Cited by 521Climate Change Policy and EconomicsClimate Change and GeoengineeringClimate variability and models

International climate policy architectures: Overview of the EMF 22 International Scenarios

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Clarke, Leon, Edmonds, Jae, Krey, Volker, Richels, Richard, Rose, Steven, Tavoni, Massimo·2009·Energy Economics

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Crossref · 10.1016/j.eneco.2009.10.013

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  • Not all scenarios considered in ScenarioMIP may be equally attainable.

    “Results from major international IAM comparison projects (Clarke et al., 2009;Kriegler et al., 2014b;Riahi et al., 2015) indicate that not all scenarios considered in ScenarioMIP may be equally attainable.”

    From The Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) for CMIP6 (2016) · cites this paper as Clarke et al., 2009

    Sections 3 and 8 (page numbers not provided) show that the EMF 22 climate-action cases differed in difficulty: no team produced all ten, and some targets could not be met by any model under delayed participation. That supports the general point that scenarios may differ in attainability, but this paper examines EMF 22 cases, not the scenarios considered in ScenarioMIP. (LLM, conf=0.84)

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Research works printed but not linked: 13

  1. Clarke, L., Calvin, K., Edmonds, J., Kyle, P., Wise, M., 2009. Technology and international climate policy. Implementing Architectures for Agreement: Addressing Global Climate Change in the Post-Kyoto World. Cambridge University Press. forthcoming.
  2. den Elzen, M., van Vuuren, D., 2007. Peaking profiles for achieving long-term temperature targets with more likelihood at lower costs. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 104, 17931-17936.
  3. Fisher, B.S., Nakicenovic, N., Alfsen, K., Corfee Morlot, J., de la Chesnaye, F., Hourcade, J.-Ch., Jiang, K., Kainuma, M., La Rovere, E., Matysek, A., Rana, A., Riahi, K., Richels, R., Rose, S., van Vuuren, D., Warren, R., 2007. Issues related to mitigation in the long term context. In: Metz, B., Davidson, O.R., Bosch, P.R., Dave, R., Meyer, L.A. (Eds.), Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  4. Forster, P., Ramaswamy, V., Artaxo, P., Berntsen, T., Betts, R., Fahey, D.W., Haywood, J., Lean, J., Lowe, D.C., Myhre, G., Nganga, J., Prinn, R., Raga, G., Schulz, M., Dorland, R.V., 2007. Changes in atmospheric constituents and in radiative forcing. In: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K.B., Tignor, M., Miller, H.L. (Eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 129-234.
  5. Meehl, G.A., Stocker, T.F., Collins, W.D., Friedlingstein, P., Gaye, A.T., Gregory, J.M., Kitoh, A., Knutti, R., Murphy, J.M., Noda, A., Raper, S.C.B., Watterson, I.G., Weaver, A.J., Zhao, Z.-C., 2007. Global climate projections. In: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K.B., Tignor, M., Miller, H.L. (Eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom.
  6. Meinshausen, M., 2006. What does a 2 °C target mean for GHG concentrations? A brief analysis based on multi-gas emission pathways and several climate sensitivity uncertainty estimates. In: Schellnhuber, J.S., Cramer, W., Nakicenovic, N., Wigley, T.M.L., Yohe, G. (Eds.), Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 265-280.
  7. Richels, R., Rutherford, T., Blanford, G., Clarke, L., 2008. Managing the transition to climate stabilization. Climate Policy 7 (5), 409-428.
  8. S.H.Schneider, S.H., M.D.Mastrandrea, M.D., 2005. Probabilistic assessment of "danger- ous" climate change and emissions pathways. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 102, 15728-15735.
  9. Smith, K., Haigler, E., 2008. Co-benefits of climate mitigation and health protection in energy systems: scoping methods. Annual Review of Public Health 29, 11-25.
  10. Smith, S., Wigley, T., 2006. Multi-gas forcing stabilization with MiniCAM. Energy Journal 27, 373-391.
  11. K.E.Trenberth, K.E., P.D.Jones, P.D., P.Ambenje, P., R.Bojariu, R., D.Easterling, D., A.K.Tank, A.K., D.Parker, D., F.Rahimzadeh, F., J.A.Renwick, J.A., M.Rusticucci, M., B.Soden, B., P. Zhai, P., 2007. Observations: surface and atmospheric climate change. In: Solomon, S., Qin, D., Manning, M., Chen, Z., Marquis, M., Averyt, K.B., Tignor, M., Miller, H.L. (Eds.), Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 235-336.
  12. D.van Vuuren, D., M.den Elzen, M., P.Lucas, P., B.Eickhout, B., B.Strengers, B., B.van Ruijven, B., S.Wonink, S., R.Van Houdt, R., 2007. Stabilizing greenhouse gas concentrations at low levels: an assessment of reduction strategies and costs. Climatic Change 81 (2), 119-159.
  13. Wigley, T., Richels, R., Edmonds, J., 2007. Overshoot Pathways to CO 2 Stabilization in a Multi-gas Context. In: Schlesinger, M., de la Chesnaye, F., Kheshgi, H., Kolstad, C., Reilly, J., Smith, J., Wilson, T. (Eds.), Human-Induced Climate Change: An Interdisciplinary Perspective. Cambridge University Press, pp. 84-92.

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Authors
Clarke, L., Edmonds, J., Krey, V., Richels, R., Rose, S., & Tavoni, M.
Affiliations
  • Joint Global Change Research Institute (US)
  • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
  • Electric Power Research Institute (US)
  • Princeton University (US)
Corresponding author
Clarke, Leon
Venue
Energy Economics
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2009-12
Volume
31
Pages
S64-S81
ISSN
0140-9883 (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W2121541206
Cited by
521
References
0
Citations by year
2026: 6 · 2025: 6 · 2024: 11 · 2023: 15 · 2022: 10 · 2021: 17 · 2020: 11 · 2019: 18 · 2018: 19 · 2017: 28 · 2016: 24 · 2015: 31 · 2014: 58 · 2013: 73 · 2012: 69
FWCI
145.24
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Energy Economics (publishedVersion)
  • Virtual Community of Pathological Anatomy (University of Castilla La Mancha) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (submittedVersion)
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Geoengineering
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Keywords
international climate policy, integrated assessment models, climate change negotiations, overshoot, greenhouse gas emissions

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