Attaining food and environmental security in an era of globalization

Climate Change 2014 Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability

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Is deep-water gastropod decline in the ancient lakes Malawi and Tanganyika heralding ecosystem change ?

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A Theory of Demand for Products Distinguished by Place of Production (Une theorie de la demande de produits differencies d'apres leur origine) (Una teoria de la demanda de productos distinguiendolos segun el lugar de produccion)

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Food waste within food supply chains: quantification and potential for change to 2050

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Global land use change, economic globalization, and the looming land scarcity

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A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways

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Climate Change and Food Systems

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Science and Statistics

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Assessing agricultural risks of climate change in the 21st century in a global gridded crop model intercomparison

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Agricultural Development: An International Perspective.

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Reconciling Food Production and Biodiversity Conservation: Land Sharing and Land Sparing Compared

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Rising global interest in farmland: can it yield sustainable and equitable benefits?

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Greenhouse gas mitigation by agricultural intensification

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Agricultural development: An international perspective

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The HadGEM2 family of Met Office Unified Model climate configurations

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Implications of Limiting CO 2 Concentrations for Land Use and Energy

Wise, M., Calvin, K., Thomson, A. M., Clarke, L., Bond‐Lamberty, B., Sands, R. D., Smith, S. J., Janetos, A. C., & Edmonds, J. (2009) · Science · doi:10.1126/science.1168475 · Cited by 879 · see citing works

The need for and use of socio-economic scenarios for climate change analysis: A new approach based on shared socio-economic pathways

Kriegler, E., O’Neill, B. C., Hallegatte, S., Kram, T., Lempert, R. J., Moss, R. H., & Wilbanks, T. (2012) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.05.005 · Cited by 548 · see citing works

Agricultural technologies and tropical deforestation

Angelsen, A., & Kaimowitz, D. (2001) · CABI Publishing eBooks · doi:10.1079/9780851994512.0000 · Cited by 521 · see citing works

Assessing the evolving fragility of the global food system

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The Uruguay Round and the Developing Economies

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Connecting to Compete 2012 : Trade Logistics in the Global Economy

Mustra, M. A., Arvis, J., Ojala, L. M., Shepherd, B., & Saslavsky, D. (2012) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/12689 · Cited by 459 · see citing works

Meeting future food demand with current agricultural resources

Davis, K. F., Gephart, J. A., Emery, K., Leach, A. M., Galloway, J. N., & D’Odorico, P. (2016) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.004 · Cited by 448 · see citing works

Drivers for global agricultural land use change: The nexus of diet, population, yield and bioenergy

Alexander, P. M., Rounsevell, M., Dislich, C., Dodson, J. R., Engström, K., & Moran, D. (2015) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.011 · Cited by 410 · see citing works

The methodology of the FAO study: Global Food Losses and Food Waste - extent, causes and prevention”- FAO, 2011

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How confident can we be of CGE-based assessments of Free Trade Agreements?

Hertel, T. W., Hummels, D., Ivanic, M., & Keeney, R. (2007) · Economic Modelling · doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2006.12.002 · Cited by 409 · see citing works

Trading carbon for food: Global comparison of carbon stocks vs. crop yields on agricultural land

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Land Grabbing and Global Governance: Critical Perspectives

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Land-use change trajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro-economic model comparison

Schmitz, C., van Meijl, H., Kyle, P., Nelson, G. C., Fujimori, S., Gurgel, A., Havlík, P., Heyhoe, E., Mason-D’Croz, D., Popp, A., et al. (2013) · Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1111/agec.12090 · Cited by 309 · see citing works

Political Economy of Public Policies: Insights from Distortions to Agricultural and Food Markets

Anderson, K., Rausser, G. C., & Swinnen, J. (2013) · Journal of Economic Literature · doi:10.1257/jel.51.2.423 · Cited by 300 · see citing works

Green Revolution research saved an estimated 18 to 27 million hectares from being brought into agricultural production

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The Uruguay Round and Developing Countries

Greenaway, D., & Milner, C. R. (1996) · Commonwealth economic papers · doi:10.14217/9781848595774-en · Cited by 275 · see citing works

Distortions to Agricultural Incentives

Anderson, K. (2009) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/978-0-8213-7665-2 · Cited by 268 · see citing works

Resilience and reactivity of global food security

Suweis, S. S., Carr, J. A., Maritan, A., Rinaldo, A., & D’Odorico, P. (2015) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1507366112 · Cited by 242 · see citing works

Post-harvest loss in sub-Saharan Africa—what do farmers say?

Kaminski, J., & Christiaensen, L. (2014) · Global Food Security · doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2014.10.002 · Cited by 215 · see citing works

Productivity growth and technology capital in the global agricultural economy.

Fuglie, K. O. (2012) · CABI eBooks · doi:10.1079/9781845939212.0335 · Cited by 213 · see citing works

World Agriculture in Disarray

Johnson, D. G. (1991) · Palgrave Macmillan UK eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-349-21248-4 · Cited by 202 · see citing works

World Agriculture in Disarray

Johnson, D. G. (1973) · Palgrave Macmillan UK eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-1-349-01848-2 · Cited by 201 · see citing works

Global food security in 2050: the role of agricultural productivity and climate change

Baldos, U. L. C., & Hertel, T. W. (2014) · Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics · doi:10.1111/1467-8489.12048 · Cited by 193 · see citing works

Can Openness Mitigate the Effects of Weather Shocks? Evidence from India's Famine Era

Burgess, R., & Donaldson, D. (2010) · American Economic Review · doi:10.1257/aer.100.2.449 · Cited by 186 · see citing works

Awakening Africa's Sleeping Giant: Prospects for Commercial Agriculture in the Guinea Savannah Zone and BeyondPreprint

Morris, M., & Larson, G. (2009) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 177 · see citing works

Productivity growth and convergence in crop, ruminant, and nonruminant production: measurement and forecasts

Ludeña, C. E., Hertel, T. W., Preckel, P. V., Foster, K. A., & Pratt, A. N. (2007) · Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1111/j.1574-0862.2007.00218.x · Cited by 167 · see citing works

Global climate policy impacts on livestock, land use, livelihoods, and food security

Golub, A., Henderson, B. B., Hertel, T. W., Gerber, P., Rose, S. K., & Sohngen, B. (2012) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1108772109 · Cited by 152 · see citing works

Global market integration increases likelihood that a future African Green Revolution could increase crop land use and CO ₂ emissions

Hertel, T. W., Ramankutty, N., & Baldos, U. L. C. (2014) · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · doi:10.1073/pnas.1403543111 · Cited by 141 · see citing works

Climate adaptation as mitigation: the case of agricultural investments

Lobell, D. B., Baldos, U. L. C., & Hertel, T. W. (2013) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/015012 · Cited by 136 · see citing works

Climate Change and Agricultural Trade: Who Benefits, Who Loses?

Reilly, J., Hohmann, N., & Kane, S. (1996) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-642-61086-8_6 · Cited by 129 · see citing works

Awakening Africa’s Sleeping Giant : Prospects for Commercial Agriculture in the Guinea Savannah Zone and Beyond

Larson, G., & Morris, M. (2009) · World Bank, Washington, DC eBooks · doi:10.1596/9493 · Cited by 124 · see citing works

Climate change and agricultural trade

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Land-based mitigation in climate stabilization

Rose, S. K., Ahammad, H., Eickhout, B., Fisher, B. S., Kurosawa, A., Rao, S., Riahi, K., & van Vuuren, D. P. (2011) · Energy Economics · doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2011.06.004 · Cited by 102 · see citing works

On Purdue Improved Cowpea Storage (PICS) technology: Background, mode of action, future prospects

Murdock, L. L., & Baoua, I. B. (2014) · Journal of Stored Products Research · doi:10.1016/j.jspr.2014.02.006 · Cited by 97 · see citing works

Geography Matters: International Trade Patterns and the Indirect Land Use Effects of Biofuels

Villoria, N. B., & Hertel, T. W. (2011) · American Journal of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1093/ajae/aar025 · Cited by 77 · see citing works

Looking back to move forward on model validation: insights from a global model of agricultural land use

Baldos, U. L. C., & Hertel, T. W. (2013) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034024 · Cited by 62 · see citing works

Growth and Evolution in China's Agricultural Support PoliciesPreprint

Gale, F., & Gale, F. (2013) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.155385 · Cited by 60 · see citing works

Predicting Long-Term Food Demand, Cropland Use, and Prices

Hertel, T. W., Baldos, U. L. C., & van der Mensbrugghe, D. (2016) · Annual Review of Resource Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-resource-100815-095333 · Cited by 59 · see citing works

Productivity Growth in Agriculture: An International Perspective

Colman, D. (2013) · European Review of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1093/erae/jbt013 · Cited by 50 · see citing works

Global Change and the Challenges of Sustainably Feeding a Growing Planet

Hertel, T. W., & Baldos, U. L. C. (2015) · Springer eBooks · doi:10.1007/978-3-319-22662-0 · Cited by 43 · see citing works

Rapid aggregation of global gridded crop model outputs to facilitate cross-disciplinary analysis of climate change impacts in agriculture

Villoria, N. B., Elliott, J. W., Müller, C., Shin, J., Zhao, L., & Song, C. (2015) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.016 · Cited by 41 · see citing works

Debunking the ‘new normal’: Why world food prices are expected to resume their long run downward trend

Baldos, U. L. C., & Hertel, T. W. (2016) · Global Food Security · doi:10.1016/j.gfs.2016.03.002 · Cited by 40 · see citing works

Distortions to Agricultural Incentives: A Global Perspective, 1955-2007

Mahé, L. (2010) · European Review of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1093/erae/jbq041 · Cited by 39 · see citing works

PROSPECTS FOR GLOBAL SECURITY: A CRITICAL APPRAISAL OF PAST PROJECTIONS AND PREDICTIONS

McCalla, A. F., & Revoredo‐Giha, C. (2001) · AgEcon Search (University of Minnesota, USA) · doi:10.22004/ag.econ.16244 · Cited by 31 · see citing works

Global Economic Monitor

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The Political Economy of the Most Radical Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy

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Competing Liberalizations: Tariffs and Trade in the 21st CenturyPreprint

Bureau, J., Guimbard, H., & Jean, S. (2016) · SSRN Electronic Journal · doi:10.2139/ssrn.2814463 · Cited by 8 · see citing works

The Political Economy of the Most Radical Reform of the Common Agricultural Policy

Swinnen, J. (2010) · German Journal of Agricultural Economics · doi:10.52825/gjae.v59i1.1803 · Cited by 8 · see citing works

Prospects for global food security a critical appraisal of past projections and predictionsPreprint

McCalla, A. F., & Revoredo, C. L. (2001) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 7 · see citing works

AgMIP Tool: A GEOSHARE tool for aggregating outputs from the AgMIP's Global Gridded Crop Modeling Initiative (Ag-GRID)

Villoria, N. B., Elliott, J. W., Mí_ller, C., Shin, J., & Zhao, L. (2014) · HubZero · doi:10.4231/d3sb3x03g · Cited by 4 · see citing works

Post-harvest loss in Sub-Saharan Africa -- what do farmers say ?Preprint

Christiaensen, L., & Kaminski, J. (2014) · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · Cited by 2 · see citing works

A meta-analysis of projected global food demand and population at risk of hunger for the period 2010–2050

van Dijk, M., Morley, T., Rau, M. L., & Saghai, Y. (2021) · Nature Food · doi:10.1038/s43016-021-00322-9 · Cited by 2,339 · see citing works

Greedy or needy? Land use and climate impacts of food in 2050 under different livestock futures

Röös, E., Bajželj, B., Smith, P., Lindberg, M., Little, D. C., & Garnett, T. (2017) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.09.001 · Cited by 382 · see citing works

Rethinking Global Food Demand for 2050

Falcon, W. P., Naylor, R. L., & Shankar, N. D. (2022) · Population and Development Review · doi:10.1111/padr.12508 · Cited by 369 · see citing works

Uncovering the Research Gaps to Alleviate the Negative Impacts of Climate Change on Food Security: A Review

Farooq, M. S., Uzair, M., Raza, A., Habib, M., Xu, Y., Yousuf, M. J., Yang, S. H., & Khan, M. R. (2022) · Frontiers in Plant Science · doi:10.3389/fpls.2022.927535 · Cited by 290 · see citing works

Global food waste across the income spectrum: Implications for food prices, production and resource use

Barrera, E. L., & Hertel, T. W. (2020) · Food Policy · doi:10.1016/j.foodpol.2020.101874 · Cited by 268 · see citing works

The economics of bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) deployment in a 1.5 °C or 2 °C world

Fajardy, M., Morris, J., Gurgel, A., Herzog, H. J., Dowell, N. M., & Paltsev, S. (2021) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102262 · Cited by 132 · see citing works

Exploring global food security pattern from the perspective of spatio-temporal evolution

Cai, J., Ma, E., Lin, J., Liao, L., & Han, Y. G. (2020) · Journal of Geographical Sciences · doi:10.1007/s11442-020-1722-y · Cited by 59 · see citing works

Economic perspectives on land use change and leakage

Hertel, T. W. (2018) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aad2a4 · Cited by 57 · see citing works

SIMPLE-G: A multiscale framework for integration of economic and biophysical determinants of sustainability

Baldos, U. L. C., Haqiqi, I., Hertel, T. W., Horridge, M., & Liu, J. (2020) · Environmental Modelling & Software · doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104805 · Cited by 55 · see citing works

Agricultural Trade and Environmental Sustainability

Baylis, K., Heckelei, T., & Hertel, T. W. (2021) · Annual Review of Resource Economics · doi:10.1146/annurev-resource-101420-090453 · Cited by 59 · see citing works

The research cost of adapting agriculture to climate change: A global analysis to 2050

Baldos, U. L. C., Fuglie, K. O., & Hertel, T. W. (2019) · Agricultural Economics · doi:10.1111/agec.12550 · Cited by 48 · see citing works

Crop diversity effects on temporal agricultural production stability across European regions

Egli, L., Schröter, M., Scherber, C., Tscharntke, T., & Seppelt, R. (2021) · Regional Environmental Change · doi:10.1007/s10113-021-01832-9 · Cited by 38 · see citing works

The R&D cost of climate mitigation in agriculture

Fuglie, K. O., Ray, S., Baldos, U. L. C., & Hertel, T. W. (2022) · Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy · doi:10.1002/aepp.13245 · Cited by 40 · see citing works

Planned expansion of transportation infrastructure in Brazil has implications for the pattern of agricultural production and carbon emissions

Wang, Z., Júnior, G. B. M., Liu, J., Lima, C. Z. D., & Hertel, T. W. (2024) · The Science of The Total Environment · doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172434 · Cited by 49 · see citing works

The impact of agricultural trade approaches on global economic modeling

Zhao, X., Wise, M., WALDHOFF, S. T., Kyle, P. G., Huster, J. E., Ramig, C., Rafelski, L. E., Patel, P., & Calvin, K. (2022) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2021.102413 · Cited by 36 · see citing works

Integrated modeling of nature’s role in human well-being: A research agenda

Chaplin‐Kramer, R., Polasky, S., Alkemade, R., Burgess, N. D., Cheung, W. W. L., Fetzer, I., Harfoot, M., Hertel, T. W., Hill, S. L. L., Johnson, J. A., et al. (2024) · Global Environmental Change · doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2024.102891 · Cited by 36 · see citing works

Global drivers of local water stresses and global responses to local water policies in the United States

Haqiqi, I., Bowling, L. C., Jame, S. A., Baldos, U. L. C., Liu, J., & Hertel, T. W. (2023) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acd269 · Cited by 33 · see citing works

Trade in technology: A potential solution to the food security challenges of the 21st century

Hertel, B. T. W., Baldos, U. L. C., & Fuglie, K. O. (2020) · European Economic Review · doi:10.1016/j.euroecorev.2020.103479 · Cited by 32 · see citing works

Impacts of in situ urbanisation on grain production: Evidence from the Yangtze River Delta, China

Shen, W., Hu, Q., & Zhang, Z. (2023) · Habitat International · doi:10.1016/j.habitatint.2023.102989 · Cited by 28 · see citing works

The role of global agricultural market integration in multiregional economic modeling: Using hindcast experiments to validate an Armington model

Zhao, X., Calvin, K., Wise, M., & Iyer, G. C. (2021) · Economic Analysis and Policy · doi:10.1016/j.eap.2021.07.007 · Cited by 25 · see citing works

Food politics in China: How strengthened accountability enhances food security

Zhang, Y., & Lu, S. (2024) · Food Policy · doi:10.1016/j.foodpol.2024.102692 · Cited by 23 · see citing works

Does the supply response of maize suffer from climate change in Bangladesh? Empirical evidence using ARDL approach

Noorunnahar, M., Mila, F. A., & Haque, F. (2023) · Journal of Agriculture and Food Research · doi:10.1016/j.jafr.2023.100667 · Cited by 23 · see citing works

On energy and climate change policies: The impact of baseline projections

Nong, D., & Simshauser, P. (2020) · Applied Energy · doi:10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.115062 · Cited by 21 · see citing works

Writing a Recipe for Teaching Sustainable Food Systems: Lessons from Three University Courses

Brekken, C. A., Peterson, H. H., King, R. P., & Conner, D. (2018) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su10061898 · Cited by 21 · see citing works

Can grain production be synergistic with socioeconomic development?—Empirical evidence from the agro-pastoral ecotone in North China

Ding, Y., Xu, R., Wang, R., Zhang, S., Ding, H., & Liu, W. (2023) · Ecological Indicators · doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.111191 · Cited by 16 · see citing works

The Potential of Absorbing Foreign Agricultural Investment to Improve Food Security in Developing Countries

Jiang, X.-Y., & Chen, Y.-J. (2020) · Sustainability · doi:10.3390/su12062481 · Cited by 18 · see citing works

Achieving the paris agreement goals by transitioning to low-emissions food systems: A comprehensive review of countries’ actions

Amahnui, G. A., Vanegas, M., Verchot, L. V., & Castro-Nunez, A. C. (2024) · Environmental Science & Policy · doi:10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103968 · Cited by 16 · see citing works

Local, regional, and global adaptations to a compound pandemic-weather stress event

Haqiqi, I., Grogan, D., Horeh, M. B., Liu, J., Baldos, U. L. C., Lammers, R. B., & Hertel, T. W. (2023) · Environmental Research Letters · doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acbbe3 · Cited by 17 · see citing works

Potential Use of Quartzipisamment under Agroforestry and Silvopastoral System for Large-Scale Production in Brazil

Marçal, M. F. M., de Souza, Z. M., Tavares, R. L. M., Farhate, C. V. V., Júnior, R. E. M., Lima, E. D. S., & Lovera, L. H. (2022) · Agronomy · doi:10.3390/agronomy12040905 · Cited by 11 · see citing works

The new Malthusian challenge in the Sahel: prospects for improving food security in Niger

Kabir, K., Baldos, U. L. C., & Hertel, T. W. (2022) · Food Security · doi:10.1007/s12571-022-01319-3 · Cited by 11 · see citing works

Research Progress on Ecological Carrying Capacity and Ecological Security, and Its Inspiration on the Forest Ecosystem in the Karst Desertification Control

Zhang, S., Luo, Y., Xiong, K., Yu, Y., He, C., Zhang, S., & Wang, Z. (2024) · Forests · doi:10.3390/f15091632 · Cited by 8 · see citing works

Spatiotemporal modeling of household's food insecurity levels in Ethiopia

Wubetie, H. T., Zewotir, T. T., Mitku, A. A., & Dessie, Z. G. (2024) · Heliyon · doi:10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e32958 · Cited by 7 · see citing works

Effectiveness and Distributional Impacts of Conservation Policies: The Role of Labor Markets

Ray, S., & Hertel, T. W. (2025) · Environmental and Resource Economics · doi:10.1007/s10640-024-00950-2 · Cited by 5 · see citing works

Environmental Ethics in the Military

Malamud, M. (2018) · International Journal of Technoethics · doi:10.4018/ijt.2018070105 · Cited by 5 · see citing works

The heterogeneous impacts of climate change on food security under SSP-RCPs scenarios: Evidence from Brazil, China, India, Russia, and the United States

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Market Integration and the Role of Transportation and Telecommunication Infrastructure: Insights for Agri-Food Value Chains Efficiency in Ghana

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