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The Charlson comorbidity index is adapted to predict costs of chronic disease in primary care patients
Abstract
Objective (1) To determine chronic illness costs for large cohort of primary care patients, (2) to develop prospective model predicting total costs over one year, using demographic and clinical information including widely used comorbidity index.Study design and setting Data including diagnostic, medication, and resource utilization were obtained for 5,861 patients from practice-based computer system over a 1-year period beginning December 1, 1993, for retrospective analysis. Hospital cost data were obtained from hospital cost accounting system.Results Average annual per patient cost was $2,655. Older patients and those with Medicare or Medicaid had higher costs. Hospital costs were $1,558, accounting for 58.7% of total costs. In the predictive model, individuals with higher comorbidity incurred exponentially higher annual costs, from $4,317 with comorbidity score of two, to $5,986 with score of three, to $13,326 with scores greater than seven. To use an adapted comorbidity index to predict total yearly costs, four conditions should be added to the index: hypertension, depression, and use of warfarin with a weight of one, skin ulcers/cellulitis, a weight of two.Conclusion The adapted comorbidity index can be used to predict resource utilization. Predictive models may help to identify targets for reducing high costs, by prospectively identifying those at high risk.
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“[17] In this study and others, comorbidities have been associated with higher use of health services overall,[68] but lower use of cancer screening, including Pap screening.”
BackgroundTillotson, G., Archbald‐Pannone, L. R., Johnson, S., Ng, S., Ando, M., Harvey, A., Bancke, L. L., & Feuerstadt, P. (2022) · Open Forum Infectious Diseases · doi:10.1093/ofid/ofac703 · Cited by 9
“Older adults (65–74 years and ≥75 years of age) were categorized using the age-adjusted CCI, a commonly used index that incorporates a subset of 16 conditions and participant age to estimate 10-year survival based on comorbidity burden [22, 23].”
MethodRitzwoller, D. P., Goodrich, G. K., Tavel, H. M., Odelberg, M. R., Davis, T. L., Gander, J. C., McCracken, C., Weinfield, N. S., & Roblin, D. W. (2023) · Medical Care · doi:10.1097/mlr.0000000000001792 · Cited by 9
Corrao, G., Rea, F., Merlino, L. G., Mazzola, P., Annoni, F., & Annoni, G. (2017) · BMC Neurology · doi:10.1186/s12883-017-0796-3 · Cited by 9
“Gender, age, nationality (Italian born or migrant), and the Charlson comorbidity index score [19] calculated by using the diagnostic information available from inpatient charts in the five-year period prior the index date, were recorded at baseline for each study and reference cohort member.”
Methodon behalf of the Italian Group for Appropriate Drug prescription in the Elderly (I-GrADE), Biffi, A., Rea, F., Scotti, L., Mugelli, A., Lucenteforte, E., Bettiol, A., Chinellato, A., Onder, G., Vitale, C., et al. (2017) · European Journal of Clinical Pharmacology · doi:10.1007/s00228-017-2352-x · Cited by 9
Lee, L. J., Li, Q., Bruno, M., Emir, B., Murphy, B., Shah, S., Reynolds, M. W., Marchant, N., & Park, P. W. (2018) · Advances in Therapy · doi:10.1007/s12325-018-0858-y · Cited by 10
Triage and flow management in sepsis
Pires, H. H. G., Neves, F. F., & Pazin‐Filho, A. (2019) · International Journal of Emergency Medicine · doi:10.1186/s12245-019-0252-9 · Cited by 10
Cui, P., Ping, Z., Wang, P., Bie, W., Yeh, C. H., Gao, X., Chen, Y., Dong, S., & Chen, C. (2020) · Supportive Care in Cancer · doi:10.1007/s00520-020-05672-x · Cited by 9
The economic impact of symptomatic menopause among low-socioeconomic women in the United States
Keshishian, A. V., Wang, Y., Xie, L., & Başer, O. (2015) · Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics & Outcomes Research · doi:10.1586/14737167.2015.1073589 · Cited by 8
“Average pre-index Charlson Comorbidity Index scores were calculated for both cohorts [27].”
MethodTharwat, S., Nassar, M. K., Salem, K. M., & Nassar, M. K. (2024) · Clinical Rheumatology · doi:10.1007/s10067-024-07008-0 · Cited by 8
“In the context of HRQoL, comorbidity has been identified as a significant element that differentiates between the different degrees of functioning of individuals [44].”
Drittel, D., Schreiber-Stainthorp, W., Delau, O., Gurunathan, S. V., Chodosh, J., Segev, D. L., McAdams‐DeMarco, M., Katz, S., Dodson, J. A., Shaukat, A., et al. (2024) · The American Journal of Gastroenterology · doi:10.14309/ajg.0000000000003036 · Cited by 8
Stoop, T. F., Seelen, L. W. F., Land, F. R. V. ‘., der Hout, A. C. A. V., Scheepens, J. C. M., Ali, M., Stiggelbout, A. M., van der Kolk, B. M., Bonsing, B. A., Lips, D. J., et al. (2025) · BMC Cancer · doi:10.1186/s12885-025-13554-w · Cited by 8
“Patient performance and comorbidity status will be defined following the Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) classification, American Society for Anesthesiologists (ASA), and the age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) [61–63].”
A population-based study of the humanistic burden among cancer patients in Japan
Ohno, S., Chen, Y., Sakamaki, H., Matsumaru, N., & Tsukamoto, K. (2019) · Journal of Medical Economics · doi:10.1080/13696998.2019.1707213 · Cited by 9
Kim, J., Seo, Y. E., Sung, H. K., Park, H. Y., Han, M. H., & Lee, S. H. (2022) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph19031092 · Cited by 9
“003) including diabetes, prior myocardial infarction, mild liver disease, and acquired immune-deficiency syndrome [22].”
BackgroundStirnadel-Farrant, H. A., Xu, X. P., Kwiatek, J., Jain, P., Meyers, J., Candrilli, S. D., Mines, D. I., & Datto, C. J. (2023) · JAAD International · doi:10.1016/j.jdin.2023.04.014 · Cited by 8
Impact of antiepileptic-drug treatment burden on health-care-resource utilization and costs
Rajagopalan, K., Candrilli, S. D., & Ajmera, M. (2018) · ClinicoEconomics and Outcomes Research · doi:10.2147/ceor.s180913 · Cited by 8
“Additional preindex independent variables included “comorbidity burden”, measured using Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) score.(19,20)”
MethodNewman, J. M., Coste, M., Dua, K., Yang, A. J., Cautela, F. S., Shah, N. V., Patel, A. M., Chee, A., Khlopas, A., & Koehler, S. M. (2020) · Journal of Hand and Microsurgery · doi:10.1055/s-0039-3400433 · Cited by 8
Oncological outcome of videoscopic groin dissection for lymph node metastasis from melanoma
Sommariva, A., Cona, C., Tonello, M., Pilati, P., & Rossi, C. R. (2020) · Surgical Endoscopy · doi:10.1007/s00464-020-07675-5 · Cited by 8
Hayes, C. J., Krebs, E. E., Li, C., Brown, J. D., Hudson, T. J., & Martin, B. C. (2021) · Addiction · doi:10.1111/add.15689 · Cited by 8
Nyman, M., Jose, T., Croghan, I. T., Parkulo, M. A., Burger, C. D., Schroeder, D. R., Hurt, R. T., & O’Horo, J. C. (2022) · Journal of Primary Care & Community Health · doi:10.1177/21501319211069748 · Cited by 8
Poirrier, J., DeMartino, J., Nagar, S., Carrico, J., Hicks, K., Meyers, J., & Stoddard, J. (2022) · Human Vaccines & Immunotherapeutics · doi:10.1080/21645515.2022.2040328 · Cited by 7
“The CCI score takes into account 20 categories of comorbidities, as defined by ICD9-CM and ICD-10-CM diagnosis and procedure codes, with associated weights corresponding to the severity of the comorbid conditions of interest.(21,22) The number of subjects developing PHN or other HZ-related complications at any point i…”
MethodFactors associated with quality of life and its prediction in kidney patients on haemodialysis
López, M. T. M., Rodríguez‐Rey, R., Montesinos, F., de Galvis, S. R., Ágreda-Ladrón, M. R., & Mayo, E. H. (2022) · Nefrología (English Edition) · doi:10.1016/j.nefroe.2022.07.007 · Cited by 8
Risk factors for infections caused by multidrug-resistant bacteria in patients with solid tumours
Horasan, E. Ş., Ersöz, G., Horoz, M., GÖKSU, M., Karaçorlu, S., & Ali Hakan, K. A. Y. A. (2010) · Scandinavian Journal of Infectious Diseases · doi:10.3109/00365548.2010.534500 · Cited by 8
“Clinical data were recorded on standardized forms and analyzed for age, gender, underlying diseases, Charlson co-morbidity score [14], chemotherapy (in the 30 days prior to infection), broad-spectrum antibiotic (BSA) treatment (anti-pseudomonal penicillins, third-generation cephalosporins, carbapenems, β -lactamase-re…”
MethodThe Cost of Absenteeism and Short-Term Disability Associated With Colorectal Cancer
Yaldo, A. Z., Seal, B. S., & Lage, M. J. (2014) · Journal of Occupational and Environmental Medicine · doi:10.1097/jom.0000000000000186 · Cited by 8
Núñez, M. A. R., Gijón, L. R., Chen, Y. T., Gracia, M. M. D., Weiland, G. B., & Tascón, Á. D. (2019) · Emergency Radiology · doi:10.1007/s10140-019-01699-8 · Cited by 8
Health Care Expenditures Among Adults With Diabetes After Oregon’s Medicaid Expansion
Lindner, S. R., Marino, M., O'Malley, J., Angier, H., Bailey, S. R., Hoopes, M. J., Springer, R., McConnell, K., DeVoe, J., & Huguet, N. (2019) · Diabetes Care · doi:10.2337/dc19-1343 · Cited by 9
“We also included the Charlson Comorbidity Index, which was developed to classify comorbidity conditions associated with mortality risk and includes diabetes as a comorbidity (28,29).”
MethodMontero, M., López, C. H., López-Montesinos, I., Sorlí, L., González, C., Villar, J., Güerri‐Fernández, R., Herranz, M., Crespo, M., Jiménez, M. D. A., et al. (2021) · Antibiotics · doi:10.3390/antibiotics10060619 · Cited by 8
“Demographic, clinical, laboratory, and epidemiological data were collected from hospital and primary care electronic medical records and included the following: age, sex, presence, and severity of comorbidities assessed using the Charlson comorbidity index [22], days from exposure to positive PCR test for COVID-19, cl…”
MethodFrakes, K., Brownie, S. M., Davies, L., Thomas, J., Miller, M., & Tyack, Z. F. (2013) · Australian Journal of Rural Health · doi:10.1111/ajr.12017 · Cited by 8
Metadata
- Authors
- Charlson, M. E., Charlson, R. E., Peterson, J. C., Marinopoulos, S. S., Briggs, W. M., & Hollenberg, J. P.
- Affiliations
- Weill Cornell Medicine (US)
- Yale New Haven Hospital (US)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Central Michigan University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Charlson, Mary E.
- Venue
- Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2008-12
- Volume
- 61
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1234-1240
- ISSN
- 0895-4356 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2110548428
- Cited by
- 894
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 52 · 2024: 79 · 2023: 74 · 2022: 80 · 2021: 77 · 2020: 81 · 2019: 66 · 2018: 83 · 2017: 56 · 2016: 42 · 2015: 51 · 2014: 37 · 2013: 21 · 2012: 22
- FWCI
- 9.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Clinical Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Chronic Disease Management Strategies
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Healthcare Policy and Management
- Keywords
- Charlson Comorbidity Index, chronic disease costs, health care costs, primary care patients, cost prediction model, hospital costs, resource utilization (health care), hypertension, depression, warfarin, skin ulcers, cellulitis, Medicare and Medicaid, elderly patients
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Chronic Disease, Epidemiologic Methods, Female, Health Resources, Health Services Research, Hospitalization, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, New York City, Primary Health Care, Prognosis, Drug Costs, Health Care Costs, Hospital Costs, Young Adult
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