The Impact of Price Caps and Spending Cuts on U.S. Postsecondary Attainment
Open accessAbstract
Increasing the postsecondary attainment rate of college-age youth is an important economic priority in the U.S. and in other developed countries.Yet little is known about whether different forms of public subsidy can increase degree completion.In this paper, we compare the impact of the marginal taxpayer dollar on postsecondary attainment when it is spent on lowering tuition prices versus increasing the quality of the college experience.We do so by estimating the causal impact of changes in tuition and spending on enrollment and degree completion in U.S. public postsecondary institutions between 1990 and 2013.We estimate these impacts using a newly assembled data set of legislative tuition caps and freezes, combined with variation in exposure to state budget shocks that is driven by differences in historical reliance on state appropriations.We find large impacts of spending on enrollment and degree completion.In contrast, we find no impact of price changes.Our estimates suggest that spending increases are more effective perdollar than price cuts as a means of increasing postsecondary attainment.
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Enrollment and attainment outcomes for public institutions are more sensitive to college expenditure shocks than to sticker price shocks.
“Deming and Walters (2017) find that enrollment and attainment outcomes for public institutions are more sensitive to college expenditure shocks than to sticker price shocks.”
From College Costs, Financial Aid, and Student Decisions (2022) · cites this paper as Deming and Walters (2017)
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Gándara, D., Billings, M. S., Rubin, P. G., & Hammond, L. (2023) · Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis · doi:10.3102/01623737231168812 · Cited by 10 · see citing works
State Higher Education Spending: A Spatial Econometric Perspective
Fowles, J. T., & Tandberg, D. A. (2017) · American Behavioral Scientist · doi:10.1177/0002764217744835 · Cited by 8 · see citing works
Kramer, J. W. (2022) · Educational Evaluation and Policy Analysis · doi:10.3102/01623737221090265 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
School resources and labor market outcomes: Evidence from early twentieth-century Georgia
Baker, R. B. (2019) · Economics of Education Review · doi:10.1016/j.econedurev.2019.03.001 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
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Higher education spending and CPA exam performance
Cordis, A. S., & Muzatko, S. R. (2021) · Journal of Accounting Education · doi:10.1016/j.jaccedu.2021.100727 · Cited by 7 · see citing works
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Shaping inequality and intergenerational persistence of poverty: Free college or better schools?
Krueger, D., Ludwig, A., & Popova, I. (2024) · Journal of Monetary Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jmoneco.2024.103694 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
The effect of course shutouts on community college students: Evidence from waitlist cutoffs
Robles, S. C., Gross, M., & Fairlie, R. W. (2021) · Journal of Public Economics · doi:10.1016/j.jpubeco.2021.104409 · Cited by 6 · see citing works
Towards an Emergent Theory of Fallism (and the Fall of the White-Liberal-University in South Africa)
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Disinvestment in Higher Education and its Impact on Society: Case of Illinois Public Universities
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Examining the Effects of Differential Tuition Policies on Bachelor’s Degree Completions
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Subtraction by addition: Do private scholarship awards lead to financial aid displacement?
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Community College Pathways for Disadvantaged Students
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Policies to Ensure Equitable Access to Well-Resourced Colleges and Universities
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Student Demand and the Supply of College CoursesPreprint
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Faculty Staffing Patterns: Breadth and Flexibility in Professional Physical Therapy Programs
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Charitable Giving Responses to Education Budgets
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‘Now I Constantly Challenge Society by Bringing My Existence Forward’
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An Exploration of Nonresident Student Enrollment and Institutional Finances at Public Universities
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Does State Allocation of University Funding Moderate Effectively Maintained Inequality?
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Financing and Enrollments in Public Universities
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The effect on science of government cuts to doctoral scholarships
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The ‘Jungle’ Is Here; The Jungle Is Outside
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- Authors
- Deming, D., & Walters, C.
- Affiliations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (US)
- ORCID
- Deming, David
- Venue
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Publisher
- National Bureau of Economic Research
- Published
- 2017-08
- OpenAlex
- W2749056983
- Cited by
- 181
- References
- 56
- Citations by year
- 2026: 11 · 2025: 15 · 2024: 9 · 2023: 13 · 2022: 29 · 2021: 25 · 2020: 55 · 2019: 10 · 2018: 5 · 2017: 8 · 2016: 1
- Type
- report
- Language
- en
- Open access
- green
- doi.org
- Licence
- other-oa
- Locations
- National Bureau of Economic Research (publishedVersion, other-oa)
- RePEc: Research Papers in Economics (submittedVersion)
- Topics
- Social Sciences › Education › Higher Education Research Studies
- Social Sciences › Education › School Choice and Performance
- Social Sciences › Political Science and International Relations › Education and Public Policy
- Keywords
- postsecondary attainment, tuition freeze, higher education funding, graduation, college enrollment, state appropriations, government subsidies, college affordability, higher education policy
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