Predictions put into practice: a quasi-experimental evaluation of Chicago’s predictive policing pilot
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Addressing partial interference mostly required consideration of how the same interventions and conditions could be applied consistently and uniformly within all treated and untreated groups.
“This mostly required consideration of how the same interventions and conditions could be applied consistently and uniformly within all treated and untreated groups (Ariel et al., 2019;Hunt et al., 2014;Saunders et al., 2016).”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
Predictive social network analyses were applied by Saunders et al. (2016) to identify individuals at a higher risk of gun violence.
“Predictive social network analyses were applied by Saunders et al. (2016) to identify individuals at a higher risk of gun violence.”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
Some included studies employed offender subject lists to identify or predict prolific offenders and gather intelligence to target resources effectively.
“Some studies employed offender subject lists to identify or predict prolific offenders and gather intelligence to target resources effectively (e.g., Groff et al., 2015;Saunders et al., 2016).”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
These messages gave strong warnings about the increased risks associated with offending or re-offending and were considered to be forms of focused and vicarious deterrence.
“These messages gave strong warnings about the increased risks associated with offending or re-offending and were considered to be forms of focused and vicarious deterrence (Ariel et al., 2019;Santos & Santos, 2016;Saunders et al., 2016).”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
There is a dearth of evidence on ILP's overall effectiveness.
“However, there are inherent challenges in evaluating ILP's effectiveness, as it encompasses a policing paradigm rather than a specific program or intervention, with the result that there is a dearth of evidence on its overall effectiveness (Ratcliffe, 2021;Saunders et al., 2016).”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
ILP encompasses a policing paradigm rather than a specific program or intervention.
“However, there are inherent challenges in evaluating ILP's effectiveness, as it encompasses a policing paradigm rather than a specific program or intervention, with the result that there is a dearth of evidence on its overall effectiveness (Ratcliffe, 2021;Saunders et al., 2016).”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
The review found one study that specifically applied the 3-i model to structure the evaluation of a person-based predictive policing model (Saunders et al., 2016).
“although we did find one study that specifically applied the 3-i model to structure the evaluation of a person-based predictive policing model (Saunders et al., 2016).”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
Deterrence mainly includes communicating deterrent messages of 'zero-tolerance' to deter potential future offenders.
“This mainly includes communicating deterrent messages of 'zero-tolerance' to deter potential future offenders (Ariel et al., 2019;Saunders et al., 2016).”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
Saunders et al. (2016) argued that there needs to be practical reasoning and guidance from police command staff to frontline officers on how to effectively employ intelligence in practice.
“In this context, Saunders et al. (2016), who conducted interviews with police officers on the use of tactical or strategic intelligence products, argued that there needs to be practical reasoning and guidance from police command staff to frontline officers on how to effectively employ intelligence in practice.”
From ‘Led by Intelligence': A Scoping Review on the Experimental Evaluation of Intelligence-Led Policing (2024) · cites this paper as Saunders et al., 2016
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- Authors
- Saunders, J., Hunt, P., & Hollywood, J. S.
- Affiliations
- RAND Corporation (US)
- Corresponding author
- Saunders, Jessica
- Venue
- Journal of Experimental Criminology
- Published
- 2016-08-12
- Volume
- 12
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 347-371
- ISSN
- 1572-8315 (ISSN-L)
- 1573-3750
- OpenAlex
- W2509791345
- Cited by
- 193
- References
- 85
- Citations by year
- 2026: 15 · 2025: 14 · 2024: 12 · 2023: 17 · 2022: 30 · 2021: 24 · 2020: 28 · 2019: 26 · 2018: 15 · 2017: 10 · 2016: 2
- FWCI
- 20.27
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Experimental Criminology (publishedVersion)
- Funders
- National Institute of Justice (US) (2009-IJ-CX-K114)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Health › Gun Ownership and Violence Research
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Policing Practices and Perceptions
- Social Sciences › Sociology and Political Science › Crime Patterns and Interventions
- Keywords
- predictive policing, gun violence, homicide, Chicago Police Department, Compstat, arrest rates, homicide prevention, police intervention
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