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Providing decent living with minimum energy: A global scenario

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Millward-Hopkins, Joel, Steinberger, Julia K., Rao, Narasimha D., Oswald, Yannick·2020·Global Environmental Change
DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102168
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Abstract

It is increasingly clear that averting ecological breakdown will require drastic changes to contemporary human society and the global economy embedded within it. On the other hand, the basic material needs of billions of people across the planet remain unmet. Here, we develop a simple, bottom-up model to estimate a practical minimal threshold for the final energy consumption required to provide decent material livings to the entire global population. We find that global final energy consumption in 2050 could be reduced to the levels of the 1960s, despite a population three times larger. However, such a world requires a massive rollout of advanced technologies across all sectors, as well as radical demand-side changes to reduce consumption – regardless of income – to levels of sufficiency. Sufficiency is, however, far more materially generous in our model than what those opposed to strong reductions in consumption often assume.

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Metadata

Authors
Millward-Hopkins, J., Steinberger, J. K., Rao, N. D., & Oswald, Y.
Venue
Global Environmental Change
Publisher
Elsevier BV
Published
2020-11
Volume
65
Pages
102168
ISSN
0959-3780 (ISSN-L)
DOI
10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102168
OpenAlex
W3090228490
Cited by
558
References
3
FWCI
12.05
Type
journal article
Language
en
Open access
hybrid
Licence
Funders
Leverhulme Trust (RL2016-048)

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Millward-Hopkins, J., Steinberger, J. K., Rao, N. D., & Oswald, Y. (2020). Providing decent living with minimum energy: A global scenario. Global Environmental Change. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2020.102168

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