Cited by 575Climate Change Policy and EconomicsClimate Change and GeoengineeringClimate variability and models

Residual fossil CO2 emissions in 1.5–2 °C pathways

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Luderer, Gunnar, Vrontisi, Zoi, Bertram, Christoph, Edelenbosch, Oreane Y., Pietzcker, Robert C., Rogelj, Joeri, De Boer, Harmen Sytze, Drouet, Laurent +14 more·2018·Nature Climate Change

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Crossref · 10.1038/s41558-018-0198-6

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  • A robust finding in the literature on integrated-assessment modelling is that the electricity sector should be decarbonized first, which then facilitates decarbonization in other, more difficult sectors.

    “Similarly, a robust finding in the literature on integrated-assessment modelling is that the electricity sector should be decarbonized first, which then facilitates decarbonization in other, more difficult sectors 77 .”
  • The 2 °C carbon budget of 1000 GtCO2 between 2011 and 2100 is in line with carbon budgets of 590 to 1240 GtCO2 from 2015 onwards, which would limit global warming by 2100 to below 2 °C relative to pre-industrial levels with at least 66% probability.

    “This is in line with the carbon budgets of 590 to 1240 GtCO2 from 2015 onwards, which would limit global warming by 2100 to below 2 °C, relative to pre-industrial levels with at least 66% probability.”
  • Residual GHG emissions from industry are frequently identified as a major obstacle to achieving the target of limiting global warming to well below 2 C.

    “This finding is significant, as residual GHG emissions from industry are frequently identified as a major obstacle to achieving the target of limiting global warming to well below 2 C. 109,110”

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Research works printed but not linked: 4

  1. [4]4. Clarke, L. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change (eds Edenhofer, O. et al.) Ch. 6 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014).
  2. [36]36. Fischedick, M. et al. in Climate Change 2014: Mitigation of Climate Change (eds Edenhofer, O. et al.) Ch. 10 (IPCC, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2014).
  3. [51]51. Sterner, M. Bioenergy and Renewable Power Methane in Integrated 100% Renewable Energy Systems. Limiting Global Warming by Transforming Energy Systems. Thesis, Univ. Kassel (2009).
  4. [71]71. Riahi, K. et al. in Global Energy Assessment-Toward a Sustainable Future (eds Johansson, T. B. et al.) Ch. 17 (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Cambridge Univ. Press, 2012).

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Authors
Luderer, G., Vrontisi, Z., Bertram, C., Edelenbosch, O. Y., Pietzcker, R. C., Rogelj, J., De Boer, H. S., Drouet, L., Emmerling, J., Fricko, O., Fujimori, S., Havlík, P., Iyer, G., Keramidas, K., Kitous, A., Pehl, M., Krey, V., Riahi, K., Saveyn, B., Tavoni, M., Van Vuuren, D. P., & Kriegler, E.
Affiliations
  • Leibniz Association (DE)
  • National Technical University of Athens (GR)
  • Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency (NL)
  • International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT)
  • CMCC Foundation - Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (IT)
  • National Institute for Environmental Studies (JP)
  • Joint Global Change Research Institute (US)
  • European Commission (BE)
Corresponding author
Luderer, Gunnar
Venue
Nature Climate Change
Published
2018-06-25
Volume
8
Issue
7
Pages
626-633
ISSN
  • 1758-678X (ISSN-L)
  • 1758-6798
OpenAlex
W2808719646
Cited by
575
References
76
Citations by year
2026: 45 · 2025: 66 · 2024: 89 · 2023: 66 · 2022: 68 · 2021: 145 · 2020: 48 · 2019: 39 · 2018: 9
FWCI
91.75
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Nature Climate Change (publishedVersion)
  • RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
  • Utrecht University Repository (Utrecht University) (submittedVersion, other-oa)
  • Joint Research Centre (European Commission) (submittedVersion)
  • Publication Database PIK (Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK)) (submittedVersion)
  • IIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) (submittedVersion)
  • Virtual Community of Pathological Anatomy (University of Castilla La Mancha) (submittedVersion)
  • Spiral (Imperial College London) (submittedVersion)
Funders
  • European Commission (308329, 2007–2013, FP7 2007-2013, HORIZON2020, 642147, FP7/2007)
  • Bundesministerium für Bildung und Forschung
Topics
  • Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Climate Change Policy and Economics
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate Change and Geoengineering
  • Physical Sciences › Environmental Science › Global and Planetary Change › Climate variability and models
Keywords
1.5 °C warming target, cumulative CO2 emissions, carbon dioxide removal, carbon pricing, Paris Agreement, Nationally Determined Contributions, sectoral emissions, integrated assessment models

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