The DOI matches its Crossref record; 51 of the 51 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
The current and future incidence and mortality of gastric cancer in 185 countries, 2020–40: A population-based modelling study
Open accessAbstract
Background: To examine global patterns of gastric cancer in 2020 and the projected burden in 2040. Methods: Data on primary gastric cancer were extracted from the GLOBOCAN database for the year 2020. Age-standardized incidence and mortality rates were calculated by sex, country, world region and level of human development index (HDI) for 185 countries. The predicted burden of incidence and mortality in 2040 was calculated based on demographic projections. Findings: In total, ∼1.1 million new cases and 770,000 deaths of gastric cancer were estimated in 2020. Incidence rates were on average 2-fold higher in males than females (15.8 and 7.0 per 100,000, respectively) with variation across countries. Highest incidence rates were observed in Eastern Asia for both males and females (32.5 and 13.2, respectively); males residing in Japan (48.1), Mongolia (47.2) and Korea (39.7) had the highest rates in the world. Incidence was lowest in Africa with incidence rates < 5 per 100,000. Highest mortality rates were observed in Eastern Asia for both males (21.1) and females (8.8). A lower share of deaths was observed in very high HDI countries compared to medium and low HDI countries. The annual burden of gastric cancer is predicted to increase to ∼1.8 million new cases and ∼1.3 million deaths by 2040. Interpretation: and behavioural changes such as reducing salt intake, smoking, obesity, and alcohol, remains key in stomach cancer control. Funding: No direct funding was received. All authors had access to the included study data and all authors agreed with the final decision to submit for publication.
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Self-citationCancer incidence and mortality worldwide: Sources, methods and major patterns in GLOBOCAN 2012
Ferlay, J., Soerjomataram, I., Dikshit, R., Eser, S., Mathers, C., Rebelo, M., Parkin, D. M., Forman, D., & Bray, F. (2015) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.29210 · Cited by 28,766
Self-citationEstimates of worldwide burden of cancer in 2008: GLOBOCAN 2008
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Self-citationEstimating the global cancer incidence and mortality in 2018: GLOBOCAN sources and methods
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Self-citationCancer statistics for the year 2020: An overview
Ferlay, J., Colombet, M., Soerjomataram, I., Parkin, D. M., Piñeros, M., Znaor, A., & Bray, F. (2021) · International Journal of Cancer · doi:10.1002/ijc.33588 · Cited by 5,689
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Self-citationPlanning for tomorrow: global cancer incidence and the role of prevention 2020–2070
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Bray, F., Laversanne, M., Sung, H., Ferlay, J., Siegel, R. L., Soerjomataram, I., & Jemal, A. (2024) · CA: a cancer journal for clinicians · doi:10.3322/caac.21834 · Cited by 27,064
Self-citationGlobal burden of gastric cancer: epidemiological trends, risk factors, screening and prevention
Thrift, A. P., Wenker, T. N., & El-Serag, H. B. (2023) · Nature Reviews Clinical Oncology · doi:10.1038/s41571-023-00747-0 · Cited by 828
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Li, J., Wang, J., & Chen, Z. (2025) · Molecular Cancer · doi:10.1186/s12943-024-02215-4 · Cited by 297
Hyung, S., Ko, J., Heo, Y. J., Blum, S. M., Kim, S. T., Park, S. H., Park, J. O., Kang, W. K., Lim, H. Y., Klempner, S. J., et al. (2023) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.adk1098 · Cited by 47
Metadata
- Authors
- Morgan, E., Arnold, M., Camargo, M. C., Gini, A., Kunzmann, A. T., Matsuda, T., Meheus, F., Verhoeven, R. H. A., Vignat, J., Laversanne, M., Ferlay, J., & Soerjomataram, I.
- Venue
- eClinicalMedicine
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2022-05
- Volume
- 47
- Pages
- 101404
- ISSN
- 2589-5370 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W4224228275
- Cited by
- 773
- References
- 51
- FWCI
- 57.73
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
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- Morgan, E., Arnold, M., Camargo, M. C., Gini, A., Kunzmann, A. T., Matsuda, T., Meheus, F., Verhoeven, R. H. A., Vignat, J., Laversanne, M., Ferlay, J., & Soerjomataram, I. (2022). The current and future incidence and mortality of gastric cancer in 185 countries, 2020–40: A population-based modelling study. eClinicalMedicine. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101404
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