Interpreting pre-trends as anticipation: Impact on estimated treatment effects from tort reform

Malani, Anup; Reif, Julian

doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2015.01.001

Cited by 178Advanced Causal Inference TechniquesLaw, Economics, and Judicial SystemsHealthcare Policy and Management

Interpreting pre-trends as anticipation: Impact on estimated treatment effects from tort reform

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Malani, Anup, Reif, Julian·2015·Journal of Public Economics

DOI 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2015.01.001

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The no-anticipation assumption is important for identification of τ2 because otherwise changes in outcomes for the treated group between periods 1 and 2 could reflect anticipatory effects in period 1 as well as the causal effect in period 2.
“This is important for identification of τ 2 , since otherwise the changes in the outcome for the treated group between period 1 and 2 could reflect not just the causal effect in period t ' 2 but also the anticipatory effect in period t ' 1 (Abbring and van den Berg, 2003; Malani and Reif, 2015).”
From What's trending in difference-in-differences? A synthesis of the recent econometrics literature (2023) · cites this paper as Malani and Reif, 2015

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Authors: Malani, A., & Reif, J.
Affiliations: University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US)
Corresponding author: Reif, Julian
ORCID: Malani, Anup
Reif, Julian
Venue: Journal of Public Economics
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Published: 2015-04
Volume: 124
Pages: 1-17
ISSN: 0047-2727 (ISSN-L)
DOI: 10.1016/j.jpubeco.2015.01.001
OpenAlex: W2075162239
Cited by: 178
References: 57
Citations by year: 2026: 26 · 2025: 16 · 2024: 17 · 2023: 21 · 2022: 19 · 2021: 19 · 2020: 12 · 2019: 3 · 2018: 18 · 2017: 8 · 2016: 13 · 2015: 3 · 2014: 1 · 2013: 1
FWCI: 12.46
Type: journal article
Language: en
Open access: green
autopapers.ssrn.com
Licence: www.elsevier.com/tdm/userlicense/1.0/ (tdm)
Locations: Journal of Public Economics (publishedVersion)
bepress Legal Repository (submittedVersion)
SSRN Electronic Journal (submittedVersion)
RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
Topics: Physical Sciences › Mathematics › Statistics and Probability › Advanced Causal Inference Techniques
Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems
Social Sciences › Economics, Econometrics and Finance › Economics and Econometrics › Healthcare Policy and Management
Keywords: anticipation effects, endogeneity, treatment effects, tort reform, physician supply, instrumental variables, physician expectations, medical malpractice liability

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Interpreting pre-trends as anticipation: Impact on estimated treatment effects from tort reform

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