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Hepatocellular Carcinoma in the Absence of Cirrhosis in United States Veterans Is Associated With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease
Open accessAbstract
Background & aims Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) can develop in individuals without cirrhosis. We investigated risk factors for development of HCC in the absence of cirrhosis in a U.S.Methods We identified a national cohort of 1500 patients with verified HCC during 2005 to 2010 in the U.S. Veterans Administration (VA) and reviewed their full VA medical records for evidence of cirrhosis and risk factors for HCC. Patients without cirrhosis were assigned to categories of level 1 evidence for no cirrhosis (very high probability) or level 2 evidence for no cirrhosis (high probability), which were based on findings from histologic analyses, laboratory test results, markers of fibrosis from noninvasive tests, and imaging features.Results A total of 43 of the 1500 patients with HCC (2.9%) had level 1 evidence for no cirrhosis, and 151 (10.1%) had level 2 evidence for no cirrhosis; the remaining 1203 patients (80.1%) had confirmed cirrhosis. Compared with patients with HCC in presence of cirrhosis, greater proportions of patients with HCC without evidence of cirrhosis had metabolic syndrome, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), or no identifiable risk factors. Patients with HCC without evidence of cirrhosis were less likely to have abused alcohol or have hepatitis C virus infection than patients with cirrhosis. Patients with HCC and NAFLD (unadjusted odds ratio, 5.4; 95% confidence interval, 3.4-8.5) or metabolic syndrome (unadjusted odds ratio, 5.0; 95% confidence interval, 3.1-7.8) had more than 5-fold risk of having HCC in the absence of cirrhosis, compared with patients with HCV-related HCC.Conclusions Approximately 13% of patients with HCC in the VA system do not appear to have cirrhosis. NAFLD and metabolic syndrome are the main risk factors for HCC in the absence of cirrhosis.
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“In the same cohort, the risk of HCC in the absence of cirrhosis was 5-fold higher in individuals with MASLD than in those with chronic hepatitis C.”
From EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). (2024) · cites this paper as [123]
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“Although HCC may develop in non-cirrhotic MASLD, cirrhosis remains the key risk factor for HCC.”
From EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). (2024) · cites this paper as [123]
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“In a US Veterans Administration cohort 123 including 1,500 individuals with HCC from 2005 to 2010, metabolic syndrome was particularly prevalent in the subgroup who had no cirrhosis.”
From EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). (2024) · cites this paper as [123]
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Phan, J., Ng, V., Sheinbaum, A. J., French, S., Choi, G., El-Kabany, M. M., Durazo, F. A., Saab, S., Tong, M. J., Busuttil, R. W., et al. (2018) · Journal of Clinical Gastroenterology · doi:10.1097/mcg.0000000000001062 · Cited by 25
Yuan, X., Zhu, H., Pan, H., Chen, S., Liu, Z., Li, Y., Wang, L., Lü, L., Yang, H., & Gong, F. (2019) · World Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.3748/wjg.v25.i14.1741 · Cited by 25
Zhuge, B., & Li, G. (2017) · Biochemical and Biophysical Research Communications · doi:10.1016/j.bbrc.2017.10.149 · Cited by 25
Orabi, D., Berger, N. A., & Brown, J. M. (2021) · Cancers · doi:10.3390/cancers13143473 · Cited by 25
“related HCC often develops in the absence of cirrhosis [4,23,71,72], though this is unclear and may vary by population [20,70,73].”
BackgroundYilma, M., Saxena, V., & Mehta, N. J. (2022) · Current Gastroenterology Reports · doi:10.1007/s11894-022-00835-8 · Cited by 24
MAFLD in adults: non-invasive tests for diagnosis and monitoring of MAFLD
Chan, W., Wong, V. W., Adams, L. A., & Nguyen, M. H. (2024) · Hepatology International · doi:10.1007/s12072-024-10661-x · Cited by 24
“One distinct difference is that HCC in those with MAFLD can develop without the presence of cirrhosis [69].”
Changing Epidemiology of HCC: How to Screen and Identify Patients at Risk?
Lange, N. F., & Dufour, J. (2019) · Digestive Diseases and Sciences · doi:10.1007/s10620-019-05515-8 · Cited by 20
Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in non-obese individuals
Phipps, M. M., & Wattacheril, J. J. (2019) · Frontline Gastroenterology · doi:10.1136/flgastro-2018-101119 · Cited by 24
NAFLD-Related HCC: Focus on the Latest Relevant Preclinical Models
Fang, J., Celton‐Morizur, S., & Desdouets, C. (2023) · Cancers · doi:10.3390/cancers15143723 · Cited by 25
Nevola, R., Rinaldi, L., Giordano, M., Marrone, A., & Adinolfi, L. (2018) · Hepatoma Research · doi:10.20517/2394-5079.2018.38 · Cited by 25
“The IR, the cornerstone of the metabolic syndrome, is able to induce the onset of HCC by increasing the release of free fatty acids from the adipose tissue and subsequent accumulation in the hepatocytes on one hand and inducing the formation of ROS and subsequent oxidative stress with mitochondrial damage and endoplas…”
BackgroundResultInfluentialSmad3 Phospho-Isoform Signaling in Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis
Yamaguchi, T., Yoshida, K., Murata, M., Suwa, K., Tsuneyama, K., Matsuzaki, K., & Naganuma, M. (2022) · International Journal of Molecular Sciences · doi:10.3390/ijms23116270 · Cited by 25
“of hepatic fibrosis [40,41], with 20% to 50% of NAFLD-related HCC occurring in patients”
BackgroundPathogenesis from Inflammation to Cancer in NASH-Derived HCC
Yu, S., Wang, J., Zheng, H., Wang, R., Johnson, N. L., Li, T., Li, P., Lin, J., Li, Y., Jin, Y., et al. (2022) · Journal of Hepatocellular Carcinoma · doi:10.2147/jhc.s377768 · Cited by 24
“6% of NASH-derived HCC patients did not have cirrhosis.(8) The prevalence of NASH has shown”
BackgroundRisk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and associations with gastrointestinal cancers
Mchenry, S. A., Zong, X., Shi, M., Fritz, C. D. L., Pedersen, K. S., Peterson, L. R., Lee, J. K., Fields, R. C., Davidson, N. O., & Cao, Y. (2022) · Hepatology Communications · doi:10.1002/hep4.2073 · Cited by 24
“[21] This differs from results from another VA cohort study of 1500 patients with HCC, in which NAFLD was the leading cause of HCC among patients without cirrhosis.[22] A recent meta- analysis showed that NAFLDrelated HCC was associated with a higher proportion of patients without cirrhosis (38.”
ResultChaudhary, S. P., Reyes, S., Chase, M. L., Govindan, A., Zhao, L., Luther, J., Bhan, I., Bethea, E., Franses, J., Walsh, E. P., et al. (2023) · The Oncologist · doi:10.1093/oncolo/oyac251 · Cited by 24
De Novo and Recurrence of Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis After Liver Transplantation
Kappus, M. R., & Abdelmalek, M. F. (2017) · Clinics in Liver Disease · doi:10.1016/j.cld.2016.12.006 · Cited by 23
Hígado graso no alcohólico: una pandemia poco conocida
Augustín, S., Graupera, I., & Caballería, J. (2017) · Medicina Clínica · doi:10.1016/j.medcli.2017.06.026 · Cited by 23
Magnitude of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Eastern Perspective
Yu, B. C.-Y., Kwok, D., & Wong, V. W. (2019) · Journal of Clinical and Experimental Hepatology · doi:10.1016/j.jceh.2019.01.007 · Cited by 24
“Although this may be partly due to misclassification with NASH-related cirrhosis counted as cryptogenic cirrhosis, subsequent studies confirmed that noncirrhotic HCC appeared to be more common in patients with NASH or idiopathic HCC than those with other liver diseases.(44) This means that the current recommendations…”
ResultHepatocellular carcinoma in the noncirrhotic liver: a literature review
Zhang, Y., Wang, C., Xu, H., Xiao, P., & Gao, Y. (2019) · European Journal of Gastroenterology & Hepatology · doi:10.1097/meg.0000000000001419 · Cited by 23
Torres, M. C. P., Lai, Q., Piscaglia, F., Caturelli, E., Cabibbo, G., Biasini, E., Pelizzaro, F., Marra, F., Trevisani, F., & Giannini, E. G. (2021) · Journal of Clinical Medicine · doi:10.3390/jcm10153201 · Cited by 23
Hepatitis C virus genotype affects survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma
Park, H. K., Lee, S. S., Im, C. B., Im, C., Cha, R. R., Kim, W. S., Cho, H. C., Lee, J. M., Kim, H., Kim, T. H., et al. (2019) · BMC Cancer · doi:10.1186/s12885-019-6040-3 · Cited by 23
WNT–β-catenin signalling in hepatocellular carcinoma: from bench to clinical trials
Lehrich, B. M., & Monga, S. P. (2025) · Nature Reviews Gastroenterology & Hepatology · doi:10.1038/s41575-025-01127-y · Cited by 27
Known, new and emerging risk factors of hepatocellular carcinoma (review)
Trad, D., Bibani, N., Sabbah, M., Elloumi, H., Gargouri, D., Ouakaa, A., & Kharrat, J. (2017) · La Presse Médicale · doi:10.1016/j.lpm.2017.09.025 · Cited by 22
Banini, B. A., & Sanyal, A. J. (2021) · Advances in cancer research · doi:10.1016/bs.acr.2020.11.001 · Cited by 21
NON-INVASIVE DIAGNOSIS AND FOLLOW-UP OF NON-ALCOHOLIC FATTY LIVER DISEASE.
Boursier, J., Guillaume, M., Bouzbib, C., Lannes, A., Pais, R., Smatti, S., Cariou, B., Bureau, C., Ganne-Carrié, N., Bourlière, M., et al. (2021) · Clinics And Research in Hepatology and Gastroenterology · doi:10.1016/j.clinre.2021.101769 · Cited by 21
Fang, J., Sun, X., Xue, B., Fang, N., & Zhou, M. (2017) · Evidence-based Complementary and Alternative Medicine · doi:10.1155/2017/2945803 · Cited by 21
“At present, NAFLD has become the main cause for hepatocellular carcinoma in the United States [22, 23].”
BackgroundIdentifying High-Risk NASH Patients: What We Know so Far
Schulz, M., & Tacke, F. (2020) · Hepatic Medicine Evidence and Research · doi:10.2147/hmer.s265473 · Cited by 21
Epidemiology, mutational landscape and staging of hepatocellular carcinoma.
Fenton, S. E., Burns, M. C., & Kalyan, A. (2021) · Chinese Clinical Oncology · doi:10.21037/cco-20-162 · Cited by 18
“However, in the United States, NAFLD is the most frequent cause of HCC in the absence of cirrhosis or liver fibrosis (91).”
BackgroundRojas, Á., García-Lozano, M. D. R., Gil‐Gómez, A., Romero‐Gómez, M., & Ampuero, J. (2022) · Journal of Clinical and Translational Hepatology · doi:10.14218/jcth.2021.00247 · Cited by 21
Should we undertake surveillance for HCC in patients with MAFLD?
Norero, B., & Dufour, J. (2023) · Therapeutic Advances in Endocrinology and Metabolism · doi:10.1177/20420188231160389 · Cited by 20
Overview of hepatocellular carcinoma: from molecular aspects to future therapeutic options
Panneerselvam, S., Wilson, C. M., Kumar, P., Abirami, D., Pamarthi, J., Reddy, M. S., & Varghese, J. (2023) · Cell Adhesion & Migration · doi:10.1080/19336918.2023.2258539 · Cited by 21
“There was 5.4-fold increased risk of HCC in the non-cirrhotic liver for NAFLD-related HCC and 5-fold for metabolic syndrome (MetS) related HCC [100].”
BackgroundInfluentialDiethylnitrosamine Induction of Hepatocarcinogenesis in Mice
Sotty, J., Bablon, P., Weiss, P.-H., & Soussan, P. (2024) · Methods in molecular biology · doi:10.1007/978-1-0716-3694-7_2 · Cited by 21
D'Avola, D., Labgaa, I., & Villanueva, A. (2016) · Clinical Liver Disease · doi:10.1002/cld.579 · Cited by 21
The molecular basis for current targets of NASH therapies
Qureshi, K., & Neuschwander‐Tetri, B. A. (2019) · Expert Opinion on Investigational Drugs · doi:10.1080/13543784.2020.1703949 · Cited by 23
Metadata
- Authors
- Mittal, S., El-Serag, H. B., Sada, Y. H., Kanwal, F., Duan, Z., Temple, S., May, S. B., Kramer, J. R., Richardson, P. A., & Davila, J. A.
- Affiliations
- Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Mittal, Sahil
- Venue
- Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2016-01
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 124-131.e1
- ISSN
- 1542-3565 (ISSN-L)
- PMC
- PMC4690789
- OpenAlex
- W1258381707
- Cited by
- 648
- References
- 34
- Citations by year
- 2026: 27 · 2025: 63 · 2024: 61 · 2023: 64 · 2022: 77 · 2021: 99 · 2020: 85 · 2019: 60 · 2018: 47 · 2017: 41 · 2016: 19
- FWCI
- 22.09
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
- Locations
- Clinical Gastroenterology and Hepatology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- PubMed Central (acceptedVersion)
- Funders
- National Cancer Institute (R01CA160738)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treatment and Prognosis
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Liver Disease Diagnosis and Treatment
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Hepatology › Liver physiology and pathology
- Keywords
- hepatocellular carcinoma, non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, liver cirrhosis, metabolic syndrome, risk factors, veterans, hepatitis C virus, alcohol abuse, liver fibrosis markers
- MeSH terms
- Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Female, Carcinoma, Hepatocellular, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Risk Factors, United States, Veterans, Cohort Studies, Metabolic Syndrome, Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease
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