The DOI matches its Crossref record; 54 of the 65 references it cites were found in a registry or an index.
Combining forecasts: An application to elections
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“Combining forecasts has reduced errors from about 10% to 58% (depending on the conditions) compared to the average errors of the uncombined individual forecasts (Graefe, et al 2011).”
From Illusions in Regression Analysis (2011) · cites this paper as Graefe, et al 2011
Citations
Cites
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Flagged first, then by citations
11 of the 65 references couldn’t be matched to a known paper.
Research works printed but not linked: 19
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Metadata
- Authors
- Graefe, A., Armstrong, J. S., Jones, R. J., & Cuzán, A. G.
- Affiliations
- Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München (DE)
- University of South Australia (AU)
- University of Central Oklahoma (US)
- University of West Florida (US)
- Corresponding author
- Graefe, Andreas
- Venue
- International Journal of Forecasting
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2014-01
- Volume
- 30
- Issue
- 1
- Pages
- 43-54
- ISSN
- 0169-2070 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2008534646
- Cited by
- 160
- References
- 65
- Citations by year
- 2026: 4 · 2025: 4 · 2024: 5 · 2023: 6 · 2022: 14 · 2021: 16 · 2020: 14 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 17 · 2017: 15 · 2016: 22 · 2015: 15 · 2014: 12
- FWCI
- 23.68
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- papers.ssrn.com
- Locations
- International Journal of Forecasting (publishedVersion)
- SSRN Electronic Journal (submittedVersion)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Adelaide Research & Scholarship (AR&S) (University of Adelaide) (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Decision Sciences › Management Science and Operations Research › Forecasting Techniques and Applications
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Sports Analytics and Performance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Electoral Systems and Political Participation
- Keywords
- forecast combination, election forecasting, US presidential election, expert opinion, Iowa Electronic Markets, forecast accuracy, forecast uncertainty, forecast averaging
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