The DOI matches its Crossref record; 8 of the 8 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Assessing the progress toward lower priced long range battery electric vehicles
Open accessAbstract
The aim of this study is to show the progress in attributes and prices of battery electric vehicles (BEV) and to analyse in which market segments long range BEV can be produced at comparable cost to conventional cars. We assess 48 models available to consumers since 1997, collecting data on attributes, weight and vehicle prices. We also provide an analysis of recent progress in battery pack costs. Based on this data, the share of BEV vehicle price that is related to the battery pack is modelled. To illustrate future progress we estimate when it is possible to produce a BEV with a 200 mile range in a given price percentile. We find that the price percentile where the price of a BEV is comparable to conventional cars changes in a nonlinear way when battery pack costs fall below 200–250 USD/kWh. Furthermore, we show that battery pack costs of 150 USD/kWh could imply that production costs of a BEV with a 200 mile range are cost competitive for almost 50% of the US car market segments by 2020. Finally, the most critical conditions for this development are discussed and assessed by sensitivity analysis applying conservative values to our model.
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Cites
Ageing mechanisms in lithium-ion batteries
Vetter, J., Novák, P., Wagner, M. R., Veit, C., Möller, K.-C., Besenhard, J. O., Winter, M., Wohlfahrt-Mehrens, M., Vogler, C., & Hammouche, A. (2005) · Journal of Power Sources · doi:10.1016/j.jpowsour.2005.01.006 · Cited by 3,987
Rapidly falling costs of battery packs for electric vehicles
Nykvist, B., & Nilsson, M. (2015) · Nature Climate Change · doi:10.1038/nclimate2564 · Cited by 1,819
Self-citationJaguemont, J., Boulon, L., & Dubé, Y. (2016) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2015.11.034 · Cited by 1,188
The rechargeable revolution: a better battery
Van Noorden, R. (2014) · Nature · doi:10.1038/507026a · Cited by 1,047
Impacts and mitigation of excess diesel-related NOx emissions in 11 major vehicle markets
Anenberg, S. C., Miller, J., Minjares, R., Du, L., Henze, D. K., Lacey, F., Malley, C. S., Emberson, L., Franco, V., Klimont, Z., et al. (2017) · Nature · doi:10.1038/nature22086 · Cited by 750
Electrical Motor Drivelines in Commercial All-Electric Vehicles: A Review
de Santiago, J., Bernhoff, H., Ekergård, B., Eriksson, S., Ferhatovic, S., Waters, R., & Leijon, M. (2012) · IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology · doi:10.1109/tvt.2011.2177873 · Cited by 669
“Electric vehicles: how much range is required for a day's driving?
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Circular economy strategies for electric vehicle batteries reduce reliance on raw materials
Baars, J., Domenech, T., Bleischwitz, R., Melin, H. E., & Heidrich, O. (2020) · Nature Sustainability · doi:10.1038/s41893-020-00607-0 · Cited by 641
Battery cost forecasting: a review of methods and results with an outlook to 2050
Mauler, L., Duffner, F., Zeier, W. G., & Leker, J. (2021) · Energy & Environmental Science · doi:10.1039/d1ee01530c · Cited by 499
Progresses in Sustainable Recycling Technology of Spent Lithium‐Ion Batteries
Du, K., Ang, E. H., Wu, X., & Liu, Y. (2022) · ENERGY & ENVIRONMENTAL MATERIALS · doi:10.1002/eem2.12271 · Cited by 458
Techno-economic assessment of advanced fuels and propulsion systems in future fossil-free ships
Korberg, A. D., Brynolf, S., Grahn, M., & Skov, I. R. (2021) · Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews · doi:10.1016/j.rser.2021.110861 · Cited by 331
The Underestimated Potential of Battery Electric Vehicles to Reduce Emissions
Hoekstra, A. (2019) · Joule · doi:10.1016/j.joule.2019.06.002 · Cited by 170
Metadata
- Authors
- Nykvist, B., Sprei, F., & Nilsson, M.
- Venue
- Energy Policy
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2019-01
- Volume
- 124
- Pages
- 144-155
- ISSN
- 0301-4215 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2897512718
- Cited by
- 220
- References
- 8
- FWCI
- 10.07
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
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Bibliographic data: Semantic Scholar, OpenAlex, Crossref.
Contains information from the Semantic Scholar Academic Graph Datasets, made available under the ODC Attribution License (ODC-BY 1.0).
Semantic Scholar’s data is described in: Kinney, R., et al. (2023). The Semantic Scholar Open Data Platform. arXiv:2301.10140.
