Cited by 50Paleontology and Stratigraphy of FossilsEarth Systems and Cosmic EvolutionAtmospheric Ozone and Climate

Photochemical modelling of atmospheric oxygen levels confirms two stable states

Open access
Gregory, Bethan S., Claire, Mark W., Rugheimer, Sarah·2021·Earth and Planetary Science Letters

Abstract

Various proxies and numerical models have been used to constrain O2 levels over geological time, but considerable uncertainty remains. Previous investigations using 1-D photochemical models have predicted how O3 concentrations vary with assumed ground-level O2 concentrations, and indicate how the ozone layer might have developed over Earth history. These classic models have utilised the numerical simplification of fixed mixing ratio boundary conditions. Critically, this modelling assumption requires verification that predicted fluxes of biogenic and volcanic gases are realistic, but also that the resulting steady states are in fact stable equilibrium solutions against trivial changes in flux. Here, we use a 1-D photochemical model with fixed flux boundary conditions to simulate the effects on O3 and O2 concentrations as O2 (and CH4) fluxes are systematically varied. Our results suggest that stable equilibrium solutions exist for trace- and high-O2/O3 cases, separated by a region of instability. In particular, the model produces few stable solutions with ground O2 mixing ratios between 6×10−7 and 2×10−3 (3×10−6 and 1% of present atmospheric levels). A fully UV-shielding ozone layer only exists in the high-O2 states. Our atmospheric modelling supports prior work suggesting a rapid bimodal transition between reducing and oxidising conditions and proposes Proterozoic oxygen levels higher than some recent proxies suggest. We show that the boundary conditions of photochemical models matter, and should be chosen and explained with care.

Integrity signals

Registry

Crossref · 10.1016/j.epsl.2021.116818

Cites

0 citation errors · 0 not checkable

Statistics

Recomputing p-values needs the paper’s full text.

Claims the paper makes

We couldn’t retrieve this paper’s full text, so its claims and self-check weren’t run. The registry and citation checks still apply.

Claims other papers make about this one

Each is checked against this paper’s own text: does it say what the citing paper says it does?

  • Atmospheric O2 during the mid-Proterozoic was well below that of the modern Earth.

    “Although the precise range of atmospheric pO 2 values during the mid-Proterozoic is not yet clear (Gregory et al. 2021, Liu et al. 2021, Planavsky et al. 2018a), it is widely accepted that atmospheric O 2 was well below that of the modern Earth.”

    From The History of Ocean Oxygenation (2022) · cites this paper as Gregory et al. 2021

  • The precise range of atmospheric pO2 values during the mid-Proterozoic is not yet clear.

    “Although the precise range of atmospheric pO 2 values during the mid-Proterozoic is not yet clear (Gregory et al. 2021, Liu et al. 2021, Planavsky et al. 2018a)”

    From The History of Ocean Oxygenation (2022) · cites this paper as Gregory et al. 2021

Cites

Flagged first, then by citations

Cited by

Sorted by citations

Authors
Gregory, B. S., Claire, M. W., & Rugheimer, S.
Affiliations
  • University of St Andrews (GB)
  • University of Oxford (GB)
Corresponding author
Gregory, Bethan S.
Venue
Earth and Planetary Science Letters
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2021-05
Volume
561
Pages
116818
ISSN
0012-821X (ISSN-L)
OpenAlex
W3129988418
Cited by
50
References
53
Citations by year
2026: 1 · 2025: 9 · 2024: 8 · 2023: 11 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 7
FWCI
7.51
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
Locations
  • Earth and Planetary Science Letters (publishedVersion, cc-by)
  • St Andrews Research Repository (St Andrews Research Repository) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
Funders
  • Horizon 2020 (678812)
  • European Research Council
Topics
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Paleontology › Paleontology and Stratigraphy of Fossils
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Earth Systems and Cosmic Evolution
  • Physical Sciences › Earth and Planetary Sciences › Atmospheric Science › Atmospheric Ozone and Climate
Keywords
photochemical modeling, ozone, stable equilibrium, methane, boundary conditions, UV protection, volcanic gas flux

About these checks

Registry, retraction, Cites and statistics results are computed, not judged, with one exception: a printed reference that no index lists is read once by a model before it counts as a citation error. Claims are extracted by a model and kept only when their quote appears verbatim in the text; each cited source is then checked, with a model’s help, for whether it says what the claim relies on. Those verdicts can be wrong — read the claim’s quote and the cited source before relying on one.

Statistics and arithmetic are recomputed, not judged.

Confidence bands are shown only for fields calibrated on our annotated test set. None is calibrated yet, so no band is shown.

What counts as a claim ›How we measure confidence ›How we check this ›

Are you an author, or do you see a problem with this page? Request a review