Coronary atherosclerosis scoring with semiquantitative CCTA risk scores for prediction of major adverse cardiac events: propensity score-based analysis of diabetic and non-diabetic patients
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Aims We aimed to compare semiquantitative coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) risk scores - which score presence, extent, composition, stenosis and/or location of coronary artery disease (CAD) - and their prognostic value between patients with and without diabetes mellitus (DM). Risk scores derived from general chest-pain populations are often challenging to apply in DM patients, because of numerous confounders. Methods Out of a combined cohort from the Leiden University Medical Center and the CONFIRM registry with 5-year follow-up data, we performed a secondary analysis in diabetic patients with suspected CAD who were clinically referred for CCTA. A total of 732 DM patients was 1:1 propensity-matched with 732 non-DM patients by age, sex and cardiovascular risk factors. A subset of 7 semiquantitative CCTA risk scores was compared between groups: 1) any stenosis ≥50%, 2) any stenosis ≥70%, 3) stenosis-severity component of the coronary artery disease-reporting and data system (CAD-RADS), 4) segment involvement score (SIS), 5) segment stenosis score (SSS), 6) CT-adapted Leaman score (CT-LeSc), and 7) Leiden CCTA risk score. Cox-regression analysis was performed to assess the association between the scores and the primary endpoint of all-cause death and non-fatal myocardial infarction. Also, area under the receiver-operating characteristics curves were compared to evaluate discriminatory ability. Results A total of 1,464 DM and non-DM patients (mean age 58 ± 12 years, 40% women) underwent CCTA and 155 (11%) events were documented after median follow-up of 5.1 years. In DM patients, the 7 semiquantitative CCTA risk scores were significantly more prevalent or higher as compared to non-DM patients (p ≤ 0.022). All scores were independently associated with the primary endpoint in both patients with and without DM (p ≤ 0.020), with non-significant interaction between the scores and diabetes (interaction p ≥ 0.109). Discriminatory ability of the Leiden CCTA risk score in DM patients was significantly better than any stenosis ≥50% and ≥70% (p = 0.003 and p = 0.007, respectively), but comparable to the CAD-RADS, SIS, SSS and CT-LeSc that also focus on the extent of CAD (p ≥ 0.265). Conclusion Coronary atherosclerosis scoring with semiquantitative CCTA risk scores incorporating the total extent of CAD discriminate major adverse cardiac events well, and might be useful for risk stratification of patients with DM beyond the binary evaluation of obstructive stenosis alone.
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The SSS and SIS have demonstrated clinical validity in detecting major adverse cardiac events in multiple populations.
“The SSS and SIS have demonstrated clinical validity in detecting major adverse cardiac events in multiple populations.15–19”
From Lifelong endurance exercise and its relation with coronary atherosclerosis (2023) · cites this paper as [19]
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“Leiden cCTA risk score, CT Leaman score) [9, 27], we additionally investigated high-risk plaque features that have been demonstrated as independent predictors of adverse cardiovascular outcome and have yet to be investigated in patients with diabetes.”
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“As in previous studies, the extent and severity of lesions assessed by CCTA were significantly higher in DM patients than in non-DM patients 25,26 .”
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Advancing Coronary Risk Assessment Through Combined Radiomic, Mechanical, and Hemodynamic Analysis
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“Additionally, several CCTA-based risk scores have been proposed for coronary plaque stratification, based on stenosis degree, plaque composition, burden, or location [12], including the CAD-RADS [13], the CT-adapted Leaman score [14, 15], or the Leiden CCTA score [16].”
Tang, C. X., Zhou, F., Qiao, H. Y., Schoepf, U. J., Liu, T. Y., Liu, Y., & Zhang, L. J. (2026) · Journal of the American College of Radiology · doi:10.1016/j.jacr.2026.07.011
- Authors
- van den Hoogen, I. J., van Rosendael, A. R., Lin, F. Y., Lu, Y., Dimitriu-Leen, A. C., Smit, J. M., Scholte, A. J. H. A., Achenbach, S., Al-Mallah, M. H., Andreini, D., Berman, D. S., Budoff, M. J., Cademartiri, F., Callister, T. Q., Chang, H.-J., Chinnaiyan, K., Chow, B. J. W., Cury, R. C., DeLago, A., Feuchtner, G., Hadamitzky, M., Hausleiter, J., Kaufmann, P. A., Kim, Y.-J., Leipsic, J. A., Maffei, E., Marques, H., de Araújo Gonçalves, P., Pontone, G., Raff, G. L., Rubinshtein, R., Villines, T. C., Gransar, H., Jones, E. C., Peña, J. M., Shaw, L. J., Min, J. K., & Bax, J. J.
- Affiliations
- NewYork–Presbyterian Hospital (US)
- Leiden University Medical Center (NL)
- Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg (DE)
- King Saud bin Abdulaziz University for Health Sciences (SA)
- Centro Cardiologico Monzino (IT)
- Cedars-Sinai Medical Center (US)
- The Lundquist Institute (US)
- Yonsei University (KR)
- Corewell Health William Beaumont University Hospital (US)
- University of Ottawa (CA)
- Capital Cardiology Associates (US)
- Innsbruck Medical University (AT)
- Deutsches Herzzentrum München (DE)
- University of Zurich (CH)
- Seoul National University Hospital (KR)
- University of British Columbia (CA)
- Hospital da Luz (PT)
- Technion – Israel Institute of Technology (IL)
- Walter Reed National Military Medical Center (US)
- Corresponding author
- Bax, Jeroen J.
- ORCID
- Lin, Fay Y.
- Smit, Jeff M.
- Scholte, Arthur J.H.A.
- Achenbach, Stephan
- Al-Mallah, Mouaz H.
- Andreini, Daniele
- Berman, Daniel S.
- Budoff, Matthew J.
- Cademartiri, Filippo
- Chang, Hyuk-Jae
- Chinnaiyan, Kavitha
- Chow, Benjamin J.W.
- Cury, Ricardo C.
- DeLago, Augustin
- Feuchtner, Gudrun
- Hadamitzky, Martin
- Kaufmann, Philipp A.
- Kim, Yong-Jin
- Leipsic, Jonathon A.
- Maffei, Erica
- Marques, Hugo
- Pontone, Gianluca
- Raff, Gilbert L.
- Villines, Todd C.
- Gransar, Heidi
- Peña, Jessica M.
- Shaw, Leslee J.
- Min, James K.
- Bax, Jeroen J.
- Venue
- Journal of Cardiovascular Computed Tomography
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2020-05
- Volume
- 14
- Issue
- 3
- Pages
- 251-257
- ISSN
- 1876-861X (ISSN-L)
- 1934-5925
- OpenAlex
- W2920695315
- Cited by
- 31
- References
- 43
- Citations by year
- 2026: 3 · 2025: 3 · 2024: 6 · 2023: 3 · 2022: 5 · 2021: 8 · 2020: 3
- FWCI
- 2.59
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- bronze
- doi.org
- Locations
- Journal of cardiovascular computed tomography (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Data Archiving and Networked Services (DANS) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- Leiden Repository (Leiden University) (submittedVersion, cc-by)
- eScholarship (California Digital Library) (submittedVersion)
- mediaTUM – the media and publications repository of the Technical University Munich (Technical University Munich) (submittedVersion)
- Radboud Repository (Radboud University) (submittedVersion)
- Leiden Repository (Leiden University) (submittedVersion, cc-by-nc-nd)
- Zurich Open Repository and Archive (University of Zurich) (submittedVersion)
- Funders
- Medtronic
- GE Healthcare
- Dalio Foundation
- Michael Wolk Heart Foundation
- Biotronik
- National Institutes of Health (R01 HL115150)
- Leids Universitair Medisch Centrum
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Radiology, Nuclear Medicine and Imaging › Cardiac Imaging and Diagnostics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Surgery › Coronary Interventions and Diagnostics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism › Diabetes, Cardiovascular Risks, and Lipoproteins
- Keywords
- coronary artery disease, coronary CT angiography, diabetes mellitus, major adverse cardiac events, CAD-RADS, segment involvement score, all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, propensity score matching, prognostic value, coronary artery stenosis
- MeSH terms
- Computed Tomography Angiography, Aged, Coronary Artery Disease, Diabetes Mellitus, Female, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, Predictive Value of Tests, Prognosis, Registries, Risk Factors, Severity of Illness Index, Case-Control Studies, Coronary Angiography, Disease Progression, Risk Assessment, Coronary Stenosis, Propensity Score, Multidetector Computed Tomography
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