Negative emissions—Part 1: Research landscape and synthesis
Open accessAbstract
With the Paris Agreement's ambition of limiting climate change to well below 2 °C, negative emission technologies (NETs) have moved into the limelight of discussions in climate science and policy. Despite several assessments, the current knowledge on NETs is still diffuse and incomplete, but also growing fast. Here, we synthesize a comprehensive body of NETs literature, using scientometric tools and performing an in-depth assessment of the quantitative and qualitative evidence therein. We clarify the role of NETs in climate change mitigation scenarios, their ethical implications, as well as the challenges involved in bringing the various NETs to the market and scaling them up in time. There are six major findings arising from our assessment: first, keeping warming below 1.5 °C requires the large-scale deployment of NETs, but this dependency can still be kept to a minimum for the 2 °C warming limit. Second, accounting for economic and biophysical limits, we identify relevant potentials for all NETs except ocean fertilization. Third, any single NET is unlikely to sustainably achieve the large NETs deployment observed in many 1.5 °C and 2 °C mitigation scenarios. Yet, portfolios of multiple NETs, each deployed at modest scales, could be invaluable for reaching the climate goals. Fourth, a substantial gap exists between the upscaling and rapid diffusion of NETs implied in scenarios and progress in actual innovation and deployment. If NETs are required at the scales currently discussed, the resulting urgency of implementation is currently neither reflected in science nor policy. Fifth, NETs face severe barriers to implementation and are only weakly incentivized so far. Finally, we identify distinct ethical discourses relevant for NETs, but highlight the need to root them firmly in the available evidence in order to render such discussions relevant in practice.
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Although there has been significant progress in negative emissions research, the actual CO2 removal industry is still in its infancy.
“Although there has been significant progress in negative emissions research [260,540,575,580,707], the actual CO 2 removal industry is still in its infancy.”
From Tackling climate change with machine learning (2023) · cites this paper as [540]
Current research on NETs has come from two main strands: technology-focused studies and integrated assessment models.
“Current research on NETs has come from two main strands: technology-focused studies that explore specific technical configurations, and integrated assessment models that investigate NETs in the context of global and long-term climate change mitigation.[3][4][5]”
From The mutual dependence of negative emission technologies and energy systems (2019) · cites this paper as [4]
Continued growth of emissions indicated by current trends will increasingly lock energy system transformations into pathways that require large-scale NETs.
“In fact, to meet current climate goals, the continued growth of emissions indicated by current trends will increasingly lock energy system transformations into pathways that require large-scale NETs. 4”
From The mutual dependence of negative emission technologies and energy systems (2019) · cites this paper as [4]
BECCS has been the first NET widely taken up in integrated assessment models and shows some appealing characteristics.
“BECCS has been the first NET widely taken up in integrated assessment models 4 and shows some appealing characteristics.”
From The mutual dependence of negative emission technologies and energy systems (2019) · cites this paper as [4]
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“At the same time, modelling teams have started with the implementation of larger portfolios of NET options beyond BECCS (e.g. Chen and Tavoni 2013, Marcucci et al 2017, Streffler et al 2018).”
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(2013) · Choice Reviews Online · doi:10.5860/choice.50-3286 · Cited by 133 · cited 1× · see citing works
“This is in sharp contrast to the ethics of SRM, about which three volumes of essays (Preston 2012, Burns and Strauss 2013, Clingerman and O’Brien 2016) and numerous articles have already been produced.”
ResultMarcucci, A., Kypreos, S., & Panos, E. (2017) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-017-2051-8 · Cited by 133 · see citing works
Open discussion of negative emissions is urgently needed
van Vuuren, D. P., Hof, A. F., van Sluisveld, M. A. E., & Riahi, K. (2017) · Nature Energy · doi:10.1038/s41560-017-0055-2 · Cited by 133 · see citing works
A review of climate geoengineering appraisals
Bellamy, R., Chilvers, J., Vaughan, N. E., & Lenton, T. M. (2012) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.197 · Cited by 131 · cited 1× · see citing works
“…emissions are released to the active biosphere that many scholars and assessments have discussed both jointly under the notion of geoengineering (Bellamy et al 2012, IPCC 2011, Johannessen and Macdonald 2016, Maas et al 2012, Williamson et al nd, IPCC 2014b, Vaughan and Lenton 2011, Marchetti…”
BackgroundCan we control the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere?
Dyson, F. J. (1977) · Energy · doi:10.1016/0360-5442(77)90033-0 · Cited by 131 · cited 3× · see citing works
“The exclusion criteria are discussed in more detail in the Supporting Information of Fuss et al (2018). In order to ensure consistency in applying the criteria, random samples of papers were screened and cross-checked within the technology teams until a good level of agreement was reached among the experts (90%).”
BackgroundMethodCatalysing a political shift from low to negative carbon
Peters, G. P., & Geden, O. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3369 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
How to spend a dwindling greenhouse gas budget
Obersteiner, M. H., Bednar, J., Wagner, F., Gasser, T., Ciais, P., Forsell, N., Frank, S., Havlík, P., Valin, H., Janssens, I. A., et al. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/s41558-017-0045-1 · Cited by 131 · see citing works
Is atmospheric carbon dioxide removal a game changer for climate change mitigation?
Kriegler, E., Edenhofer, O., Reuster, L., Luderer, G., & Klein, D. (2013) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0681-4 · Cited by 130 · cited 6× · see citing works
“Data sources: LIMITS (Kriegler et al 2013c), RoSE (Kriegler et al 2013b), AMPERE (Riahi et al 2015). diffusion of technologies to attain widespread adoption.”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citation2.6: Limiting climate change to 450 ppm CO2 equivalent in the 21st century
Calvin, K., Edmonds, J., Bond‐Lamberty, B., Clarke, L., Kim, S. H., Kyle, P. G., Smith, S. J., Thomson, A. M., & Wise, M. (2009) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2009.06.006 · Cited by 130 · cited 1× · see citing works
“This effect is widely recognised (Calvin et al 2009, Kriegler et al 2013a, Azar et al 2006, Rao and Riahi 2006, Clarke et al 2009).”
BackgroundNational post-2020 greenhouse gas targets and diversity-aware leadership
Meinshausen, M. A., Jeffery, M. L., Gütschow, J., du Pont, Y. R., Rogelj, J., Schaeffer, M., Höhne, N., den Elzen, M. G. J., Oberthür, S., & Meinshausen, N. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2826 · Cited by 121 · cited 1× · see citing works
“In fact, global GHG emissions will continue to grow until 2030 unless short-term ambition is ratcheted up by many countries (Rogelj et al 2016a, Meinshausen et al 2015, Schleussner et al 2016).”
BackgroundSelf-citationInteractions of Energy and Climate
(1980) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-009-9111-8 · Cited by 120 · see citing works
Kriegler, E., Tavoni, M., Aboumahboub, T., Luderer, G., Calvin, K., DEMAERE, G., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Rösler, H., Schaeffer, M., et al. (2013) · Climate Change Economics · doi:10.1142/s2010007813400083 · Cited by 119 · cited 6× · see citing works
“Data sources: LIMITS (Kriegler et al 2013c), RoSE (Kriegler et al 2013b), AMPERE (Riahi et al 2015). diffusion of technologies to attain widespread adoption.”
BackgroundMethodInfluentialSelf-citationStrefler, J., Bauer, N., Kriegler, E., Popp, A., Giannousakis, A., & Edenhofer, O. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aab2ba · Cited by 118 · see citing works
Biofuels: Efficiency, Ethics, and Limits to Human Appropriation of Ecosystem Services
Gomiero, T., Paoletti, M. G., & Pimentel, D. M. D. S. (2009) · Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Ethics · doi:10.1007/s10806-009-9218-x · Cited by 116 · cited 2× · see citing works
“22 Hamilton (2013) argues that CCS has already displaced mitigation over the past decade.”
BackgroundClimate Justice and Geoengineering: Ethics and Policy in the Atmospheric Anthropocene
Preston, C. J. (2016) · Cited by 112 · see citing works
Situating and Abandoning Geoengineering: A Typology of Five Responses to Dangerous Climate Change
Heyward, C. (2013) · PS Political Science & Politics · doi:10.1017/s1049096512001436 · Cited by 111 · cited 1× · see citing works
“We therefore prefer typologies which clearly distinguish SRM from NETs, and both from conventional mitigation and adaptation (Heyward 2013).”
MethodPolicy: Climate advisers must maintain integrity
Geden, O. (2015) · Nature · doi:10.1038/521027a · Cited by 109 · cited 6× · see citing works
“…both the scenario literature where BECCS studies initially gained prominence, as well more general discussions of negative emissions where scenarios are often used as a starting point (Smith et al 2016, Anderson 2015, Anderson and Peters 2016, Fuss et al 2014, 2016, Gasser et al 2015, Geden 2015).”
BackgroundInfluentialMapping the climate change challenge
Stéphane Hallegatte, A., Rogelj, J., Allen, M. R., Clarke, L., Edenhofer, O., Field, C. B., Friedlingstein, P., van Kesteren, L., Knutti, R., Mach, K. J., et al. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3057 · Cited by 106 · cited 1× · see citing works
“…warming to below 1.5 ◦C was added to the Paris Agreement (UNFCCC 2015), NETs have secured a place directly in the spotlight of many climate change mitigation discussions ever since (Hallegatte et al 2016, Hulme 2016, Schleussner et al 2016, Luderer et al 2013, Peters 2016, Rogelj et al 2015, 2018).”
BackgroundInfluentialSelf-citationStolaroff, J. K., Bhattacharyya, S., Smith, C. A., Bourcier, W. L., Cameron-Smith, P. J., & Aines, R. D. (2012) · Environmental Science & Technology · doi:10.1021/es204686w · Cited by 105 · see citing works
The 'best available science' to inform 1.5 °C policy choices
Peters, G. P. (2016) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3000 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
Geoengineering with seagrasses: is credit due where credit is given?
Johannessen, S. C., & Macdonald, R. W. (2016) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/11/113001 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Gardiner, S. M. (2011) · Environmental Values · doi:10.3197/096327111x12997574391689 · Cited by 99 · see citing works
The potential for land-based biological CO2 removal to lower future atmospheric CO2 concentration
Lenton, T. (2010) · Carbon Management · doi:10.4155/cmt.10.12 · Cited by 99 · see citing works
Mid- and long-term climate projections for fragmented and delayed-action scenarios
Schaeffer, M., Gohar, L., Kriegler, E., Lowe, J. A., Riahi, K., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2013) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.013 · Cited by 94 · cited 1× · see citing works
“…clusters (Krey et al 2014, Kriegler et al 2016, Rose et al 2014, Kriegler et al 2014), and (2) the exploration of the impact of less optimal policy trajectories (delayed action; fragmented action) for meeting a particular climate goal (Eom et al 2015, Schaeffer et al 2015, Blanford et al 2014).”
BackgroundReframing the policy approach to greenhouse gas removal technologies
Lomax, G., Workman, M. H. W., Lenton, T. M., & Shah, N. (2015) · Energy Policy · doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2014.10.002 · Cited by 93 · cited 4× · see citing works
“A series of high level commentaries picked up on the issue (Field and Mach 2017, Gasser et al 2015, Lomax et al 2015a, Parson 2017, Peters and Geden 2017, Obersteiner et al 2018, Vuuren et al 2017, Anderson 2015, Anderson and Peters 2016, Geden 2015, Williamson 2016, Fuss et al 2014).”
BackgroundInfluentialBoucher, O., Forster, P. M. D. F., Gruber, N., Ha‐Duong, M., Lawrence, M. G., Lenton, T. M., Maas, A., & Vaughan, N. E. (2013) · Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change · doi:10.1002/wcc.261 · Cited by 90 · cited 4× · see citing works
“…and confusion around definitions of negative emissions and how they relate to other key concepts of climate policy (table 1)—most importantly mitigation, adaptation and geoengineering (Boucher et al 2014, Shepherd 2012, Shepherd et al 2009, Vaughan and Lenton 2011, IPCC 2014b, Keith 2000).”
BackgroundInfluentialHigh-level techno-economic assessment of negative emissions technologies
McGlashan, N. R., Shah, N., Caldecott, B., & Workman, M. H. W. (2012) · Process Safety and Environmental Protection · doi:10.1016/j.psep.2012.10.004 · Cited by 87 · cited 2× · see citing works
“…2015, Shepherd et al 2009), NGOs (Friends of the Earth 2011), government funded projects (Rickels et al 2011) as well as individual or groups of scholars (Fuss et al 2016, Smith et al 2016, Vaughan and Lenton 2011, McLaren 2012, McGlashan et al 2012, Lenton 2010, 2014, Caldecott et al 2015).”
BackgroundON THE VARIATIONS OF THE CLIMATE OF THE GEOLOGICAL AND HISTORICAL PAST AND THEIR CAUSES
Ekholm, N. (1901) · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · doi:10.1002/qj.49702711702 · Cited by 85 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Initial discussions concerned the benefits of human-induced warming on agricultural productivity and forestalling a future ice age by adding CO2 to the atmosphere (Ekholm 1901, Fleming 2000, Keith 2000, National Research Council 2015, Arrhenius 1896).”
Backgroundde Richter, R. K., Ming, T., Caillol, S., & Liu, W. (2016) · International journal of greenhouse gas control · doi:10.1016/j.ijggc.2016.02.027 · Cited by 84 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Our focus is on CO2 removal only, but we note the existence of technologies that remove other non-CO2 greenhouse gases from the atmosphere (de Richter et al 2016, Ming et al 2016, Stolaroff et al 2012, Lomax et al 2015b, Boucher et al 2014).”
BackgroundThe ethics of negative emissions
Lenzi, D. (2018) · Global Sustainability · doi:10.1017/sus.2018.5 · Cited by 84 · see citing works
Self-citationThe impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways
Eom, J., Edmonds, J., Krey, V., Johnson, N., Longden, T., Luderer, G., Riahi, K., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2013) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2013.09.017 · Cited by 81 · cited 1× · see citing works
“…clusters (Krey et al 2014, Kriegler et al 2016, Rose et al 2014, Kriegler et al 2014), and (2) the exploration of the impact of less optimal policy trajectories (delayed action; fragmented action) for meeting a particular climate goal (Eom et al 2015, Schaeffer et al 2015, Blanford et al 2014).”
BackgroundSelf-citationPreston, C. J. (2011) · Environmental Values · doi:10.3197/096327111x13150367351212 · Cited by 81 · see citing works
Scientific assessments to facilitate deliberative policy learning
Kowarsch, M., Garard, J., Riousset, P., Lenzi, D., Dorsch, M. J., Knopf, B., Harrs, J.-A., & Edenhofer, O. (2016) · Humanities and Social Sciences Communications · doi:10.1057/palcomms.2016.92 · Cited by 81 · cited 1× · see citing works
“We argue that expert judgements are a crucial component of assessment processes, but highlight the importance of transparently locating those within the wider literature and an assessment of uncertainty, wherever possible (Kowarsch et al 2017, 2016, Mach and Field 2017).”
BackgroundSelf-citationBioenergy and Land Use: Framing the Ethical Debate
Gamborg, C., Millar, K. M., Shortall, O., & Sandøe, P. (2011) · Journal of Agricultural and Environmental Ethics · doi:10.1007/s10806-011-9351-1 · Cited by 80 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Concerns have been expressed about the sustainability and justice implications of large-scale bioenergy production (Gamborg et al 2012).”
BackgroundClimate dreaming: negative emissions, risk transfer, and irreversibility
Shue, H. (2017) · Journal of Human Rights and the Environment · doi:10.4337/jhre.2017.02.02 · Cited by 76 · cited 4× · see citing works
“While the relative neglect of NETs among ethicists appears to be changing (Shue 2017, Morrow and Svoboda 2016, Preston 2016), it remains conventional to view NETs as less ethically problematic than SRM.”
BackgroundInfluentialFlegal, J. A., & Gupta, A. (2017) · International Environmental Agreements Politics Law and Economics · doi:10.1007/s10784-017-9377-6 · Cited by 75 · see citing works
Investing in negative emissions
Lomax, G., Lenton, T. M., Adeosun, A., & Workman, M. H. W. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2627 · Cited by 74 · cited 4× · see citing works
“A series of high level commentaries picked up on the issue (Field and Mach 2017, Gasser et al 2015, Lomax et al 2015a, Parson 2017, Peters and Geden 2017, Obersteiner et al 2018, Vuuren et al 2017, Anderson 2015, Anderson and Peters 2016, Geden 2015, Williamson 2016, Fuss et al 2014).”
BackgroundInfluentialGeoengineering the climate: an overview and update
Shepherd, J. G. (2012) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2012.0186 · Cited by 73 · cited 3× · see citing works
“…al 2014, 2016, McGlashan et al 2012, Vaughan and Lenton 2011, Lenton 2014, National Research Council 2015, Friends of the Earth 2011, Lenton 2010, Shepherd 2012, Shepherd et al 2009, Caldecott et al 2015) and more emphasis in the most recent IPCC report (Clarke et al 2014, Ciais et al 2013), the…”
BackgroundEthical aspects of the mitigation obstruction argument against climate engineering research
Morrow, D. R. (2014) · Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences · doi:10.1098/rsta.2014.0062 · Cited by 73 · see citing works
Ocean iron fertilization: Why further research is needed
Güssow, K., Proelß, A., Oschlies, A., Katrin Rehdanz, A., & Rickels, W. (2010) · Marine Policy · doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2010.01.015 · Cited by 65 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Moreover, NETs discourses show a steady increase across all technologies, with the exception of OF, which peaked between 2005 and 2010 and declined thereafter over concerns on adverse side-effect, effectiveness and legal issues (Rayfuse et al 2008, Lukacs 2012, Güssow et al 2010).”
BackgroundA road map for global environmental assessments
Kowarsch, M., Jabbour, J., Flachsland, C., Kok, M., Watson, R., Haas, P. M., Minx, J. C., Alcamo, J., Garard, J., Riousset, P., et al. (2017) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate3307 · Cited by 65 · cited 1× · see citing works
“We argue that expert judgements are a crucial component of assessment processes, but highlight the importance of transparently locating those within the wider literature and an assessment of uncertainty, wherever possible (Kowarsch et al 2017, 2016, Mach and Field 2017).”
BackgroundSelf-citationToward the Next Generation of Assessment
Mach, K. J., & Field, C. B. (2017) · Annual Review of Environment and Resources · doi:10.1146/annurev-environ-102016-061007 · Cited by 64 · see citing works
Harmonization vs. fragmentation: overview of climate policy scenarios in EMF27
Blanford, G. J., Kriegler, E., & Tavoni, M. (2014) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0951-9 · Cited by 63 · see citing works
Ming, T., de Richter, R. K., Shen, S., & Caillol, S. (2016) · Environmental Science and Pollution Research · doi:10.1007/s11356-016-6103-9 · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Edenhofer, O. (2014) · Kent Academic Repository (University of Kent) · Cited by 59 · see citing works
Bertram, S. P. (2015) · Revista Destaques Acadêmicos · Cited by 58 · see citing works
Geoengineering of the Climate System
Hester, R. E., & Harrison, R. M. (2014) · Royal Society of Chemistry eBooks · doi:10.1039/9781782621225 · Cited by 57 · see citing works
Climate policymakers and assessments must get serious about climate engineering
Parson, E. A. (2017) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1713456114 · Cited by 48 · cited 1× · see citing works
“A series of high level commentaries picked up on the issue (Field and Mach 2017, Gasser et al 2015, Lomax et al 2015a, Parson 2017, Peters and Geden 2017, Obersteiner et al 2018, Vuuren et al 2017, Anderson 2015, Anderson and Peters 2016, Geden 2015, Williamson 2016, Fuss et al 2014).”
BackgroundThe Collection, Disposal, and Storage of Carbon Dioxide
Baes, C. F., Beall, S. E., Lee, D. W., & Marland, G. H. (1980) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-94-009-9111-8_28 · Cited by 47 · cited 1× · see citing works
“During the second half of the 20th century more concrete proposals were made on how to remove CO2 from the atmosphere by planting trees among others (Baes et al 1980, 1977, Dyson 1977, Marchetti 1977, 1979).”
BackgroundGovern land as a global commons
Creutzig, F. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/546028a · Cited by 45 · see citing works
Self-citationOcean Fertilisation and Climate Change: The Need to Regulate Emerging High Seas Uses
Rayfuse, R. G., Lawrence, M. G., & Gjerde, K. M. (2008) · The International Journal of Marine and Coastal Law · doi:10.1163/092735208x295846 · Cited by 43 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Moreover, NETs discourses show a steady increase across all technologies, with the exception of OF, which peaked between 2005 and 2010 and declined thereafter over concerns on adverse side-effect, effectiveness and legal issues (Rayfuse et al 2008, Lukacs 2012, Güssow et al 2010).”
BackgroundUsing Systematic Reviews to Separate Scientific from Policy Debate Relevant to Climate Change
Petticrew, M. P., & McCartney, G. (2011) · American Journal of Preventive Medicine · doi:10.1016/j.amepre.2010.12.022 · Cited by 41 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Literature review methods are rarely discussed in the field of climate change research, despite their central importance to knowledge synthesis and policy-relevant assessments (Minx et al 2017a, Ringquist 2013, Petticrew and Roberts 2008, Petticrew and McCartney 2017, Higgins and Green 2008).”
BackgroundClimate Conflicts 2.0? Climate Engineering as a Challenge for International Peace and Security
Maas, A., & Scheffran, J. (2012) · Sicherheit & Frieden · doi:10.5771/0175-274x-2012-4-193 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
The Global Potential for Carbon Dioxide Removal
Lenton, T. M. (2014) · Royal Society of Chemistry eBooks · doi:10.1039/9781782621225-00052 · Cited by 41 · see citing works
Ethical Aspects of Climate Engineering
Betz, G., & Cacean, S. (2012) · Repository KITopen (Karlsruhe Institute of Technology) · doi:10.5445/ksp/1000028245 · Cited by 40 · see citing works
Geoengineering: rights, risks and ethics
Adelman, S. (2017) · Journal of Human Rights and the Environment · doi:10.4337/jhre.2017.01.06 · Cited by 38 · cited 4× · see citing works
“Adelman (2017) claims that the unforeseen, unintended and uncontrollable consequences of both SRM and NETs make them unacceptably risky to use, and impossible to gain consent for.”
BackgroundInfluentialBurns, W., Strauss, A. L., Abate, R. S., Davies, G., Gardiner, S. M., Güssow, K., Hamilton, C., Hester, T., Horton, J. B., Kopp, R. E., et al. (2013) · Cambridge University Press eBooks · doi:10.1017/cbo9781139161824 · Cited by 35 · see citing works
Geoengineering, Ocean Fertilization, and the Problem of Permissible Pollution
Hale, B., & Dilling, L. (2010) · Science Technology & Human Values · doi:10.1177/0162243910366150 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Kriegler, E., Mouratiadou, I., Luderer, G., Edmonds, J., & Edenhofer, O. (2016) · Climatic Change · doi:10.1007/s10584-016-1667-4 · Cited by 32 · cited 1× · see citing works
“…long-term mitigation pathways: (1) the exploration of the impact of excluding individual technologiesor technology clusters (Krey et al 2014, Kriegler et al 2016, Rose et al 2014, Kriegler et al 2014), and (2) the exploration of the impact of less optimal policy trajectories (delayed…”
BackgroundSelf-citationThe promise of negative emissions
Lackner, K. S., Aines, R. D., Atkins, S., AtKisson, A., Barrett, S. A., Barteau, M. A., Braun, R. J., Brouwer, J., Broecker, W. S., Browne, J. B., et al. (2016) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aal2432 · Cited by 32 · see citing works
Stranded carbon assets and negative emissions technologies
Caldecott, B., Lomax, G. A., & Workman, M. H. W. (2015) · Cited by 28 · see citing works
Constructive Solutions to the Co2 Problem
Marchetti, C. (1979) · Developments in atmospheric science · doi:10.1016/b978-0-444-41766-4.50029-1 · Cited by 26 · cited 1× · see citing works
“During the second half of the 20th century more concrete proposals were made on how to remove CO2 from the atmosphere by planting trees among others (Baes et al 1980, 1977, Dyson 1977, Marchetti 1977, 1979).”
BackgroundA generic assessment of response options
Jepma, C. J. (1996) · University of Groningen research database (University of Groningen / Centre for Information Technology) · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Preston, C. J. (2012) · Lexington Books · doi:10.5771/9780739175415 · Cited by 23 · see citing works
Introduction to the AMPERE model intercomparison studies on the economics of climate stabilization
Kriegler, E., Riahi, K., Bosetti, V., Capros, P., Petermann, N., van Vuuren, D. P., Weyant, J. P., & Edenhofer, O. (2014) · Technological Forecasting and Social Change · doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2014.10.012 · Cited by 22 · cited 1× · see citing works
“In the AR5 period, the major modelling inter-comparison exercises focused on understanding the technological and economic requirements of meeting stringent long-term climate goals (Kriegler et al 2014, 2013b, 2015, Riahi et al 2015, Clarke et al 2009).”
MethodGeoengineering and Non-Ideal Theory
Morrow, D. R., & Svoboda, T. J. (2016) · PhilPapers (PhilPapers Foundation) · Cited by 22 · see citing works
Climate Engineering and the Cessation Requirement: The Ethics of a Life-Cycle
Preston, C. J. (2016) · Environmental Values · doi:10.3197/096327115x14497392134964 · Cited by 18 · see citing works
The biogeophysical effects of extreme afforestation in modeling future climate
Wang, Y., Yan, X., & Wang, Z. (2014) · Theoretical and Applied Climatology · doi:10.1007/s00704-013-1085-8 · Cited by 17 · cited 1× · see citing works
“For example, AR measures in the North are often not very effective due to changes in the albedo (Wang et al 2014, Anderson et al 2011).”
BackgroundGezielte Eingriffe in das Klima? Eine Bestandsaufnahme der Debatte zu Climate Engineering
Rickels, W., Klepper, G., Dovern, J., Betz, G., Nadine, B., Cacean, S., Güssow, K., Heintzenberg, J., Hiller, S., Hoose, C., et al. (2011) · Cited by 16 · see citing works
The Ethics of Engineering the Climate
Baatz, C., Heyward, C., & Stelzer, H. (2016) · Environmental Values · doi:10.3197/096327115x14497392134766 · Cited by 16 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Ethical analyses are required which adequately reflect the differences between SRM and NETs, and between particular techniques (Baatz et al 2016, Preston 2013).”
MethodClimate Change Geoengineering: List of Contributors
Burns, W., & Strauss, A. L. (2013) · Cited by 11 · see citing works
T. C. Chamberlin, Climate Change, and Cosmogony
Fleming, J. R. (2000) · Studies in History and Philosophy of Science Part B Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics · doi:10.1016/s1355-2198(00)00015-0 · Cited by 8 · cited 1× · see citing works
“Initial discussions concerned the benefits of human-induced warming on agricultural productivity and forestalling a future ice age by adding CO2 to the atmosphere (Ekholm 1901, Fleming 2000, Keith 2000, National Research Council 2015, Arrhenius 1896).”
BackgroundGetting the Bad Out: Remediation Technologies and Respect for Others
Hale, B. (2012) · The MIT Press eBooks · doi:10.7551/mitpress/9780262017404.003.0013 · Cited by 7 · cited 2× · see citing works
“Hale (2012a) argues DAC appears to be more permissible since its effects would be localised, and hence achieving consent would be feasible.”
BackgroundThe promise of negative emissions—Response
Anderson, K., & Peters, G. P. (2016) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.aal2610 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Theological and Ethical Perspectives on Climate Engineering
Clingerman, F., & O'Brien, K. J. (2016) · Lexington Books · doi:10.5771/9781498523592 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
Ethical Aspects of Climate Engineering. Karlsruhe
Betz, G., & Cacean, S. (2012) · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Engineering the Climate: The Ethics of Solar Radiation Management
Borgmann, A., Buck, H. J., Carr, W., Clingerman, F., Galarraga, M., Hale, B., Hourdequin, M., Mercer, A., Ott, K., Palmer, C., et al. (2012) · Cited by 2 · see citing works
Self-citationBurns, W., & Strauss, A. L. (2015) · Andalas University Repository (Andalas University) · Cited by 2 · see citing works
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The technological and economic prospects for CO2 utilization and removal
Hepburn, C., Adlen, E., Beddington, J., Carter, E. A., Fuss, S., Mac Dowell, N., Minx, J. C., Smith, P., & Williams, C. K. (2019) · Nature · doi:10.1038/s41586-019-1681-6 · Cited by 2,456 · see citing works
Self-citationChallenges and opportunities for carbon neutrality in China
Liu, Z., Deng, Z., He, G., Wang, H., Zhang, X., Lin, J., Qi, Y., & Liang, X. (2021) · Nature Reviews Earth & Environment · doi:10.1038/s43017-021-00244-x · Cited by 1,748 · see citing works
Negative emissions—Part 2: Costs, potentials and side effects
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Self-citationNegative-emissions technology portfolios to meet the 1.5 °C target
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Constraints and enablers for increasing carbon storage in the terrestrial biosphere
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The impact of climate on solvent-based direct air capture systems
An, K., Farooqui, A., & McCoy, S. (2022) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2022.119895 · Cited by 105 · see citing works
All options, not silver bullets, needed to limit global warming to 1.5 °C: a scenario appraisal
Warszawski, L., Kriegler, E., Lenton, T. M., Gaffney, O., Jacob, D., Klingenfeld, D., Koide, R., Costa, M. M., Messner, D., Nakićenović, N., et al. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abfeec · Cited by 105 · see citing works
“These conclusions complement the myriad recent warnings about the risks and challenges associated with relying too heavily on speculative, large-scale CDR deployment (Anderson & Peters, 2016; Field & Mach, 2017; Minx et al., 2018; Smith et al., 2016; Williamson, 2016).”
BackgroundCapturing CO2 from air: Technical performance and process control improvement
Bajamundi, C., Koponen, J., Ruuskanen, V., Elfving, J., Kosonen, A., Kauppinen, J., & Ahola, J. (2019) · Journal of CO2 Utilization · doi:10.1016/j.jcou.2019.02.002 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
Irrigation of biomass plantations may globally increase water stress more than climate change
Stenzel, F., Greve, P., Lucht, W., Tramberend, S., Wada, Y., & Gerten, D. (2021) · Nature Communications · doi:10.1038/s41467-021-21640-3 · Cited by 103 · see citing works
Recent advances in amine-functionalized silica adsorbents for CO2 capture
Wang, J., Feng, X., Wen, S., Zhan, D., Zhu, X., Ning, P., Zhang, Y. L., & Mei, X. (2024) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2024.114724 · Cited by 100 · see citing works
Japan's long-term climate mitigation policy: Multi-model assessment and sectoral challenges
Sugiyama, M., Fujimori, S., Wada, K., Endo, S., Fujii, Y., Komiyama, R., Kato, E., Kurosawa, A., Matsuo, Y., Oshiro, K., et al. (2018) · Energy · doi:10.1016/j.energy.2018.10.091 · Cited by 102 · see citing works
Assessing human and environmental pressures of global land-use change 2000–2010
Creutzig, F., Bren d'Amour, C., Weddige, U., Fuss, S., Beringer, T., Gläser, A., Kalkuhl, M., Steckel, J. C., Radebach, A., & Edenhofer, O. (2019) · Global Sustainability · doi:10.1017/sus.2018.15 · Cited by 96 · see citing works
“Fourth, land could provide the space for an enhanced terrestrial carbon sink, for example, by afforest-ation, thus contributing to the mitigation of climate change (Minx et al. , 2018).”
Self-citationProgress in climate change adaptation research
Sietsma, A. J., Ford, J. D., Callaghan, M., & Minx, J. C. (2021) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abf7f3 · Cited by 95 · see citing works
“Furthermore, some recent evidence maps [15, 26, 27] have made use of machine learning to examine issues such as carbon dioxide removal [28, 29], mitigation in cities [22], climate change governance strategies [30] and the climate change literature as a whole [16].”
BackgroundSelf-citation
- Authors
- Minx, J. C., Lamb, W. F., Callaghan, M. W., Fuss, S., Hilaire, J., Creutzig, F., Amann, T., Beringer, T., de Oliveira Garcia, W., Hartmann, J., Khanna, T., Lenzi, D., Luderer, G., Nemet, G. F., Rogelj, J., Smith, P., Vicente Vicente, J. L., Wilcox, J., & del Mar Zamora Dominguez, M.
- Affiliations
- University of Leeds (GB)
- Mercator Research Institute on Global Commons and Climate Change (DE)
- Universität Hamburg (DE)
- Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (DE)
- University of Wisconsin–Madison (US)
- International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
- University of Aberdeen (GB)
- Colorado School of Mines (US)
- Corresponding author
- Minx, Jan C
- ORCID
- Venue
- Environmental Research Letters
- Publisher
- IOP Publishing
- Published
- 2018-05-21
- Volume
- 13
- Issue
- 6
- Pages
- 063001
- ISSN
- 1748-9326 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2803435903
- Cited by
- 865
- References
- 155
- Citations by year
- 2026: 68 · 2025: 113 · 2024: 125 · 2023: 141 · 2022: 134 · 2021: 115 · 2020: 82 · 2019: 71 · 2018: 16
- FWCI
- 41.61
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- gold
- doi.org
- Licence
- Locations
- Environmental Research Letters (publishedVersion, cc-by)
- White Rose Research Online (University of Leeds, The University of Sheffield, University of York) (acceptedVersion)
- IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (acceptedVersion)
- Aberdeen University Research Archive (Aberdeen University) (submittedVersion)
- DOAJ (DOAJ: Directory of Open Access Journals) (submittedVersion)
- Max Planck Digital Library (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
- MPG.PuRe (Max Planck Society) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Repository for Publications and Research Data (ETH Zurich) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- ETH Zürich Research Collection (cc-by)
- Funders
- UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC/FFR2/3)
- Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung (01LS1610B, 03EK3046B)
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (DFG EXEC 177, DFG SPP 1689)
- Natural Environment Research Council (NE/P019455/1, NE/P019900/1)
- Topics
- Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Geoengineering
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
- Physical Sciences › Engineering › Mechanical Engineering › Carbon Dioxide Capture Technologies
- Keywords
- negative emissions technologies, climate change mitigation, Paris Agreement, 1.5 °C warming target, 2 °C warming limit, ocean fertilization, implementation barriers, climate policy
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