolescents
Thielsch, C., Andor, T., & Ehring, T. W. (2014) · Personality and Individual Differences · doi:10.1016/j.paid.2014.10.004 · Cited by 38
The Co-occurrence of Pediatric Chronic Pain and Anxiety
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Intolerance of Uncertainty: A Temporary Experimental Induction Procedure
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“However, in three of the studies among adolescents, boys and girls did not differ in IU (Dugas et al., 2012; Laugesen et al., 2003; Wright et al., 2016).”
BackgroundRifkin, L. S., & Kendall, P. C. (2020) · Journal of Anxiety Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.janxdis.2020.102197 · Cited by 35
Sanchez, A. L., Cornacchio, D., Chou, T., Leyfer, O., Coxe, S., Pincus, D., & Comer, J. S. (2017) · Journal of Anxiety Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.janxdis.2016.11.006 · Cited by 36
“In a longitudinal study of adolescent anxiety Dugas et al. (2012) found that IU may play an etiologic role in the development of adolescent worry, and that IU and worry mutually influence one other across time.”
BackgroundRen, L., Yang, Z., Wang, Y., Cui, L.-B., Jin, Y., Ma, Z., Zhang, Q., Wu, Z., Wang, H.-N., & Yang, Q. (2020) · BMC Psychiatry · doi:10.1186/s12888-020-02849-w · Cited by 33
“Previous studies have disclosed bidirectional relationships between worry and IU and MW in which a change in one variable partially explained the change in another variable [24, 86].”
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“antecedent condition may be intolerance of uncertainty (Dugas et al., 2012).”
BackgroundFunctional connectivity of the anterior insula associated with intolerance of uncertainty in youth
DeSerisy, M., Musial, A., Comer, J. S., & Roy, A. K. (2020) · Cognitive Affective & Behavioral Neuroscience · doi:10.3758/s13415-020-00780-x · Cited by 29
“IU is an important transdiagnostic marker of risk for, and maintenance of, psychopathology among healthy youth (Boelen et al., 2010; Dugas et al., 2012; Laugesen, Dugas, & Bukowski, 2003; Osmanagaoglu, Creswell, & Dodd, 2018).”
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“Although an increasing body of empirical work has documented robust associations between IU and anxiety in child and adolescent populations (Comer et al. 2009; Read et al. 2013; Dugas et al. 2012; Fialko et al. 2012), no research has been conducted examining familial patterns”
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The effect of worrying on intolerance of uncertainty and positive and negative beliefs about worry
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Intolerance of uncertainty as a transdiagnostic vulnerability to anxiety disorders in youth
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“A growing body of evidence highlights the role of IU as a transdiagnostic risk factor that putatively underlies a wide range of anxiety disorders in youth (Boelenet al., 2010; Comer et al., 2009; Cornacchio et al., 2018; Correa et al., 2019; Dugas et al., 2012; Hawes et al., 2021; Mahoney & McEvoy, 2012; Osmanağaoğlu…”
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Well-Being and Generalized Anxiety in Japanese Undergraduates: A Prospective Cohort Study
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“The relationship between fear of anxiety and generalized anxiety symptoms was also revealed in a 5-year prospective cohort study (Dugas et al. 2012) and a laboratorybased manipulation of fear of anxiety led to corresponding changes in worry (Buhr and Dugas 2009).”
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“In this sense, the results of this study support the idea that there is a specific link between IU and anxiety (Dugas et al., 2012), as well as the transdiagnostic nature of this construct (Mahoney & McEvoy, 2012).”
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“Similarly, studies have identified both prospective and reciprocal relations between intolerance of uncertainty and worry over time (Dugas et al., 2012; Panarello & Bukowski, 2021), suggesting that intolerance of uncertainty may function as a risk factor for the development of worry during…”
BackgroundMarcotte-Beaumier, G., Bouchard, S., Gosselin, P., Langlois, F., Belleville, G., Marchand, A., & Dugas, M. J. (2021) · JMIR Mental Health · doi:10.2196/24541 · Cited by 11
“Data suggest that intolerance of uncertainty is a causal risk factor for high levels of worry and GAD and that it plays a key role in the etiology of GAD [39-43].”
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“Several studies have suggested no substantial variations in IU between boys and girls (Dugas et al., 2012; Laugesen et al., 2003; Wright et al., 2016).”
Does intolerance of uncertainty predict child generalised anxiety? A longitudinal study
Ryan, Z. J., Rayson, H., Morriss, J., & Dodd, H. F. (2025) · Journal of Anxiety Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.janxdis.2025.103004 · Cited by 8
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“In the first study, using a ten-wave, five-year cohort design, researchers found that IU and worry (the hallmark of generalized anxiety) shared a bidirectional and reciprocal relationship, exerting equal mutual influence over time [24].”
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“This is relevant, because from a developmental perspective, worry is known to increase and change with age [22, 45].”
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“Some research found that boys and girls did not differ in IU (Dugas et al., 2012; Laugesen et al., 2003; Wright et al., 2016), whereas other studies found that boys had higher IU due to local cultural influences (Barahmand, 2008).”
ResultSugiura, Y., & Sugiura, T. (2015) · Behaviour Research and Therapy · doi:10.1016/j.brat.2015.05.015 · Cited by 8
“Dugas, Laugesen, and Bukowski (2012) followed adolescents for 5 years and found a reciprocal relationship between intolerance of uncertainty and fear of anxiety on one hand, and worry on the other.”
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“, 2018) and that rates of anxiety and worry increase throughout adolescence (Dugas et al., 2012).”
BackgroundShipp, L., Leigh, E., Laverton, A., Percy, R., & Waite, P. (2025) · Child Psychiatry & Human Development · doi:10.1007/s10578-025-01809-3 · Cited by 10
“Elevated intolerance of uncertainty in adolescents with GAD aligns with existing research in community populations [30, 32, 34, 65] and further supports a role for this construct in clinical samples.”
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“Furthermore, although no differences were seen between ANX and HC youth in reaction times, intolerance of uncertainty is a known aspect of anxiety in adolescents [48], so it is possible that ANX youth processed these trials differentially.”
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Adolescent Worry Induction: An Experimental Laboratory Evaluation
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“…to evaluate worry, it is noteworthy that the existing youth worry literature has relied almost exclusively on self-report questionnaires (e.g., Dugas et al., 2012; Gosselin et al., 2007; Muris et al., 2002, Muris, Roelofs, Meesters, & Boomsma, 2004; Szabó, 2009), vignette presentation (e.g.,…”
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“Research on worry in adolescence showed that around this age concerns grow increasingly abstract, detailed, and related to temporally distant factors, thus proving that adolescents, much like adults, can suffer from concerns surrounding the future in general, in addition to those surrounding social evaluation or acade…”
BackgroundInfluentialLiu, Z., Zhang, H., Wang, N., Feng, Y., Liu, J., Wu, L., Liu, Z., Liu, X., Liang, L., Liu, J., et al. (2023) · Journal of Multidisciplinary Healthcare · doi:10.2147/jmdh.s421619 · Cited by 5
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O’Neal, C. W., Mallette, J. K., Lanier, A. R., Mancini, J. A., & Huebner, A. J. (2016) · Child & Family Social Work · doi:10.1111/cfs.12298 · Cited by 6
“2006) and become similar to adult worries (Dugas et al. 2012).”
BackgroundPan, J., Cai, X., Chen, L., Wu, L., Xia, J., & Lu, J. (2024) · BMJ Open · doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2024-087090 · Cited by 5
Lauriola, M., Malerba, A., Marini, M., Parisse, C., Prislei, L., Bottesi, G., & Livi, S. (2024) · Adolescents · doi:10.3390/adolescents4040040 · Cited by 4
“…instance, brief school-based interventions aimed at improving adolescents’ situational tolerance of uncertainty could serve as effective preventive strategies, especially for individuals with high trait IU, potentially reducing the risk of developing more severe or clinically significant distress.”
Liao, K. Y., & Wei, M. (2022) · The Counseling Psychologist · doi:10.1177/00110000221138803 · Cited by 5
“Therefore, individuals who use these maladaptive strategies may become less tolerant of uncertainty over time (Dugas et al., 2012).”
BackgroundLaposa, J. M., & Puccinelli, C. (2026) · Journal of Clinical Psychology · doi:10.1002/jclp.70081 · Cited by 3
Watts, R., Cossar, J., & Ferreira, N. (2021) · Mediterranean Journal of Clinical Psychology · doi:10.13129/2282-1619/mjcp-2978 · Cited by 3
“Independent of changes in relationships between variables, Dugas et al. (2012) reported worry and IU demonstrated U-shaped patterns of change over time in Canadian adolescents.”
BackgroundGuo, Q., Zhu, R., Zhou, H., Wang, D., & Zhang, X. (2025) · Journal of Anxiety Disorders · doi:10.1016/j.janxdis.2025.103048 · Cited by 3
White, R., Gatzke‐Kopp, L. M., Ryan, P. J., & Lydon‐Staley, D. M. (2018) · Developmental Psychobiology · doi:10.1002/dev.21785 · Cited by 3
Küçükaydın, M. A. (2021) · Advances in educational technologies and instructional design book series · doi:10.4018/978-1-7998-7275-7.ch017 · Cited by 3
Xie, S., Xiao, H., & Lin, R. (2023) · Frontiers in Psychiatry · doi:10.3389/fpsyt.2023.1086592 · Cited by 3
“(22) found that adolescent worry changed according to a curvilinear pattern.”
BackgroundWalter, Y. (2024) · Nature anthropology · doi:10.35534/natanthropol.2024.10001 · Cited by 5
Le traitement de l'anxiété généralisée : plus on en sait, moins on en fait.
Dugas, M. J. (2018) · Canadian Psychology / Psychologie Canadienne · doi:10.1037/cap0000144 · Cited by 2
Shukri, M. M., Armitage, C. J., Koon, C. S., & Tarmizi, N. N. (2024) · International Journal of Social Psychiatry · doi:10.1177/00207640241288686 · Cited by 2
“Despite substantial evidence linking financial stress to suicidal ideation (Almaghrebi, 2021; McCormick et al., 2017), some studies present inconsistent findings (Dugas et al., 2012; W. Lin et al., 2020).”
Beliefs, traits, and motivations underlying rumination
Borders, A. (2020) · Elsevier eBooks · doi:10.1016/b978-0-12-812545-8.00008-5 · Cited by 2
Sexton, K. A. (2011) · Spectrum Research Repository (Concordia University) · Cited by 1
Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Generalized Anxiety Disorder:
Dunkley, C. R., & Robichaud, M. (2021) · Evidence-Based Treatment for Anxiety Disorders and Depression · doi:10.1017/9781108355605.010 · Cited by 1
Belirsizliğe Tahammülsüzlüğün Açıklanmasında Benmerkezcilik ve Duygusal Zekânın Rolü Nedir?
Altun, F., ÖZYAZICI, Ö., ÖZGÖL, M., EYÜBOĞLU, S., ÖZAYDIN, B. B., & ÇOĞALAN, Y. (2022) · e-Kafkas Eğitim Araştırmaları Dergisi · doi:10.30900/kafkasegt.963549 · Cited by 1
CYBERCHONDRIA: ROLE OF POTENTIAL RISK FACTORS
Batool, I., & Batool, H. (2022) · Khyber Medical University Journal · doi:10.35845/kmuj.2022.22920 · Cited by 1
Kelso, K. C., & Grös, D. F. (2024) · Journal of Psychopathology and Behavioral Assessment · doi:10.1007/s10862-024-10157-w · Cited by 1
“Still, another study found that IU and worry exhibit a reciprocal relationship over time in adolescents (Dugas et al., 2012).”
Torpuş, K., Usta, G., Özbay, S. Ç., & Kanbay, Y. (2025) · Psychology Health & Medicine · doi:10.1080/13548506.2025.2564301 · Cited by 9
“When examining the results of studies that investigate the relationship between intolerance of uncertainty and fear (Buhr & Dugas, 2009; Carleton et al., 2013; Deacon & Abramowitz, 2006; Dugas et al., 2012; Millroth & Frey, 2021; Morriss et al., 2015; Nelson et al., 2015; Figure 4.”
Eryılmaz, A., Koçyiğit, B., & Huebner, E. S. (2026) · Current Psychology · doi:10.1007/s12144-026-09280-6 · Cited by 1
“The current study’s findings are consistent with previous empirical research (Dugas et al., 2012; Hazen et al., 2008; Ye et al., 2023) and theoretical frameworks suggesting that intolerance of uncertainty can undermine adaptive psychological functioning during adolescence, as reflected in lower…”
Uncertainty reduction as a candidate primary reinforcer: an evolutionary and neural account
Lincoln, A. (2026) · Academia Neuroscience and Brain Research · doi:10.20935/acadneurosci8451 · Cited by 1
Neural Mechanisms of Uncertainty Processing in Children with Autism Spectrum Disorders
Damiano, C. R. (2015) · Carolina Digital Repository (University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill) · doi:10.17615/m00e-f584 · Cited by 1
Spitzer, N. (2019) · Psychotherapie: Praxis · doi:10.1007/978-3-662-58790-4_5 · Cited by 1
Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Anxiety Disorders
(2021) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/9781108355605.003 · Cited by 1
Metadata
- Authors
- Dugas, M. J., Laugesen, N., & Bukowski, W. M.
- Affiliations
- Concordia University (CA)
- Corresponding author
- Dugas, Michel J.
- Venue
- Journal of Abnormal Child Psychology
- Published
- 2012-02-03
- Volume
- 40
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 863-870
- ISSN
- 0091-0627 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-2835
- OpenAlex
- W2049413286
- Cited by
- 127
- References
- 53
- Citations by year
- 2026: 14 · 2025: 11 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 12 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 10 · 2019: 9 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 3 · 2016: 14 · 2015: 3 · 2014: 2 · 2013: 2 · 2012: 2
- FWCI
- 3.86
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Licence
- www.springer.com/tdm (tdm)
- Locations
- Research on Child and Adolescent Psychopathology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Radboud Repository (Radboud University) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Health Canada
- Canadian Institutes of Health Research
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Experimental and Cognitive Psychology › Anxiety, Depression, Psychometrics, Treatment, Cognitive Processes
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › Child and Adolescent Psychosocial and Emotional Development
- Social Sciences › Psychology › Clinical Psychology › COVID-19 and Mental Health
- Keywords
- intolerance of uncertainty, adolescent worries, cognitive vulnerability, bidirectional relationship, mediation, anxiety disorders
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Anxiety, Cognition Disorders, Fear, Female, Humans, Longitudinal Studies, Male, Problem Solving, Psychiatric Status Rating Scales, Surveys and Questionnaires, Uncertainty
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