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Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Absence of Cirrhosis in United States Veterans Is Associated With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease
Open accessAbstract
Background & aims Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can develop in individuals without cirrhosis. We investigated risk factors for development of HCC in the absence of cirrhosis in a U.S.Methods We identified a national cohort of 1500 patients with verified HCC during 2005 to 2010 in the U.S. Veterans Administration (VA) and reviewed their full VA medical records for evidence of cirrhosis and risk factors for HCC. Patients without cirrhosis were assigned to categories of level 1 evidence for no cirrhosis (very high probability) or level 2 evidence for no cirrhosis (high probability), which were based on findings from histologic analyses, laboratory test results, markers of fibrosis from noninvasive tests, and imaging features.Results A total of 43 of the 1500 patients with HCC (2.9%) had level 1 evidence for no cirrhosis, and 151 (10.1%) had level 2 evidence for no cirrhosis; the remaining 1203 patients (80.1%) had confirmed cirrhosis. Compared with patients with HCC in presence of cirrhosis, greater proportions of patients with HCC without evidence of cirrhosis had metabolic syndrome, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), or no identifiable risk factors. Patients with HCC without evidence of cirrhosis were less likely to have abused alcohol or have hepatitis C virus infection than patients with cirrhosis. Patients with HCC and NAFLD (unadjusted odds ratio, 5.4; 95% confidence interval, 3.4-8.5) or metabolic syndrome (unadjusted odds ratio, 5.0; 95% confidence interval, 3.1-7.8) had more than 5-fold risk of having HCC in the absence of cirrhosis, compared with patients with HCV-related HCC.Conclusions Approximately 13% of patients with HCC in the VA system do not appear to have cirrhosis. NAFLD and metabolic syndrome are the main risk factors for HCC in the absence of cirrhosis.
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“In the same cohort, the risk of HCC in the absence of cirrhosis was 5-fold higher in individuals with MASLD than in those with chronic hepatitis C.”
From EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). (2024) · cites this paper as [123]
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“Although HCC may develop in non-cirrhotic MASLD, cirrhosis remains the key risk factor for HCC.”
From EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). (2024) · cites this paper as [123]
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“In a US Veterans Administration cohort 123 including 1,500 individuals with HCC from 2005 to 2010, metabolic syndrome was particularly prevalent in the subgroup who had no cirrhosis.”
From EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). (2024) · cites this paper as [123]
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“In two large studies in the Veterans Health Administration, 20% to 36% of non-cirrhotic NASH patients were diagnosed with HCC [5,6].”
BackgroundYang, T., Hu, L.-Y., Li, Z., Liu, K., Wu, H., Xing, H., Lau, W.-Y., Pawlik, T., Zeng, Y.-Y., Zhou, Y., et al. (2019) · Journal of Gastrointestinal Surgery · doi:10.1007/s11605-018-04071-2 · Cited by 43
Fouad, Y. M., Esmat, G., Elwakil, R., Zakaria, S., Yosry, A., Waked, I. A., El-Razky, M., Doss, W. H., El‐Serafy, M., Mostafa, E., et al. (2022) · Saudi Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_357_21 · Cited by 49
“Recommendations • Patients cured of HCV or having profound HBV virological suppression with MAFLD need monitoring because of the increased risk for progression to cirrhosis, development of HCC, as well as extrahepatic‑related complications.”
BackgroundInfluentialXu, Z., Hu, W., Wang, B., Xu, T., Wang, J., & Wei, D. (2022) · Yonsei Medical Journal · doi:10.3349/ymj.2022.63.7.619 · Cited by 47
“This increasing prevalence of NAFLD will be accompanied by an increasing number of patients with liver fibrosis, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma.(2,3) Although the global health and economic burden of NAFLD is inCanagliflozin Ameliorates Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease by Regulating Lipid Metabolism and Inhibi…”
BackgroundSamy, A. M., Kandeil, M. A., Sabry, D., Abdel-Ghany, A. A., & Mahmoud, M. O. (2024) · Heliyon · doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e30387 · Cited by 55
“%) of tumors arise before cirrhosis in people with NASH [109].”
BackgroundType 2 Diabetes and Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Risk Factors and Pathogenesis
Wainwright, P., Scorletti, E., & Byrne, C. D. (2017) · Current Diabetes Reports · doi:10.1007/s11892-017-0851-x · Cited by 41
Pal, P., Palui, R., & Ray, S. (2021) · World Journal of Hepatology · doi:10.4254/wjh.v13.i11.1584 · Cited by 51
NAFLD and Increased Aortic Stiffness: Parallel or Common Physiopathological Mechanisms?
Villela‐Nogueira, C. A., Leite, N. C., Cardoso, C. R. L., & Salles, G. F. (2016) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms17040460 · Cited by 45
“Type 2 diabetes mellitus, an increasingly prevalent disease worldwide, is currently regarded as one of NAFLD‘s main risk factors, and it correlates with the severest histological aspects of NAFLD, with a growing prevalence of hepatocellular carcinoma [6–9].”
BackgroundPhipps, M. M., Livanos, A. E., Guo, A., Pomenti, S. F., Yeh, J., Dakhoul, L., Burney, H. N., Kettler, C. D., Liu, H., Miller, E., et al. (2020) · The American Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.14309/ajg.0000000000000643 · Cited by 45
Consenso mexicano de la enfermedad por hígado graso no alcohólico
Bernal-Reyes, R., Castro‐Narro, G., Malé-Velázquez, R., Carmona-Sánchez, R., González-Huezo, M. S., García-Juárez, I., Chávez-Tapia, N. C., Aguilar-Salinas, C., Aiza-Haddad, I., Ballesteros-Amozurrutia, M. A., et al. (2019) · Revista de Gastroenterología de México · doi:10.1016/j.rgmx.2018.11.007 · Cited by 52
“Glucosa en ayunas, mg/dl, mediana (RIQ) 130 (100-181) 94 (87-113) < 0.”
Fouad, Y. M., Lazarus, J. V., Negro, F., Peck‐Radosavljevic, M., Sarin, S. K., Ferenci, P., Esmat, G., Ghazinian, H., Nakajima, A., Silva, M., et al. (2021) · Alimentary Pharmacology & Therapeutics · doi:10.1111/apt.16346 · Cited by 44
The role of microbiota in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease
Ciaula, A. D., Bonfrate, L., & Portincasa, P. (2022) · European Journal of Clinical Investigation · doi:10.1111/eci.13768 · Cited by 44
Carbone, F., Després, J., Ioannidis, J. P. A., Neeland, I. J., Garruti, G., Busetto, L., Liberale, L., Ministrini, S., Vilahur, G., Schindler, T. H., et al. (2025) · European Journal of Clinical Investigation · doi:10.1111/eci.70059 · Cited by 46
Pennisi, G., Enea, M., Romero‐Gomez, M., Viganò, M., Bugianesi, E., Wong, V. W. ‐., Fracanzani, A. L., Sebastiani, G., Boursier, J., Berzigotti, A., et al. (2022) · Alimentary Pharmacology & Therapeutics · doi:10.1111/apt.16763 · Cited by 43
“Notably, our data from F2 patients add further insights regarding the risk of developing HCC in patients with NASH but without cirrhosis,30-33 even if systematic screening in these patients cannot be suggested.34-36 A recent multicentre study18 used a competitive risks model to evaluate the…”
BackgroundShi, C., de Wit, S., Učambarlić, E., Markousis‐Mavrogenis, G., Screever, E. M., Meijers, W. C., de Boer, R. A., & Aboumsallem, J. P. (2023) · Cancers · doi:10.3390/cancers15030729 · Cited by 51
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease-related hepatocellular carcinoma
Daher, D., Dahan, K. S. E., & Singal, A. G. (2023) · Journal of Liver Cancer · doi:10.17998/jlc.2022.12.30 · Cited by 45
“Patients with NASH cirrhosis have an annual HCC incidence of 1-2%, although more than one-fourth of NASH-related HCC occur without underlying cirrhosis.(11,12) In fact, NASH is the leading cause of non-cirrhotic HCC.”
BackgroundCarcinoma hepatocelular: presente y futuro
Armengol, C., Sarrias, M., & Sala, M. (2017) · Medicina Clínica · doi:10.1016/j.medcli.2017.08.010 · Cited by 42
Patel, Y. A., Gifford, E. J., Glass, L. M., McNeil, R. B., Turner, M. J., Han, B., Provenzale, D., Choi, S. S., Moylan, C. A., & Hunt, C. M. (2017) · Alimentary Pharmacology & Therapeutics · doi:10.1111/apt.14411 · Cited by 42
“As the leading cause of chronic liver disease in the US, NAFLD is of increasing clinical concern in the VHA.3 In our national VHA study, we characterised NAFLD and identified risk factors for advanced fibrosis.”
BackgroundResultInfluentialTAZ-induced Cybb contributes to liver tumor formation in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis
Wang, X., Zeldin, S. M., Shi, H., Zhu, C., Saito, Y., Corey, K. E., Osganian, S. A., Remotti, H. E., Verna, E. C., Pajvani, U. B., et al. (2021) · Journal of Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.jhep.2021.11.031 · Cited by 41
Treatment Candidacy for Pharmacologic Therapies for NASH
Rowe, I. A., Wong, V. W.-S., & Loomba, R. (2022) · Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.cgh.2021.03.005 · Cited by 41
Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease
Sotiropoulou, M. G., Katsaros, I., Vailas, M. G., Lidoriki, I., Papatheodoridis, G., Kostomitsopoulos, N. G., Valsami, G. N., Tsaroucha, A. K., & Schizas, D. (2021) · Saudi Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.4103/sjg.sjg_249_21 · Cited by 43
“disease entity can occur at the onset of NASH even in the absence of cirrhosis.[9] Thus, NAFLD has an increasing economic and clinical burden worldwide.”
BackgroundLabeur, T. A., van Vugt, J. L. A., ten Cate, D. W. G., Takkenberg, R. B., IJzermans, J. N. M., Koerkamp, B. G., de Man, R. A., van Delden, O. M., Eskens, F. A. L. M., & Klümpen, H. (2018) · Liver Cancer · doi:10.1159/000493586 · Cited by 40
Dakhoul, L., Gawrieh, S., Jones, K. R., Ghabril, M., McShane, C., Orman, E. S., Vilar‐Gómez, E., Chalasani, N., & Nephew, L. D. (2018) · Hepatology Communications · doi:10.1002/hep4.1277 · Cited by 41
Yen, Y.-H., Cheng, Y.-F., Wang, J.-H., Lin, C.-C., & Wang, C.-C. (2021) · PLoS ONE · doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0244939 · Cited by 37
“defined NAFLD as the presence of metabolic syndrome [21].”
BackgroundMagnitude of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Western Perspective
Samji, N. S., Verma, R., & Satapathy, S. K. (2019) · Journal of Clinical and Experimental Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.jceh.2019.05.001 · Cited by 45
“health system in Texas, United States, involving 1500 patients showed a strong association of NASH without cirrhosis with hepatocellular carcinoma.(110)”
BackgroundShetty, A., & Syn, W. (2019) · Europe PMC (PubMed Central) · Cited by 40
Confounding factors of non-invasive tests for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease
Wai, J. W., Fu, C., & Wong, V. W. (2020) · Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.1007/s00535-020-01686-8 · Cited by 41
“Although hepatocellular carcinoma has been well reported in non-cirrhotic patients with NAFLD [59], cirrhosis remains one of the most important risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma [60, 61], and the absolute incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in the non-cirrhotic population is very low [62].”
BackgroundLupșor‐Platon, M., Serban, T., Silion, A. I., Tirpe, G. R., Tirpe, A., & Florea, M. (2021) · Cancers · doi:10.3390/cancers13040790 · Cited by 42
“[11] reported that NAFLD individuals are fivefold more likely to develop HCC without underlying cirrhosis, compared to patients suffering from other chronic liver diseases.”
Background
Metadata
- Authors
- Mittal, S., El-Serag, H. B., Sada, Y. H., Kanwal, F., Duan, Z., Temple, S., May, S. B., Kramer, J. R., Richardson, P. A., & Davila, J. A.
- Affiliations
- Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Mittal, Sahil
- Venue
- Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2016-01
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 124-131.e1
- ISSN
- 1542-3565 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4690789
- OpenAlex
- W1258381707
- Cited by
- 648
- References
- 34
- Citations by year
- 2026: 27 · 2025: 63 · 2024: 61 · 2023: 64 · 2022: 77 · 2021: 99 · 2020: 85 · 2019: 60 · 2018: 47 · 2017: 41 · 2016: 19
- FWCI
- 22.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Cancer Institute (R01CA160738)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment and Prognosis
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Liver physiology and pathology
- Keywords
- hepatocellular carcinoma, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, liver cirrhosis, metabolic syndrome, risk factors, veterans, hepatitis C virus, alcohol abuse, liver fibrosis markers
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, United States, Veterans, Cohort Studies, Metabolic Syndrome, Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease
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