The DOI matches its Crossref record; 55 of the 55 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Climate variability and migration in the Philippines
Open accessAbstract
This study investigates the effects of climatic variations and extremes captured by variability in temperature, precipitation, and incidents of typhoons on aggregate inter-provincial migration within the Philippines using panel data. Our results indicate that a rise in temperature and to some extent increased typhoon activity increase outmigration, while precipitation does not have a consistent, significant effect. We also find that temperature and typhoons have significant negative effects on rice yields, a proxy for agricultural productivity, and generate more outmigration from provinces that are more agriculturally dependent and have a larger share of rural population. Finally, migration decisions of males, younger individuals, and those with higher levels of education are more sensitive to rising temperature and typhoons. We conclude that temperature increase and to some extent typhoon activities promote migration, potentially through their negative effect on crop yields. The migration responses of males, more educated, and younger individuals are more sensitive to these climatic impacts.
Overview
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Integrity signals
Registry
Cites
Statistics
Verification
Claims the paper makes
The claims and statistics of this paper haven’t been checked yet.
Run the check — free, no account needed. It reads the open-access text and checks the sources it cites.
Claims other papers make about this one
Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Similar evidence is found in other contexts, such as Mexico (see Jessoe, Manning, and Taylor, 2018 [49]; Nawrotzki, Riosmena, and Hunter, 2013 [50]), and the Philippines (see Bohra-Mishra et al. 2017 [51]).”
From A Systematic Review of International and Internal Climate-Induced Migration in Africa (2023) · cites this paper as Bohra-Mishra et al. 2017 [51]
The cited source says what the claim attributes to it.
In the citing paper
“Micro-level studies are important given that a significant share of the empirical evidence gathered so far is derived from aggregated levels of analysis, i.e., the country or provincial level (Bohra-Mishra et al., 2017; Chen & Mueller, 2019; Feng et al., 2010; Hoffmann et al., 2020; Missirian & Schlenker, 2017; Thiede et al., 2016), which bears the danger of ecological fallacy”
From Environmental shocks and migration among a climate-vulnerable population in Bangladesh (2025) · cites this paper as Bohra-Mishra et al., 2017
Self-check
Percentages, sums and reported differences re-computed from the paper’s own numbers.
The self-check needs the paper’s full text.
Citations
Cites
Nonlinear temperature effects indicate severe damages to U.S. crop yields under climate change
Schlenker, W., & Roberts, M. J. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0906865106 · Cited by 3,420
Rice yields decline with higher night temperature from global warming
Peng, S., Huang, J., SHEEHY, J. E., Laza, R. C., Visperas, R. M., Zhong, X., Centeno, G. S., Khush, G. S., & Cassman, K. G. (2004) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0403720101 · Cited by 2,440
Monfreda, C., Ramankutty, N., & Foley, J. A. (2008) · Global Biogeochemical Cycles · doi:10.1029/2007gb002947 · Cited by 1,895 · cited 1×
“For each grid cell, we identified its area under cultivation using a global, gridded dataset of year 2000 area harvested values from Monfreda et al. (2008).”
MethodRobust negative impacts of climate change on African agriculture
Schlenker, W., & Lobell, D. B. (2010) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/5/1/014010 · Cited by 1,492
What's Driving Mexico-U.S. Migration? A Theoretical, Empirical, and Policy Analysis
Massey, D. S., & Espinosa, K. E. (1997) · American Journal of Sociology · doi:10.1086/231037 · Cited by 1,264
Food Security and Food Production Systems
Change, I. P. O. C. (2015) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781107415379.012 · Cited by 1,096
On the use of statistical models to predict crop yield responses to climate change
Lobell, D. B., & Burke, M. (2010) · Agricultural and Forest Meteorology · doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2010.07.008 · Cited by 1,040
Warming increases the risk of civil war in Africa
Burke, M., Miguel, E. A., Satyanath, S., Dykema, J. A., & Lobell, D. B. (2009) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.0907998106 · Cited by 1,036
Hsiang, S. M. (2010) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1009510107 · Cited by 992
Insulin Staining of ES Cell Progeny from Insulin Uptake
Rajagopal, J., Anderson, W. J., Kume, S., Martinez, O. I., & Melton, D. A. (2003) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1077838 · Cited by 931
Research works printed but not linked: 4
- Collier, P., & Hoeffler, H. (2011). Migration and global environmental change: Quantitative analysis of determinants of international migration. UK: Government Office for Science.
- Deshingkar, P., & Natali, C. (2008). Internal migration chapter 7. In World migration 2008. Available via http://www10.iadb.org/intal/intalcdi/PE/2008/02382a09.pdf .
- Massey, D. S., Arango, J., Hugo, G., Kouaouci, A., Pellegrino, A., & Taylor, J. E. (1998). Worlds in motion: Understanding international migration at century’s end. Oxford: Oxford University Press.
- Tse, C. (2012). Do natural disasters lead to more migration? Evidence from Indonesia. Available via http://cream.conference-services.net/resources/952/3365/pdf/MGDNF2013_0075.pdf . Cited March 18, 2014.
Cited by
Sorted by citations
The impact of climate change on migration: A synthesis of recent empirical insights
Kaczan, D. J., & Orgill-Meyer, J. (2020) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02560-0 · Cited by 493
A meta-analysis of country-level studies on environmental change and migration
Hoffmann, R., Dimitrova, A., Muttarak, R., Crespo Cuaresma, J., & Peisker, J. (2020) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-020-0898-6 · Cited by 362
Climate-induced migration in the Global South: an in depth analysis
Almulhim, A. I., Alverio, G. N., Sharifi, A., Shaw, R., Huq, S., Mahmud, M. J., Ahmad, S., & Abubakar, I. R. (2024) · npj Climate Action · doi:10.1038/s44168-024-00133-1 · Cited by 164
Human mobility intentions in response to heat in urban South East Asia
Zander, K. K., Richerzhagen, C., & Garnett, S. T. (2019) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.03.004 · Cited by 100
Entwisle, B., Verdery, A. M., & Williams, N. E. (2020) · American Journal of Sociology · doi:10.1086/709463 · Cited by 84
Metadata
- Authors
- Bohra-Mishra, P., Oppenheimer, M., Cai, R., Feng, S., & Licker, R.
- Affiliations
- Princeton University (US)
- Environmental Defense Fund (US)
- Jinan University (CN)
- Corresponding author
- Bohra-Mishra, Pratikshya
- Oppenheimer, Michael
- Cai, Ruohong
- Feng, Shuaizhang
- Licker, Rachel
- Venue
- Population and Environment
- Published
- 2016-10-08
- Volume
- 38
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 286-308
- ISSN
- 0199-0039 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-7810
- PMC
- PMC5313594
- OpenAlex
- W2528355665
- Cited by
- 137
- References
- 55
- Citations by year
- 2026: 10 · 2025: 12 · 2024: 23 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 22 · 2021: 23 · 2020: 14 · 2019: 13 · 2018: 1 · 2017: 2
- FWCI
- 15.21
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- hybrid
- doi.org
- Locations
- Population and Environment (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed Central (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Climate Change, Adaptation, Migration
- Life Sciences › Agricultural and Biological Sciences › Agronomy and Crop Science › Climate change impacts on agriculture
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Migration and Labor Dynamics
- Keywords
- climate variability, climate-induced migration, interprovincial migration, emigration, temperature, precipitation, typhoons, rice yield, agricultural productivity, rural population, agricultural dependence, Philippines
About these checks
Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.
Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.
Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.
What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›
Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review
