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The Charlson comorbidity index is adapted to predict costs of chronic disease in primary care patients
Abstract
Objective (1) To determine chronic illness costs for large cohort of primary care patients, (2) to develop prospective model predicting total costs over one year, using demographic and clinical information including widely used comorbidity index.Study design and setting Data including diagnostic, medication, and resource utilization were obtained for 5,861 patients from practice-based computer system over a 1-year period beginning December 1, 1993, for retrospective analysis. Hospital cost data were obtained from hospital cost accounting system.Results Average annual per patient cost was $2,655. Older patients and those with Medicare or Medicaid had higher costs. Hospital costs were $1,558, accounting for 58.7% of total costs. In the predictive model, individuals with higher comorbidity incurred exponentially higher annual costs, from $4,317 with comorbidity score of two, to $5,986 with score of three, to $13,326 with scores greater than seven. To use an adapted comorbidity index to predict total yearly costs, four conditions should be added to the index: hypertension, depression, and use of warfarin with a weight of one, skin ulcers/cellulitis, a weight of two.Conclusion The adapted comorbidity index can be used to predict resource utilization. Predictive models may help to identify targets for reducing high costs, by prospectively identifying those at high risk.
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“The CCI is a widely used metric to quantify the burden of medical comorbidity.”
MethodYong-mei, H., Chen, S., & Chen, Y. (2022) · International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health · doi:10.3390/ijerph192215053 · Cited by 5
Mössinger, H., Jacob, L., Smith, L., Koyanagi, A., & Kostev, K. (2023) · Journal of Cancer Research and Clinical Oncology · doi:10.1007/s00432-023-05229-5 · Cited by 5
“The Charlson Comorbidity Index (Charlson et al. 2008) was > 3 in both patient groups.”
BackgroundDyadic influences on awareness of condition in people with dementia: findings from the IDEAL cohort
Alexander, C. M., Martyr, A., Gamble, L. D., Quinn, C., Pentecost, C., Morris, R. G., & Clare, L. (2023) · Frontiers in Aging Neuroscience · doi:10.3389/fnagi.2023.1277336 · Cited by 5
Meah, S., Shi, X., Fritsche, L. G., Salvatore, M., Wagner, A. L., Martin, E. T., & Mukherjee, B. (2023) · Science Advances · doi:10.1126/sciadv.adj3747 · Cited by 7
Siaton, B. C., Hogans, B. B., Frey‐Law, L., Brown, L. M., Herndon, C. M., & Buenaver, L. F. (2024) · Frontiers in Pain Research · doi:10.3389/fpain.2024.1254792 · Cited by 6
The Effect of Health Literacy on Health Status in Patients with Heart Failure: A Path Analysis
Nakon, O., Utriyaprasit, K., Wanitkun, N., Sindhu, S., Viwatwongkasem, C., & Tankumpuan, T. (2024) · Journal of Multidisciplinary Healthcare · doi:10.2147/jmdh.s472860 · Cited by 5
“20 This instrument uses a weighted sum of secondary diagnoses (comorbid conditions) to reflect the functional burden of the illness conditions.”
MethodPredictive modeling of health care costs: do cardiovascular risk markers improve prediction?
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Hemmeler, C., Morell, S., Amsler, F., & Groß, T. (2017) · Archives of Osteoporosis · doi:10.1007/s11657-017-0334-3 · Cited by 5
Evaluación de los cuidados recibidos por pacientes con enfermedades crónicas
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The burden of frailty in older people visiting GPs in Veneto and Sicily, Italy
Battaggia, A., Scalisi, A., Magliozzo, F., Novelletto, B. F., Fusello, M., Michieli, R., & Cancian, M. (2019) · Journal of Drug Assessment · doi:10.1080/21556660.2019.1612409 · Cited by 5
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Hayes, C. J., Krebs, E. E., Brown, J. D., Li, C., Hudson, T. J., & Martin, B. C. (2021) · Journal of Pain · doi:10.1016/j.jpain.2021.05.008 · Cited by 5
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Prediction of Mortality in Patients on Peritoneal Dialysis Based on the Fibrinogen Mannosylation
Baralić, M., Pažitná, L., Brković, V., Laušević, M., Gligorijević, N., Katrlı́k, J., Nedić, O., & Robajac, D. (2023) · Cells · doi:10.3390/cells12030351 · Cited by 5
“Charlson comorbidity index is commonly used as a predictive factor of mortality in a 10-year period [21,22].”
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Yamamiya, A., Kitamura, K., Ishii, Y., Mitsui, Y., & Yoshida, H. (2019) · Therapeutic Advances in Gastrointestinal Endoscopy · doi:10.1177/2631774519846327 · Cited by 5
“Acute biliary pancreatitis, n (%) 1 (2) 1 (3) 0.”
Assoziation zwischen Multimorbidität und Krankheitskosten — Eine systematische Übersichtsarbeit
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The Impact of Mental Health Conditions on Public Insurance Costs of Treating HIV/AIDS
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“The weighting system was based on the original CCI framework (Table S1 in the Online Supplementary Document ), informed by subsequent updates from Charlson (2008) and Quan (2011), and refined in accordance with Glasheen and colleagues (2019), which incorporated explicit weights for additional…”
Ferguson, H. N., SANJUAN, A., Perkins, A. J., Elias, M. N., Wang, S., Mekala, S. N., Devine, B., Koehler, Z., Chi, R., Gao, S., et al. (2026) · CHEST Critical Care · doi:10.1016/j.chstcc.2026.100242 · Cited by 5
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Risk Stratification in Primary Care: Value-Based Contributions of Provider Adjudication
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Metadata
- Authors
- Charlson, M. E., Charlson, R. E., Peterson, J. C., Marinopoulos, S. S., Briggs, W. M., & Hollenberg, J. P.
- Affiliations
- Weill Cornell Medicine (US)
- Yale New Haven Hospital (US)
- Johns Hopkins University (US)
- Central Michigan University (US)
- Corresponding author
- Charlson, Mary E.
- Venue
- Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
- Publisher
- Elsevier BV
- Published
- 2008-12
- Volume
- 61
- Issue
- 12
- Pages
- 1234-1240
- ISSN
- 0895-4356 (ISSN-L)
- OpenAlex
- W2110548428
- Cited by
- 894
- References
- 38
- Citations by year
- 2026: 35 · 2025: 52 · 2024: 79 · 2023: 74 · 2022: 80 · 2021: 77 · 2020: 81 · 2019: 66 · 2018: 83 · 2017: 56 · 2016: 42 · 2015: 51 · 2014: 37 · 2013: 21 · 2012: 22
- FWCI
- 9.15
- Type
- journal article
- Language
- en
- Open access
- closed
- Locations
- Journal of Clinical Epidemiology (publishedVersion)
- PubMed (publishedVersion)
- Topics
- Health Sciences › Medicine › Epidemiology › Chronic Disease Management Strategies
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life
- Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Healthcare Policy and Management
- Keywords
- Charlson Comorbidity Index, chronic disease costs, health care costs, primary care patients, cost prediction model, hospital costs, resource utilization (health care), hypertension, depression, warfarin, skin ulcers, cellulitis, Medicare and Medicaid, elderly patients
- MeSH terms
- Adolescent, Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Chronic Disease, Epidemiologic Methods, Female, Health Resources, Health Services Research, Hospitalization, Humans, Male, Middle Aged, New York City, Primary Health Care, Prognosis, Drug Costs, Health Care Costs, Hospital Costs, Young Adult
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